S13: Risk, Return, The Security Market Line, & Cost Of Capital Flashcards
Dividend & Capital Gain Yields
An investorβs return on an investment is their total gain or loss from holding onto an investment is their total gain or loss from holding the financial assets. It is the sum of the securityβs:
1. Income component
2. Capital gain(loss) component
Income Component
The dividends and/or interest received over the holding period
Total % Return
Total % Return = dividend yield + capital gain yield
Total % Return = (Dt+1/Pt)+((Pt+1-Pt)/Pt)
Realized Return
Return that actually occurred
Expected Return
What we believe a security will yield
Portfolios
Collections of securities, characterized by risk
Expected Return E(R)
πΈ(π) = β π(π )π(π ) = π(π 1)π(π 1) + π(π 2)π(π 2) β― + π(π π)π(π π)
Variance & Standard Deviation of Returns
Gives idea of βspreadβ or βrangeβ of possible returns - the wider the spread, the greater the risk
Steps to Calculate VAR and SD
- Calculate R(boom) & R(bust) -> (1/3*%chance boom/bust)
- Calculate E(rp) -> includes both R(boom&bust) calculations
- Identify P(boom) & P (bust)
- Combine and calculate VARboom & VARbust using πππ(π) = π2 = β π(π )[π(π ) β πΈ(π)]2
- Sum boom and bust var for VAR & square root for SD
Interpreting SD & E(Rp) results
- 99% within +- 3 SDs of E(Rp)
- 96% within +- 2 SDs of E(Rp)
- 68% within +- 1 SDs of E(Rp)
Risk
Uncertainty, or dispersion, around our expectations. Can be positive or negative
Systematic Risk
Affects many assets - surprises that affect market overall (not able to reduce to 0)
Unsystematic Risk (aka firm risk)
Unique to individual firm (can be eliminated through diversification)
Diversification
Process of developing a portfolio or collection of assets to reduce your risk - only eliminates unsystematic risk
Beta
Measure of systematic risk
CAPM
Tells expected rate of return (k)
Security Market Line (SML)
A line connecting the E(R) of a security with the E(Rm). Shows linear relationship between securityβs expected or required rate of return and its Beta
Market Portfolio
Consists of all assets/available securities, Beta always = 1
Cost of Capital
Returns for investors are costs for firm
Cost of Equity
The return that E investors require on their investment in the firm (determined by CAPM) =
Shares Outstanding * Price per Share
Cost of Debt
The return that bond investors - the lenders - require on the firmβs debt (determined by firmβs bondsβ YTMs), D=Par value * % of par that market is trading at
Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
The weighted average of the cost of equity and after-tax cost of debt. It is the overall return the firm must earn on its existing assets to maintain the firmβs value, taking into account the firmβs capital structure
Capital Structure
The % of the firm financed with debt vs % financed with equity
Market Capitalization
E, the market value of stock
What does the cost of capital depend on?
Use of funds, not the source
WACC Uses
NPV= Use WACC for discount rate
IRR= Use WACC for βhurdle rateβ for comparison