Quantitative Investment Concepts Flashcards
Systematic Risk
non-diversifiable, market risk
can’t be avoided
all securities tend to move in same fashion
PRIME Purchasing Power Reinvestment Rate Risk Interest Rate Risk Market Risk Exchange Rate Risk
Purchasing Power Risk
loss of purchasing power due to inflation
ex rising price of goods and services
Reinvestment Risk
proceeds from current investment will be invested at a lower interest rate
short term investments
CD/bond maturing
Interest Rate Risk
change in interest rates will cause market value of fixed investments to fall
Market Risk
risk of overall market
can’t be avoided
Exchange Rate Risk
risk associated with change in value of currencies
foreign stocks and funds
Political Risk
Country risk - uncertainty caused by changes in the political or economic environment of a country
National Policy Risk
Unsystematic Risk
Non-Systematic Risk
diversifiable
business and financial risk
Business Risk/ Financial Risk
Business
nature of the firm’s operation
demand increase and decreases
loss due to bad management
Financial
how business fiances its assets
possible loss due to heavy debt
Total Risk
Represented by Standard Deviation
systematic an unsystematic risk
Liquidity
speed and stability of price to liquidate
may include cash value life insurance and short term or laddered CD’s
open end MF, closed end funds, ETF, and brokered CD’s not liquid (loss of Principal)
Marketability
Speed of a transaction only - no price stability
checking, savings, money markets and MF are redeemable and NOT marketable
bonds, stocks are marketable
Mean
middle point between to extremes
Normal vs Lognormal Distributions
Normal -Possibility of positive and negative returns over a given time
Return is symmetrical about the mean
(period returns, leveraged money, volatility)
Lognormal - Possibility of positive or 0 over a period of time (can’t lose more than all your money)
Distribution is positively skewed
Mean is to the right of the highest point in the curve
(ending portfolio totals, no margin)
Correlation Coefficient
+1 to -1
to determine need covariance and standard deviation
Covariance - measures the extent to which 2 stocks are related to each other
Standard deviation measures variability of returns
COVij = (Pij)(SDi)(SDj) Solve for Pij
+1 = perfect positive correlation - Max risk- standard deviation is = the weighted average of standard deviation of the 2 assets
-1 perfect negative correlation - move exact opposite to one another. Risk is eliminated. Standard deviation is 0.
Risk is less than max risk