Public Opinion Flashcards
Capricious
Characterized by a sudden, impulsive, & seemingly unmotivated notion or action
Public opinion
What the public thinks about a particular issue or set of issues at any given point in time
Public opinion poll
Interviews or surveys with a sample of citizens that are used to estimate the feelings and beliefs of the entire population
Random selection
A method of selection that gives each potential voter or adult the same chance of being selected
Straw poll
A vote w/non binding results
Types of pills
Tracking polls: follow a can date or participate running
Exit polls: first indication of how an election is going
Deliberative polls: focus groups
Bandwagon effect
When voters rally to the perceived leading candidate
Underdog effect
When voters rally to the perceived trailing candidate
What is the minimum # of people a national survey?
Natural survey 1200
Problems with polls
- margin of error
- sampling error
- phrasing of questions
- truthfulness of respondent
- limited response
- lack of information
- measurement of intensity
Push polling
A political campaign technique in which an individual or organization attempts to influence the view of the respondents under the guise of conducting a poll
Characterization of the public
- mass public: 85%
- attentive public: 15%
- opinion Marcus: >1%