S10: Bond Valuation Flashcards
Determining Bond Yields: Calculator Steps
N = years to maturity * 2
PV = bond ask price
PMT = face value of bond * coupon rate (%) * 1/2
FV = face value of bond
I/Y = <CPT> * 2 -> This is the annual yield</CPT>
Determining Bond Prices: Calculator Steps
N = years to maturity * 2
I/Y = annual % yield * 1/2
PMT = face value of bond * coupon rate (%) * 1/2
FV = face value of bond
PV = <CPT> -> This is the bond ask price</CPT>
Current Yield (NOT YTM)
Annual Coupon/Price -> Tells annual coupon payment as a % of the price you pay. Annual coupon = Face value * Coupon rate
Premium Bonds
Coupon rate > Current Yield > YTM
Price > Par
Discount Bonds
Coupon rate < Current Yield < YTM
Price < Par
Bonds with similar risk and structure (maturity, callability, etc.)
Have prices in market such that they will yield about the same return, regardless of the coupon rate (Ex: lows and home depot)
St. Louis FED’s FRED
Website where we can find current and historical bond yields for corporate and government issuers - gives us estimates of appropriate discount rates to use in our bond valuations
What factors influence bond yields?
Interest rate risk, credit or default risk, liquidity risk, inflation risk
Interest Rate Risk
The risk that rising interest rates will reduce the value of bonds you hold (ex: you hold a 5% bond but IR in economy goes up to 7%)
Credit/Default Risk
Risk that bond issuer will be unable to pay the coupons or principal (high risk, high yield)
Liquidity Risk
Risk that your bond can’t be sold quickly without significant loss to value (Sell at a discount less than par value)
Inflation Risk
Risk that rising prices will erode the purchasing power of your bond’s coupon payments
Nominal Rates (Inflation Risk)
The quoted rates of interest and return that provide the actual return in dollars
Real Rates (Inflation Risk)
Returns in terms of purchasing power, inclusive of the effects of inflation
Fisher Effect (Inflation Risk)
Shows relationship between nominal rates (R), real rates (r), and inflation rate (h)