STI and HIV aetiology and public health burden Flashcards
What is the basic reproductive rate
the number of secondary cases of an infection that arise from a primary case at t=0
what does the Ro have to be for a disease to be an epidemic
Ro=2
what does the Ro have to be for a disease to disappear
Ro=0.5
what are the three factors that make up the formula for the basic reproductive rate
- transmission probability per sexual partner (b)
- duration of infection (d)
- rate of partner change (c)
what is the formula for the effective reproductive rate
BcD(x)
x = the proportion of the population that is susceptible
what types of things influences the transmission probability per sexual partner of a disease
condom usage types of sex duration of sex bleeding associated with sex another STI present HIV present load of organisms duration of partnership
what types of things influences the duration of the infection of an STI
- treatment and clinical services
screening - symptom recognition
- asymptomatic infection
what types of things influences the rate of partner change
education behavioural interventions mixing patterns concurrency core and non core groups
what is the “core group”?
the small population of people within the larger population that have a higher risk of infection compared to the overall population
(the SD of the mean)
what is assortative and disassortative mixing
assortative - mixing between two high risk people
dissassortative - mixing between one high risk and one low risk person
what is concurrency
those people who have more than one sexual partner at a time
how do we account for the core group
rate of partner change (c) = mean partners + (SD)2/mean
what is the theory behind why gonorrhoea rates went up in the last part of the 20th century
because fear campaigns we so strong that non risk gay men stopped having sex and only those having lots of partners continued to have sex with those who also had lots of partners: assortative mixing
what is the dominant determinant of the prevalence of an STI
the duration of infection (D)
what is PreP
pre-exposure prophylaxis (people who are HIV negative will take medication to prevent risk of HIV)