Climate Change Adaptation Flashcards
According to the Global Risks Report 2023, what are the Top 10 Risks over a 2-year period?
- Cost of living crisis
- Natural disasters and extreme weather events
- Geoeconomic confrontation
- Failure to mitigate climate change
- Erosion of social cohesion and societal polarization
- Large-scale environmental damage incidents
- Failure of climate-change adaptation
- Widespread cybercrime and cyber insecurity
- Natural resource crises
- Large-scale involuntary migration
According to the Global Risks Report 2023, what are the Top 10 Risks over a 10-year period?
- Failure to mitigate climate change
- Failure of climate-change adaptation
- Natural disasters and extreme weather events
- Biodiversity loss and ecosystem collapse
- Large-scale involuntary migration
- Natural resource crises
- Erosion of social cohesion and societal polarization
- Widespread cybercrime and cyber insecurity
- Geoeconomic confrontation
- Large-scale environmental damage incidents
What are some major points on macroeconomic risks?
- Market volatility
- Global growth slowing
- Eroding trust
What are some major points on geopolitical tensions?
- Difficult to make collective progress on global issues
- Interventions may be viewed as hostile
- 85% respondents expect major-power political confrontations
What are some major points on environmental risks?
- Have shifted in likelihood and consequence perception
- Account for three of the top five by likelihood and four by impact
- Spending on disaster recovery is nine times higher than on prevention
What are some major points on technological risks?
- “Overlooked relative to the risk”
- Cyber theft of money, information, identity
- Cyber-attacks on critical infrastructure
What are some major points on mental health risks?
- Exacerbated by feeling a lack of control in the face of uncertainty
- Anger, anxiety, loneliness, decline in empathy
- Affects wider risk landscape via impact on social cohesion and political stability
What are some major points on biological risks?
- “World is badly underprepared for even modest biological threats”
- Emerging tech are making it easier for threats to be manufactured and released
What are some major points on sea level rise?
- Urbanisation concentrating people on coast
- Destroying natural defences
- 800 million people in cities vulnerable to 0.5m SLR (expected by 2050)
What are the Top 5 trends in the Global Risks Report?
- Changing climate
- Rising cyber dependency
- Increasing polarization of societies
- Rising income and wealth disparity
- Increasing national sentiment
What are some causes of failure to mitigate climate change?
- Ineffectiveness of multilateral institutions and international cooperation
- Biodiversity loss and ecosystem collapse
- Large-scale environmental damage incidents
- Failure of climate-change adaptation
- Natural disasters and extreme weather events
What are some consequences of failure to mitigate climate change?
- Natural disasters and extreme weather events
- Biodiversity loss and ecosystem collapse
- Natural resource crises
- Large-scale environmental damage incidents
- Large-scale involuntary migration
What are some causes of failure to adapt to climate change?
- Failure to mitigate climate change
- Biodiversity loss and ecosystem collapse
- Natural disasters and extreme weather events
- Large-scale environmental damage incidents
- Natural resource crises
What are some consequences of failure to adapt to climate change?
- Natural disasters and extreme weather events
- Natural resource crises
- Biodiversity loss and ecosystem collapse
- Large-scale environmental damage incidents
- Large-scale involuntary migration
Define Adaptation.
The process of adjustment to actual or expected climate and its effects.
In human systems, adaptation seeks to moderate or avoid harm or exploit beneficial opportunities.
In some natural systems, human intervention may facilitate adjustment to expected climate and its effects.
Define Vulnerability.
The characteristics and circumstances of a community, system or asset that make it susceptible to the damaging effects of a hazard.
Define Risk.
The consequences of an activity and associated uncertainty.
Define Resilience.
The ability of a system to achieve desired functionality.
There is interdependence of climate, ecosystems and human societies. Climate risks are considered in the context of other global trends such as …
- Biodiversity loss
- Unsustainable consumption
- Land and ecosystem degradation
- Urbanisation
- Demographic shifts
- Social and economic inequalities
- Pandemic
Describe Adaptive Solutions
- Adaptation is reducing climate risk by adjusting the existing systems
- Solutions must be effective, feasible, and conform to the principles of justice (distributive, procedural, recognitional)
- Solutions must have win-wins (co-benefits) and avoid trade-offs (such as maladaptation)
Describe Infrastructure Transition and some considerations.
- Climate risk adaptation in design/planning of infrastructure
- Options exist, but constrained by institutional, financial, technological access and capacity
- Responses are most effective if combined/sequenced, planned well ahead, align with sociocultural values, and are underpinned by inclusive community engagement. Critical to avoid maladaptation
Describe Climate Resilient Development.
- Integrated, inclusive planning and investment in everyday decision-making about urban infrastructure.
- Urgent action is needed for new and retrofitted existing urban design, infrastructure and land use.
What is stopping adaptation?
Deficits
- Lack of knowledge about risks and solution
- Potential for maladaptative consequences
- Lack of resources for action
Misaligned incentives
- Fragmented responsibilities
- Frontloaded costs / backloaded benefits
- Most vulnerable have little power
What is the 10-step structured engagement process for adaptation in NZ (include output and implementation)?
- Preparation and Context
- Hazard and SLR Assessments
- Values and Objectives
- Vulnerability and Risk
- Identify Options and Pathways
- Option Evaluation
- Adaptive Planning Strategy (with triggers)
- Implementation Plan
- Monitor
- Review and Adjust
Output: Community Adaptation Plans that identify community values and objectives; options and pathways; triggers for action.
Implementation: District Plan, Infrastructure Strategy …
What is the Risk Management Process (ISO 31000:2009)?
- Planning
- Risk Assessment
a. Identification
b. Analysis
c. Evaluation - Risk Treatment
What questions do you need to ask in the Planning step of the Risk Management Process?
- Establish the context (what are you doing, why are you doing it, where are you doing it, who is involved)
- What are the objectives?
- What are you measuring?
- What do you plan to do with the information?
Outline the Assessment step of the Risk Management Process?
- Identification
- Cause analysis
- Consequence analysis
- Uncertainties
- Evaluate whether the risk is acceptable
What is the Treatment step of the Risk Management Process?
Take steps to reduce the risk
In the Preparation step (Step 1) of the 10-step structured engagement process for adaptation in NZ, you must consider …
- What area/community are you working in?
- What is the timeframe?
- What are the boundaries?
- What legislation/policy is relevant?
- Who are the key stakeholders and decision-makers?
- What resources are available to you?
- What depth of risk analysis is required?
- How will the information be used in decision making?
In the What Matters Most stage (Steps 3 & 4) of the 10-step structured engagement process for adaptation in NZ, you must consider …
- NZ’s Living Standards Framework
Wellbeing domains:
- Natural environment
- Built environment
- Human
- Economy
- Governance
Maori interest domains
- Natural environment
- Maori enterprise
- Healthy people
- Maori culture and practices