Probability Flashcards
The probability of a sample space is 1
All probabilities of possible outcomes must add to 1.
Complementary Events
The probability of complementary events must add up to 1. If the chance of rain is 25%, then the chance of not raining is 75%
Probability A + Probability Not A = 1
Independent Events
If A and B are independent events. P(A and B) = P(A)*P(B)
Dependent Events
The outcome of event A affects the outcome of event B. P(A & B) = P(A) * P(B|A)
Mutually Exclusive. Event A or Event B
The probability of Event A or Event B is P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B)
Events that are not mutually exclusive
P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A and B)
Multiple Outcomes
If you flip a coin 4 times, what is the probability that it lands on heads exactly 2 times?
Use permutations to determine how many ways you can get heads twice. HHTT, HTHT, TTHH, THTH –> 4!/(2!2!) = 6. Each outcome has a probability of (1/2)^4 = 1/16. So the total probability is (1/16)*(6) = 3/8
“At Least” Problems
If it’s At Least 2 or more, list out the scenarios, find the probability of each scenario and add them up. If it’s at least 1, use the P(at least 1) + P (none) = 1 to solve for P(at least 1).
Using Combinations to Solve Probability Problems
P(event) = favorable outcomes/total outcomes
This can also be used to solve “At Least” some problems. Find the probability of each scenario by using combinations.