probability and significance Flashcards
probability
a measure of the likelihood that a particular event will occur where 0 indicates statistical impossibility and 1 statistical certainty
significance
a statistical term that tells us how sure we are that a difference or correlation exists
- a significant result means that the researcher can reject the null hypothesis
critical value
when testing a hypothesis, the numerical boundary or cut-off point between acceptance and rejection of the null hypothesis
type 1 error
the incorrect rejection of a true null hypothesis
(a false positive)
type 1 error
the failure to reject a false null hypothesis
(a false negative)
What factors can increase the likelihood of a Type 1 error in psychology statistical testing?
- higher probability level
What factors can increase the likelihood of a Type 2 error in psychology statistical testing?
- lower probability level
example question - what is the likelihood of the psychologist having made a type 1 error
- state likelihood eg 5%
- explanation eg type 1 when claims support for research hypothesis with stat test when variables in score are due to chance variables
- if set at 5% - one in twenty chance or less that due to chance rather than influence of the independent variable or some other factors