STT. Exam 2 Flashcards

1
Q

conditional probability formula

A

=Pr(little |big)

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2
Q

false positive:

A

test states the condition is present, but it is actually absent

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3
Q

false negative:

A

test states the condition is absent, but it is actually present

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4
Q

sample space

A

“S”, set of all possible outcomes

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5
Q

law of large numbers

A

the larger the number of trials, the more stable the probability will become

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6
Q

independent trials

A

outcomes do not affect each other

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7
Q

event

A

subset of sample space, ex. A {2,4,6}

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8
Q

probability

A

count in event (ex. A)/ total in S

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9
Q

probability is between two numbers:

A

0 and 1

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10
Q

certain event

A

the probability of an event that must occur, is 1

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11
Q

not A:

A

event that A does not occur

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12
Q

A and B:

A

both A and B occur (what overlaps!)

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13
Q

A or B:

A

event that both occur (don’t count overlap twice)

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14
Q

disjoint/mutually exclusive A and B means that:

A

they have no overlap

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15
Q

disjoint/mutually exclusive A and B formula:

A

P(A or B)= P(A and B) or P(A) + P(B)

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16
Q

A and B formula when trials are independent:

A

P (A and B)= P(A) x P(B)

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17
Q

complement rule:

A

P(not A or A compliment)= 1- P(A)

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18
Q

If A and B are disjoint, then…

A

P(A and B) = 0

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19
Q

If Pr(A and B) do not equal 0, then…

A

A and B are not disjoint

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20
Q

or=

A

add

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21
Q

and=

A

multiply

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22
Q

if A and B are independent, then:

A

P(A and B) = P(A) x P(B)

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22
Q

marginal

A

looking at columns, going “down”

23
Q

conditional

A

looking at rows, going “across”

23
Q

if A and B are dependent, then:

A

Pr(A and B) = Pr(A) x Pr(B|A)
Pr(A and B) = Pr(B) x Pr(A|B)

24
Q

X=

A

random variable

25
Q

E(X)=

A

expected value, mu, population mean

26
Q

population mean notation:

A

mu

27
Q

population SD notation:

A

sigma

28
Q

sample mean notation:

A

x bar

29
Q

sample SD notation:

A

s (little s)

30
Q

important property of density curve:

A

areas under the curve correspond to relative frequencies

31
Q

SD rule:

A

68% is 1 SD away
95% is 2 SD away
99.7% is 3 SD away

32
Q

z-score formula:

A

x-xbar/SD

33
Q

chap. 6 z-score formula:

A

x-mu/sigma

34
Q

68% of data:

A

mu + or - sigma

35
Q

95% of data:

A

mu + or - 2sigma

36
Q

99.7% of data:

A

mu + or - 3sigma

37
Q

center:

A

mu

38
Q

spread:

A

sigma

39
Q

area under the density curve represents the:

A

probability

40
Q

normal distribution/ ‘N’ formula:

A

= N(center, spread)
=N(mu, sigma)

41
Q

standard normal notation for mu:

A

0

42
Q

standard normal notation for sigma:

A

1

43
Q

x follows what notation:

A

general normal, x=N(mu, sigma)

44
Q

z follows what notation:

A

standard normal, z= N(0,1)

45
Q

lower tail:

A

to the left

46
Q

upper tail:

A

to the right

47
Q

what tail is used to find percentiles?

A

lower tail (to the left)

48
Q

population proportion:

A

p

49
Q

sample proportion:

A

p-hat

50
Q

sigma of p-hat formula:

A

square root of p times 1 - p-hat, all over n

51
Q

SD rules for p-hat:

A

68%= p + or - SD formula
95%= p + or - 2 times the SD formula
99.7%= p + or - 3 times the SD formula

52
Q

z-score p-hat formula=

A

= p-hat - p/ SD formula

53
Q

sampling distribution notation for p-hat=

A

= N(p, SD formula)