Bond and Stock Valuation Flashcards
Bond Duration
Weighted average maturity of a bonds cash flow on a present value basis
Price sensitivity to changes in interest rate
Used to compare price volatility. Higher duration = more volatile
Moment in time where investor is immune to interest rate and reinvestment risk
duration of portfolio should equal investors time horizon
Bond Duration Principles
y= current yield on comparative bonds
( when market interest rate increases, duration decreases)
t = years to maturity
c= annual coupon rate
Increases Duration = longer YTM, Longer maturity, lower coupon, lower market interest rates
Immunization
Duration of the bond portfolio equals time horizon of client.
Offsets interest rate risk and reinvestment risk
Interest Rate Risk
Price risk - bond price and required rate of return
Reinvestment Risk- uncertainty about rate income can be reinvested at
Zero’s - Duration
duration equals maturity
Price fluctuates MORE than coupon bonds with same maturity
Duration- Bond interest rate changes
most important measure of risk
measures sensitivity to interest rate changes
Convexity
allows us to improve the duration approximation for bond price changes
degree to which duration changes as YTM changes
convexity is largest for:
low coupon bonds
long maturity bonds
low YTM bonds
Capitalized Earnings
based on estimates of issuers earning power X derived capitalization rate
Works well for established companies
Zero Growth Model
Price = Dividend
——————
Required rate of return
preferred stock
Constant Growth Model
Dividends grow at a constant rate
Price = Dividend (1+growth of dividend rate)
—————————————————-
required rate - growth rate of dividends
Expected Return
Er = Dividend(1+growth rate of dividend) + growth rate
—————————————————–
Price
Dividend Discount Model
market lowers the required rate of return, then the value of the stock will rise
expectations for higher dividend - the stock price will rise
6-9 FOR PROBLEMS
Does not work for co with no dividends or no dividend growth …use P/E
Price to Earnings
P/E stock price has some relationship to earnings per share
Current Market Price = earnings X P/E
Determine if stock is undervalued or overvalued
Price/Free Cash flow
Co pays no dividend
FCF (1+g)
————-
r -g