Preliminaries: Theory Flashcards
what are the three viable routes to assess the causal effect of chnaging X on Y
-actual experiment
-natural experiment
-theory
actual experiment
controlled environment in which only the explanatory variable of interest X is varied randomly
example of actual experiment
vaccine trials
natural experiemnt
uncontrolled environment with properties akin to an actaul experiemnt
example of natural experiment
effect of minimum wage on employment
theory
controlled but hypothetical environment
what are macroeconomists and the Fed forced to use to assess causality
theory
what is a model
a set of theoretical assumptions designed to mimic, explain and/or predict certain avts bserved in the real world
models ability with abstraction
reduce reality down to a minimal set of assumptions to allow meaningful analysis of a particlar question at ahnd
do assumptions need to be realistic to be useful
no
what usually makes an assumptino useful
lack of realism, because it allows s to focus on our object of interest
when should an assumtion be realistic
if and only if realism is actually relevant in the context of the question at hand
balanced growth path
a trajectory such that all variables grow at a constant rate.
what do models of economic growth commonly abstract from
short run phenomena such as monetary policy
-b/c in the long run per capita output is largely determined by caoital accumulation and tech advancemnet
what do business cycle models abstract from
long run phenomena like capital accumulation and tech advancement b/c in short run the capital stock and prevailing tech are fixed