PPS Epidemiology of Hypertension Flashcards
Epidemiology of Hypertension
PPS
What factors can systematically affect BP measurements?
Subject:
anxiety -> high BP
Observer:
technique -> high/low
personality -> high/low
Instrument:
characteristics -> high/low
Cuff size:
small cuff -> high/low
large cuff -> high/low
Environment:
noisy, cold -> high
No. of readings:
more readings -> lower (esp if BP high initially)
An initial high blood pressure is often followed by lower readings- why?
Accomodation’
1 -Accommodation – sympathetic response to initial blood pressure readings falls, blood pressure falls
2 -Statistical phenomenon `regression to mean’ – when the initial BP measure is high, repeat measures tend to be lower
Why is high blood pressure globally important?
Looking at global burden of disease causes, the top item on that is actually high blood pressure.
It’s the most important single cause of ill health and death in a global context.
Why is high blood pressure a problem?
Higher blood pressure levels cause markedly higher risks of cardiovascular disease (CVD), especially coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke
High blood pressure levels high enough to increase CVD risk are very common in the general population
What does High BP increase the risks of?
Coronary (ischaemic) heart disease Stroke (all types) Ischaemic stroke Haemorrhagic stroke Subarachnoid haemorrhage Heart failure Hypertensive heart disease Sudden death Renal (kidney) failure All-cause mortality
What is a cohort (longitudinal) study?
An observational study, just observing associations not attmepting to change BP (eg Framingham study)
Take BP measurement (ideally based on repeated measurements providing ‘usual blood pressure’)
-> follow up after 5-10 years
Risk of developing cardiovascular disease or dying from it
What is the Framingham study?
The study began in 1948 by recruiting an Original Cohort of 5,209 men and women between the ages of 30 and 62 from the town of Framingham, Massachusetts, who had not yet developed overt symptoms of cardiovascular disease or suffered a heart attack or stroke. Since that time the study has added an Offspring Cohort in 1971 and more
Monitoring of the Framingham Study population has led to the identification of major CVD risk factors, as well as valuable information on the effects of these factors such as blood pressure, blood triglyceride and cholesterol levels, age, gender, and psychosocial issues. Risk factors for other physiological conditions such as dementia have been and continue to be investigated.
What are the two ways of describing the effect of high BP on risk?
Ratio of risks (high/normal, eg 6/2)
Difference of risks (high minus normal, 6-2)
How do we measure overall strength of association between BP and CVD?
USE OF RELATIVE RISK
Relative risk provides a good summary of the influence which high blood pressure has on cardiovascular risk across the population
Described as ratio:
= Risk of disease outcome in people with a cause/Risk of disease outcome in people without a cause
= Cardiovascular risk in people with high BP/Cardiovascular risk in people without high BP
= Cardiovascular risk in people with a higher BP/Cardiovascular risk in people with a lower BP
How strong are the relative risks of high blood pressure (70-79 years)?
Systolic: risk of stroke and CHD with high reading is around double, but ~0.5 with lower
Diastolic: risk of stroke and CHD with high reading is around double, but ~0.5 with lower
These proportional risks apply across all BP levels above SBP 115 mmHg, DBP 75 mmHg
RRs are slightly higher in younger people, slightly lower in olderpeople
How do measure strength of association between BP and CVD?
USE OF RELATIVE RISK
= Cardiovascular risk in people witha higher BP/Cardiovascular risk in people with a lower BP
Relative risk: Interpretation
= 1.0 Exposure has no effect on risk
= 2.0 Exposure associated with doubling of risk (twice as likely’)
= 0.5 Exposure associated with halving of risk (
half as likely’) (`protective’)
In practice, relative risk estimates always have associated error, which needs to be considered in interpretation
How does complications of hypertension affect risk?
Complications of high blood pressure:
left ventricular hypertrophy
proteinuria or renal impairment
hypertensive retinopathy
….then the relative risks of CVD in people with high blood pressure are even higher….Emphasizes the need to control blood pressure before this happens
Which is more strongly related to risk, systolic or diastolic pressure?
Both are important, systolic slightly more so
In older people, high’ systolic BP can occur with
normal’ diastolic pressure (isolated systolic hypertension), is associated with increased CV risk
So blood pressure is strongly related to CV risk, and making it more problematic is that high BP is widespread
How prevalent is high BP in England?
41% male, 33% female overall have high BP (1988)
Even average BP level in population associated with increased CHD risk (Average SBP is 150)