Risk Treatment & Adaptation Options Flashcards
What is risk treatment?
Selection and implementation of measures to modify risk
What is the goal of options evaluations and adaptive planning?
To determine how to adapt to climate change and reduce risk in the future.
Uncertainty has to be managed carefully based on:
- how fast climate change is
- effects of climate change
- wider effects of climate change
What is affected by options and evaluations related to risk and adaptation?
- existing development
- new development
- below and above ground infrastructure
- design and location of new major infrastructure
How can we adapt?
- anticipatory/reactive adaptation
- private (by individuals)
- public (by govt)
- autonomous
- planned
- maladaptive adaptation (increases risk)
What does a cost-benefit analysis involve?
1) Transforming costs and benefits into monetary values
2) Calculating NPV
3) Calculating ratios
What is Value of a Statistical Life (VSL)?
How much society is willing to pay to reduce the risk of death.
VSL is used to assess potential benefits of policies or safety measures aimed at reducing mortality risks.
Measures that reduce risk to life are evaluated with cost-benefit analysis.
What is the risk acceptance criteria?
If risk is above tolerable limit, action must be taken
What is As Low As Reasonably Practicable?
ALARP is reversed burden of proof. Measure must be implemented UNLESS it can be shown that the cost is far too high
What is Cautionary Principle?
Not acting when there’s uncertainty linked to consequences. Level of caution must be balanced with other concerns like cost.
What is precautionary principle?
If consequences of an activity could be serious and are uncertain, precautionary measures should be taken OR the activity shouldn’t be carried out. Always take measure to reduce risk if there’s uncertainty!
Multi criteria evaluation of risk and options considers:
- risk reducing potential
- cost
- environmental impacts
- cultural appropriateness
- community acceptance
- opportunity cost
- robustness to uncertainty
Multi criteria evaluation for climate adaptation option include:
- total cost of options
- risk reduction
- ecology
- landscape
- cultural heritage
- social and cultural wellbeing
- public access and recreation
- legal risk
- adaptability
How communities develop can make them more ____/ less ___ to extreme events
resilient; vulnerable
Broader, societal changes can have ___ ____ that increase ___ to shocks and stressors
positive; co-benefits; resilience
What is engineering resilience?
Capacity of a system to return to the same state following a disturbance.
Robustness: resistance to disturbances.
Recovery: speed to return to the former state.
What is ecological resilience?
Magnitude of disturbance before shifting to a different state.
Robustness: resistance to a changing state.
Resourcefulness: ability to reorganise so to retain the same function.
What is specific resilience?
of what; to what. specific systems; to specified shocks. 4 R’s!!!
1) Robustness: ability to withstand shock
2) Redundancy: reduce vulnerability with redundancy
3) Resourcefulness: capability of a system improve/ adapt
4) Rapidity: speed to return to functionality
What is general resilience?
System’s characteristics that enable it to respond to disturbances.
Capacity to resist and adapt to the unexpected.
Multiple potentially unknown disturbances.
Resilience definitions in general:
- ability to adapt and recover
- speed of recovery
- ‘bouncing back’
What are the common components of resilience?
1) Ability of a system to maintain/ quickly restore functionality
2) Ability of system to transform for the better following a disruption
What are the dimensions of resilience?
Anticipate, prepare, absorb, adapt, and transform.
What is the formal definition of resilience?
Characteristics of a system enabling it to achieve desired functionality during a specific time, following an event
Factors to consider for resilience for wellbeing includes:
- Infrastructure
- Community capacity
- Equity
- Potential for maladaptation
Infrastructure resilience is dominated by …
the ability of social units to mitigate hazards, contain effects of disasters and carry out recovery to minimise social disruption and mitigate effects of future EQ.
A resilient system should:
- reduce failure probability
- reduce consequences from failure
- reduce time to recovery
Dimensions of infrastructure resilience:
The 4 Rs:
1) Robust: withstand and not lose functionality
2) Redundancy: substitute components and maintain functionality
3) Resourcefulness: capacity to meet required functionality
4) Rapidity: how quickly to recover
What is network resilience?
Determines how a system responds to a node or edge (link) removal