S13: Risk, Return, The Security Market Line, & Cost Of Capital Flashcards
Dividend & Capital Gain Yields
An investorβs return on an investment is their total gain or loss from holding onto an investment is their total gain or loss from holding the financial assets. It is the sum of the securityβs:
1. Income component
2. Capital gain(loss) component
Income Component
The dividends and/or interest received over the holding period
Total % Return
Total % Return = dividend yield + capital gain yield
Total % Return = (Dt+1/Pt)+((Pt+1-Pt)/Pt)
Realized Return
Return that actually occurred
Expected Return
What we believe a security will yield
Portfolios
Collections of securities, characterized by risk
Expected Return E(R)
πΈ(π) = β π(π )π(π ) = π(π 1)π(π 1) + π(π 2)π(π 2) β― + π(π π)π(π π)
Variance & Standard Deviation of Returns
Gives idea of βspreadβ or βrangeβ of possible returns - the wider the spread, the greater the risk
Steps to Calculate VAR and SD
- Calculate R(boom) & R(bust) -> (1/3*%chance boom/bust)
- Calculate E(rp) -> includes both R(boom&bust) calculations
- Identify P(boom) & P (bust)
- Combine and calculate VARboom & VARbust using πππ(π) = π2 = β π(π )[π(π ) β πΈ(π)]2
- Sum boom and bust var for VAR & square root for SD
Interpreting SD & E(Rp) results
- 99% within +- 3 SDs of E(Rp)
- 96% within +- 2 SDs of E(Rp)
- 68% within +- 1 SDs of E(Rp)
Risk
Uncertainty, or dispersion, around our expectations. Can be positive or negative
Systematic Risk
Affects many assets - surprises that affect market overall (not able to reduce to 0)
Unsystematic Risk (aka firm risk)
Unique to individual firm (can be eliminated through diversification)
Diversification
Process of developing a portfolio or collection of assets to reduce your risk - only eliminates unsystematic risk
Beta
Measure of systematic risk