STT. Exam 2 Flashcards
conditional probability formula
=Pr(little |big)
false positive:
test states the condition is present, but it is actually absent
false negative:
test states the condition is absent, but it is actually present
sample space
“S”, set of all possible outcomes
law of large numbers
the larger the number of trials, the more stable the probability will become
independent trials
outcomes do not affect each other
event
subset of sample space, ex. A {2,4,6}
probability
count in event (ex. A)/ total in S
probability is between two numbers:
0 and 1
certain event
the probability of an event that must occur, is 1
not A:
event that A does not occur
A and B:
both A and B occur (what overlaps!)
A or B:
event that both occur (don’t count overlap twice)
disjoint/mutually exclusive A and B means that:
they have no overlap
disjoint/mutually exclusive A and B formula:
P(A or B)= P(A and B) or P(A) + P(B)
A and B formula when trials are independent:
P (A and B)= P(A) x P(B)
complement rule:
P(not A or A compliment)= 1- P(A)
If A and B are disjoint, then…
P(A and B) = 0
If Pr(A and B) do not equal 0, then…
A and B are not disjoint
or=
add
and=
multiply
if A and B are independent, then:
P(A and B) = P(A) x P(B)