Surveillance/Monitoring Systems Flashcards

1
Q

MOSS stands for?

A

MOnitoring and Surveillance System

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2
Q

MOSS was coined by?

A

Salman in 2003

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3
Q

What is the difference between monitoring and surveillance?

A
  • Monitoring = continuous, adaptable process of collecting data about diseases and their
    determinants in a given population
  • Surveillance = specific case of monitoring in which control/eradication measures are
    implemented

When you have a surveillance system, you need policies and rules when you find certain levels of disease. Monitoring is simply gathering data.

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4
Q

What are the goals of MOSS?

A
  • Early warning of change in health status of any animal population. This is KEY.
  • Provide evidence about the absence of diseases or determine extent of a disease that is
    known to be present
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5
Q

Why is surveillance done?

A
  • In general terms, it provides information that is critical for decision making in disease control and prevention
    • How much disease is there? (Prevalence)
    • What impact is this disease having on:
      • Animal populations?
      • Public Health?
      • Farmers?
      • Trade? Particularly important for economy.
    • The question you can ask is, Is prevalence increasing, decreasing, staying the same?
    • Where does disease occur (what populations, space, and time - what are the trends) and what are the spatial patterns and trends?
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6
Q

What are the qualifying terms for ‘surveillance’?

A
  1. Classified according to the collection of data:
    * Active
    * Passive
  2. Classified according to the disease focus:
    * Targeted surveillance, looking at a specific disease
    * General, meaning we do not have a specific disease in mind
  3. Others:
    * Syndromic, related to clinical signs
    * Risk-based, looking for associated risk factors
    * Participatory, get general public involved as well.
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7
Q

Active vs. Passive has to do with?

A

the way the data is collected

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8
Q

Define active data collection.

Active data collection is the _________ recording of cases of a designated disease or a _____ of diseases for a specific goal of _______ or _________.
The population is determined by _______ and/or _____, providing each individual with a ______ (and often _____) chance of being selected
E.g. ?

A

–> Active
* Systematic recording of cases of a designated disease or a group of diseases
for a specific goal of monitoring or surveillance
* Population determined by location and/or time, providing each individual with a known
(and often equal) chance of being selected
E.g. survey - going out and collecting a proportion of population using random methods so we have a known probability of inclusion for each animal

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9
Q

Active data collection requires?

A
  • Requires sampling design and strategies
    • $$$, especially if targeted disease is rare!
    • <0.1% is usually not feasible aka a rare disease; nearly impossible to find it
    • Limitations of diagnostic tests (Se/Sp)
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10
Q

As prevalence decreases, towards eradication, 5% prevalence is high, close to eradication is very difficult to find. As prevalence decreases, sensitivity must be important so if sensitivity is low need more samples to detect disease = more money

if diagnostic test is not specific, a lot of false + pop up –> more money.

Design prevalence: immportnat in sruveillance systems because we need to determine level of disease we would expeect in a popilation if disease is present. Guidelines provided by OIE/WOAH have recs for design prevalences. We can then design a surveilance system at least tis threshold of disease in this country. If you don’t find it = disease free, if do = have disease

A
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11
Q

What is passive surveillance?

A

Waiting for info to come to you
Passive
* Reporting of clinical or subclinical suspect cases to the health authorities by health care professionals, at their discretion
* Validity of the system depends solely on the willingness of these professionals to secure
the flow of data
* Depends on the awareness and level of knowledge of a particular disease among veterinary practitioners and producers or owners of animals

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12
Q
  • “Notifiable animal diseases” are typically
A

Passive

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13
Q

Notifiable animal diseases are
* ______-listed diseases (e.g. ______/_____ reportable diseases)
* While many notifiable disease should require _______ collection, many countries rely on ______ collection for a MOSS

A
  • OIE-listed diseases (e.g. USDA/APHIS reportable diseases)
  • While many notifiable disease should require active collection, many countries rely on passive collection for a MOSS
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14
Q

Passive methods can also be described as?

A
  • Can also be described as the ‘secondary use of routinely collected data generated for another purpose’
  • Opportunistic in nature
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15
Q

What are the limitations of passive methods?

A
  • Inconsistency in the data collection for diseases
    • Difficult to compare MOSS data
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16
Q

What is a targeted surveillance system?

A

Targeted
* Usually used in the context of targeting a disease
* Has been used in the context of targeting high-risk populations (Salman, 2003; see risk-
based further below)
* Uses pathogen-specific diagnostic tests
* e.g. PCR, ELISA, culture, etc.

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17
Q

What is a general surveillance system?

A

General
* Not targeted at any particular disease
* Detects new/emerging pathogens
* Uses general diagnostic techniques
* e.g. clinical exam, necropsy and histological findings

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18
Q
A
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19
Q

The objectives of a surveillance system can?

A

Objectives can change!
* e.g. targeted surveillance for BSE in the US and Canada was designed to demonstrate freedom, but ended up finding cases

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20
Q

How types of surveillance systems overlap

A

General active = syndromic surveillance

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21
Q

Risk-based surveillance
* Where you Intentionally _______ toward sub-populations
* _______ risk of disease = much better probability of finding disease
* Population is stratified according to _____/_____ risk factors
* Strata are not sampled proportional to their _____!
* Increased efficiency = ___ $

A
  • Where you Intentionally biased toward sub-populations
    • Higher risk of disease = much better probability of finding disease
  • Population is stratified according to known/hypothesized risk factors
    • Strata are not sampled proportional to their size!
  • Increased efficiency = ↓ $
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22
Q

Three types of risk factors can be used for risk-based surveillance:

A

1) Causal factors for disease - risk factors that cause disease
* e.g. Age group more susceptible to disease, farms with lower biosecurity
2) Factors caused by the disease
* e.g. Clinical signs appearing with disease
3) Non-causal factors that may be associated with disease; not commonly used
* e.g. smaller farms… maybe associated with employees working in multiple sites (…reduced biosecurity)

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23
Q

Syndromic surveillance

A
  • Syndromes = a group of clinical signs associated with diseases
  • trying to cut out the time
  • trying to get it at the lab submission level; without knowing outcome, just trying to see if there are more clinical signs in a given population.

based on the clinical signs that you can gather from labs submission levels or other facilities and that it’s a general and active form of surveillance to look for trends

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24
Q

What is participatory surveillance?

A

Participatory surveillance
* Growing trend
* Involving the public in the collection of disease information
* Usually in a digital format (an app on a smart phone)
* “Putting the ‘public’ in public health”
* People on the street or at the farm level have a lot of information
about certain diseases or syndromes
* Common in rural areas (e.g. Africa and Asia)
* Apps also educate ‘para-vets’ as they enter data

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25
Q

Evaluating a MOSS involves ?

A

Trying to understand the probability a surveillance system will detect a disease.

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26
Q

In order to truly understand a surveillance system’s efficacy, you need to understand the?

A

Population coverage = Proportion of the population that is included in the surveillance system
* Census = every animal in the population
* Sample = sub-sample of the population
* Think back to sampling class…
* Are you properly representing the target population?
* The rarer the disease, the more you need to sample and the better the diagnostic sensitivity needs to be

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27
Q

__________ of a MOSS truly determines how good a surveillance system is.
* Applied to _______ of disease or determining _______ from disease
* Sensitivity = the probability that the MOSS will detect disease if it is there at a frequency greater than or equal to the ______ _______. You need a _______ and _______ to determine if disease is there.
* Represents the level of __________ of detecting disease if it were present in the target population at the design prevalence. Part of this is what diagnostic test you use.
* Use _____ of individual tests used in the system; plays a small part
* What do you think the MOSS specificity should be?

A

Sensitivity of a MOSS truly determines how good a surveillance system is.
* Applied to detection of disease or determining freedom from disease
* Sensitivity = the probability that the MOSS will detect disease if it is there at a frequency greater than or equal to the design prevalence. You need a threshold and samples to determine if disease is there.
* Represents the level of confidence of detecting disease if it were present in the target population at the design prevalence. Part of this is what diagnostic test you use.
* Use DSe of individual tests used in the system; plays a small part
* What do you think the MOSS specificity should be? We always assume a surveillance system has 100% specificity. Any time we get a positive in a system, we would investigate it. if it is a false + due to imperfect specificity, we would continue testing to determine it is a false positive. but if it is a true positive then it is game over.

28
Q
A

Schematic representation of a MOSS for determining ‘freedom from disease’

29
Q

Historically, in order to determine freedom of disease a country would conduct?

A

repeated surveys and conduct all the tests to ensure no disease presence/eradicate disease if found.

If to demonstrate to not have disease for trade country would have to do a one off survey.

With time, way of thining shifted –> each survey is a chain of islands -> weight of evidence –> continued freedom in further years if one year the country did not have disease. only thing counteracting: any given time there is the probability that the disease can be introduced.

30
Q

Historically, in order to determine freedom of disease a country would conduct?

A

repeated surveys and conduct all the tests to ensure no disease presence/eradicate disease if found.

If to demonstrate to not have disease for trade country would have to do a one off survey.

With time, way of thining shifted –> each survey is a chain of islands -> weight of evidence –> continued freedom in further years if one year the country did not have disease. only thing counteracting: any given time there is the probability that the disease can be introduced. Biosecurity is very important here; counterbalances continuous surveillance system that are put in place.

31
Q

FYI

A
32
Q

Define risk.

A

Risk is usually defined as a triplet
* Event - What can go wrong?
* Probability - How likely is it?
* Consequence - How big is the impact?

33
Q

Risk analysis attempts to arrive at a _________, ________-based argument that helps the ___ manager (decision-maker- usually __ level) determine how ?

A

rational, scientifically, risk, govt

best to address the identified risks(s)

34
Q

Risk analysis provides an informative assessment of __________
* Decision-makers don’t have to deal with simply ‘_________’ situations. Need to put ________ to this.

A

probability

possible, numbers

35
Q

As a country, you can create new economic opportunities by ?

A

instead of closing your border keeping them open and import things.

Provide opportunities which otherwise would have been forgotten
* Take risks for things we would like to have into consideration

36
Q

Risk is a function of both the _______ and ______ of an event
…Depends on _____ assessing the risk!

A

probability, impact, who’s

37
Q

Before the WTO, it was called?

A

GATT
Uruguay Round in 1994
* Transformed the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) into the World Trade
Organization (WTO)

38
Q

What is the SPS Agreement?

A

Sanitary & Phytosanitary (SPS) Agreement
* Recognizes the right of countries to protect human, animal or plant life and health
* Avoid use of SPS measures as unjustified (‘technical’) barriers to trade

39
Q

What is the WOAH?

A

World Organisation for Animal Health (WOAH, formerly OIE)
* Responsible for setting international standards for animal health and zoonosis
* Provide importing counties with objective, transparent and defensible method of
assessing the disease risks associated with importation of animals and animal products

40
Q

What are the Principles of risk analysis in trade?
1. Zero risk is incompatible with ______ trade
2. A country is free to determine its own ?
* Level of protection deemed appropriate by ?
3. Countries can set ALOP provided that SPS agreement:
* Applied only to the extent necessary to protect?
* Based on scientific principles and not maintained without sufficient scientific evidence
(except emergency or provisional measures)
* Do not unjustifiably discriminate between national and foreign, or among foreign
sources of supply
4. The process should be ________
5. Restrictions must be supported by _____ (i.e. risk analysis), and consistent with the country’s ALOP (appropriate level of protection)
6. Clarification of differences can be referenced by a neutral organization (e.g. WOAH).

A
  1. active
  2. appropriate level of protection (ALOP), the Member establishing SPS measures to
    protect human, animal or plant life or health within its territory
  3. life or health
  4. transparent, science
41
Q

How do you determine if a country has a legitimate SPS measure?

A
  1. Is the disease you are concerned with exotic or endemic?
42
Q

Codex Alimentarius Commission
1. Set up by?
2. What is this committees goals?
3. The guidelines focus on?

A
  1. FAO and WHO
    • Goals concerning food:
      * Protect the health of consumers of food
      * Facilitate international food trade
      * Ensure fair practices in the international food trade
  2. Series of guidelines on food safety risk analysis
43
Q

The guidelines established by WOAH focus on?

A

WOAH (World Organisation for Animal Health)
* Animal and aquatic import risk analysis guidelines
* 1) Hazard identification
* 2) Risk assessment
* 3) Risk management
* 4) Risk communication

44
Q

WOAH - 1) Hazard Identification
* Any pathogenic agent that could produce ______ consequences
* WOAH-_____ diseases (117, as of early 2022) Reviewed by _____ annually. See if it is on the list - Yes or No

A
  • Any pathogenic agent that could produce adverse consequences
  • WOAH-listed diseases (117, as of early 2022) Reviewed by peers annually. See if it is on the list - Yes or No
45
Q

WOAH - Risk Assessment
1. Release assessment (Pathogen “[Formally called] Entering” your country and leaving exporting country)
- Estimate likelihood of the imported commodity being infected/contaminated
* What factors need to be considered here?
2. Exposure assessment (“Establishing”) - Relates to importing country
- Describe the biological pathway(s) necessary for exposure of animals and humans
* What factors need to be considered here?
3. Consequence assessment (Now that it is in the country, want to know how it spreads “[Formally called] Spreading”)
- Estimate the likelihood of potential consequences
4. Risk estimation (This is the outcome/product of risk assessment - your best guess after doing steps 1-3)
- Compilation of the results obtained from the Risk Assessment (Release, Exposure, and Consequence)
- If estimated risk is ‘non-negligible’ = actual hazard aka you need to deal with it and put SPS measures in place.

A

same factors for 1 and 2
Factors for 3:
Direct – in the animal (population)
1. Morbidity and mortality
2. Production losses
3. Animal welfare

Indirect
1. Economic
- Costs of control and eradication or surveillance
- Potential trade losses
2. Environmental
- Amenity values
- Social, cultural and esthetic conditions

46
Q

Overall, the risk assessment answers what questions?

A

What can go wrong (hazard)?
How can it happen (drivers)?
How likely is it (probability)?
How bad can it be (impact)?
Would the practical collection of further data alter a decision?
Would the incorrectness of any assumption change the management decision, and if so can we test it? e.g. SRS vs convenience sampling? Does this create potential bias? If so, in what direction? Do you need to change samples.
How much would the action(s) or inaction(s) cost and to whom?

47
Q

Risk management:
* If risk estimate is non-negligible, then SPS (sanitary measures) can be _________
* Process of implementing ________ measures to effectively manage the risks posed by the hazard associated with the commodity
* There must be a ________ relationship between the measures chosen and the risk assessment
* Results of the risk assessment ________ the measure

A

justified, sanitary, reasoned, support

48
Q

What questions does risk management ask?

A

What specific questions do we want the risk assessment to answer?
What assessment assumptions are we willing to accept?
What can be done to reduce the impact of unwanted events?
What can be done to reduce the likelihood of unwanted events?
What are the trade-offs involved among risk management options?
- Who bears the cost of action and inaction?
Which is the best option?

49
Q

At the risk management level, if there is sufficient uncertainty, precautionary principle can be applied. What does this mean?

A
  • Taking an action believing, without proof, it will protect against a significant risk
  • The greater the risk, the less evidence we require before taking protective action

Dangerous approach b/c you are operating without scientific evidence, but you need enough proof to demonstrate that your actions are validated.

–> Frequently justifiable with certain restrictions and commitments
* Data or scientific knowledge is not currently available to adequately assess risk
* A commitment is made to collect information or do research where possible
* Includes a tangible plan with collection of information and research that will be done, within
a specified timeline, and how it will help make a more informed decision

50
Q

Risk communication
* Put in place at start of each ____ analysis
* Information and opinions regarding _____ and ____ are gathered from stakeholders:
* _______ and _____ countries
* ______ and _____ industry groups, etc.
* (4) exchange of information
* _____ reviewed

A
  • Put in place at start of each risk analysis
  • Information and opinions regarding hazards and risks are gathered from stakeholders
    • Exporting and importing countries
    • Domestic and foreign industry groups, etc.
  • Open, interactive, iterative, and transparent exchange of information
  • Peer reviewed
51
Q

What questions does risk communication ask?

A

With whom do you communicate?
What are their agendas?
What do people know about the risks and how? What do they want to know?
How do you get both the information you need and the information others have?
How and when do you convey the in formation you want to communicate?

52
Q

What approaches are used for risk estimation?

A

You can do it:
1. Quantitative = best
2. Qualitative = not a lot of data to support approaches
3. Mixture of both (semi-quantitative)

53
Q

Your risk estimation must be:

A

Objective, repeatable, and documented assessment of the risk posed by a
particular course of action
* Brings information into the open and encourages dialog and improves public confidence

54
Q

Why do you need a model for risk estimation?

A

Needs a model to represent the complex system being analyzed
* Address the system’s main characteristics
* Incorporate uncertainty associated with characteristics and properties of the system
* Select appropriate distributions
* Run sensitivity analyses = run a scenario where you go everyting on the easy side (low risk) and then everythig on hard side (high risk) and then run the analysis and gives you a result somewhere in between = confidence interval

55
Q

When evidence/data are missing in your risk estimation, what do you do?

A

Need to rely on ‘expert opinion’
* Pooling information
* …caution with potential bias, correlation, and issues with weighting information

56
Q

In your risk estimate, what type of language should be used?

A

You must be very precise. See good and bad examples below:

  1. Bad = If a group of cattle are imported, what is the risk of this group passing any
    infectious pathogen to indigenous livestock?
  2. Good = What is the probability of at least one outbreak of FMD in the country per year
    if 2,000 cattle are imported under OIE guidelines from a country that is endemic
    to FMD?
57
Q
A

We are looking at what is the risk of the human contracting S. enteriditis post interaction

58
Q

Define Negligible.
Cost and losses/consequences?
Description?

A

Event would be virtually unlikely to occur

59
Q

Define Extremely low
Cost and losses/consequences?
Description?

A

Event would be extremely unlikely to occur

60
Q

Define Very low
Cost and losses/consequences?
Description?

A

Event would be very unlikely to occur
Minor
Less serious

61
Q

Define Low
Cost and losses/consequences?
Description?

A

Event would be unlikely to occur
Low
Inferior in seriousness

62
Q

Define Small
Cost and losses/consequences?
Description?

A

Event would be minimally likely to occur

63
Q

Define moderate
Cost and losses/consequences?
Description?

A

Event would be fairly likely to occur
Intermediate
Serious

64
Q

Define High
Cost and losses/consequences?
Description?

A

Event would likely occur
Severe
Intensely harmful

65
Q

Anything right of the line is?

A

Non-negligible
This is where politicians or govt. officials need to implement SPS measures.

This is only looking at the probability of an event

66
Q

Anything of the right line is?

A

Non-negligible

Risk estimate looks at overall estimate so both the overall probability of an event and the consequences of an event.

Non-linear relationship