Stats M. 8 Flashcards
hypothesis test (significance test)
is a method for using sample data to decide between 2 competing claims about a population characteristic
hypothesis test involves writing two hypotheses (in terms of population parameter)
- null hypothesis, Ho
- alternative hypothesis, Ha
-initially assume Ho is true
two posible conclusions in hypothesis testing
- reject Ho
- fail to reject Ho
null hypothesis
-claim about a population parameter that is initially assumed to be true
-always include an =
alternative hypothesis
-claim about a population parameter that we hope to show is true
-either a ≠, <, or >
significance level
a threshold that we establish in order to help us determine the cutoff for what is considered to be unusual enough to lead us to no longer believe the null hypothesis
hypothesis testing steps
- fix an acceptable significance level
- define your parameter of interest
- write your null and alternative hypotheses
- collect data
- check assumptions
- calculate your test statistic
- calculate p-value
- make a decision regarding the sampling distribution (reject Ho, fail to reject Ho, we never accept Ho)
- write conclusion
p value
the probability of observing our sample result or something even more extreme given that the null hypothesis is true
a small p value
(p value <= a)
says data we have observed would be very unlikely if our null hypothesis were true, and we have reason to reject the null hypothesis
-stronger the evidence against null hypothesis
a large p value
says that the stat we have observed are consistent with the model from the null hypothesis and we have no reason to reject the null hypothesis