Population and the environment - population change Flashcards

range of factors in natural population change, models of natural population change and their application in contrasting physical and human settings, concept of demographic dividend, international migration key terms, environmental and socio economic causes and processes that relate to international migration, demographic environment social economic health political implication of migration (82 cards)

1
Q

what is crude birth rate

A

the total number of live births per 1,000 of a population per year

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2
Q

what is crude death rate

A

the total number of deaths per 1,000 of a population per year

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3
Q

what is demographic

A

the study of a human population

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4
Q

what is an emigrant

A

a person leaving their native area or country in order to settle elsewhere

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5
Q

what is an immigrant

A

a person moving into an area or country in which they are no native in order to settle there

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6
Q

what is infant mortality rate

A

the number of children who die before their first birthday per 1,000 live births per year

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7
Q

what is life expectancy

A

the average number of years a person born in a particular year in a location is expected to live

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8
Q

what is replacement rate

A

the number of children each women needs to have to maintain the current population

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9
Q

what is reproductive age

A

the age at which women can give birth, normally considered to be between 15 and 44

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10
Q

what is the total fertility rate

A

the average number of children born per women in an area or county if all women lived to the end of their childbearing years

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11
Q

what are the main components of population change

A

inputs - births, immgrants
total population - natural change, net migration
outputs - deaths, emmigrants

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12
Q

when would there be a natural increase of a population

A

birth rate exceeds death rates

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13
Q

when would there be a natural decrease of a population

A

death rates exceed birth rates

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14
Q

when would there be a positive net migration

A

more immigrants than emigrants

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15
Q

when would there be a negative net migration

A

more emigrants than immigrants

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16
Q

what is the correlation between birth and fertility rates

A

both measures of reproductive potential within a population
different forms of measurement - birth rate based on whole population, fertility rate more accurate measure of future population change as it is the average num of children that each women of reproductive childbearing age will give birth to

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17
Q

What are vital rates

A

key terms needed to discuss population change: birth rate, death rate, infant mortality rate, total fertility rate

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18
Q

what is a replacement rate

A

net replacement rate - fertility rate of 2, every woman gives birth to (on average) one girl, means that the
current generation of women would replace itself with a younger generation of girls.
reality, the replacement rate is 2.1 - not all girls reach childbearing age
+ there are slightly more male births recorded globally
replacement rate for populations with a
high mortality is considerably higher than 2.

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19
Q

Why is infant mortality rate important

A

age specific- children under one are vulnerable + the group that society should be taking most care of
gives indication of level of healthcare available in the population, particularly maternity and post-natal care, as well as the prevalence of, and ability to, combat diseases
gives indication of wealth of country- HIC’s able to afford the healthcare, medicines, healthy diet and clean water that will keep infants alive
will have impact on fertility rate - Families in areas with high infant and child mortality will have more children to ensure that some survive into adulthood

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20
Q

what is the demographic transition model

A

shows changes overtime in the population of a country

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21
Q

what are the five stages of the demographic transition model

A

1 - high stationary
2 - early expanding
3 - late expanding
4 - low stationary
5 - declining

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22
Q

what are the characteristics of a high stationary population

A

high birth rate - maxamise chance of survival for children
high death rate - disease + famine
population fairly stable
example - traditional rainforests tribes

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23
Q

what are the characteristics of a early expanding population

A

birth rates remain high
death rates decrease rapidly
population grow rapidly
better standard of living
children source of family labour
examples - LDE’s, Afghanistan

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24
Q

What are the characteristics of a late expanding population

A

birth rate drops rapidly
death rate continues to decrease but more slowly
population still grows but not quite as fast
improved technology in agriculture and industry
better education systems and laws involving child employment
reduction in social and economic value of children
contraception more wildly available
working women chose to have fewer children
examples - mostly EME’s, India, Kenya, Brazil

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25
What are the characteristics of a low stationary population
low birth rate low death rate population fairly stable maybe growing slightly women tend to have small families choosing to study and follow careers population growth mainly due to immigration examples - mostly HDE's, USA, France
26
What are the characteristics of a declining population
birth rate very low and falls below death rate death rate increases slightly because of ageing population total population starts to decrease desire for smaller families people opting to have children later in life Examples - Italy, Germany, Japan, UK
27
When was the UK in each stage of the demographic transition model
1 - before industrial revolution (>1760) 2 - 1760 - 1880 3 - 1880 - 1940 4 - 1940 - 2024 5 - 2024
28
what are the strengths of the demographic transition model
easily + universally applied used to compare stages of demographic development used by demographers to make predictions about future chnage
29
what are limitations of a demographic transition model
model does not account for - migration and its impact on birth rates - government policies which may influence birth rates - wars/conflicts which may influence death rates - impact of major disease pandemics on death rates - environmental limitations placed on future economic development
30
what is population pyramid
graphical illustration of the distribution of a population by age groups and gender
31
What can a population pyramid show
Snapshot at any given time of the population structure Proved insights to past trends in population e.g. changes in fertility rates, mortality, international migration + what is currently happening to the population Show past changes in population Used to predict short term and long term future changes in population Shows effects of wars/disease and famine Indicate life expectancy Give an idea of the stage of the demographic transition model Show effects of migration on a population structure
32
what categories is the population structure divided into
0-14 - young dependent population, non economically active, dependent on parents to support them 15-64 - economically active, working population who earn an income and pay taxes 65+ - elderly dependent, non economically active, dependent on pensions and/or family
33
what s the dependency ratio
measures the level of dependency young+elderly dependents/economically active x100 does not take into account unemployed
34
What is the UK's population structure
0-14 - 11.041 million 15-65 - 37.904 million 65+ - 11.172 million Dependency ratio - 58.65 - For every 100 people of working age there are around 59 people dependent on their earnings Dependency ratio is falling in 2007 it was 60.68 Ratio of young to elderly changed - more elderly dependents than young dependents
35
what are the benefits of a youthful population
Young people of today are countries human resources of tomorrow Can foster growth and development if there are favourable political and economic conditions Can provide a cheap workforce and a growing market for foreign investors
36
what are the problems of a youthful population
Increasing demands for improving maternal and child healthcare education Providing food, water, energy and shelter for growing population Government need to keep up with demand for schooling Lack of attendance in schools (especially in rural areas) leads to low levels of literacy and a poorly educated workforce
37
what are the benefits of an ageing population
Same pensioners are healthy and affluent - Growth in leisure and tourism industry, Growth in private health and residential care businesses, Companies able to target growing markets Fewer people of working age so there should be less unemployment Some elderly still work- Looking after grandchildren enabling parents to work, Volunteering in local community
38
what are the problems of an ageing population
Welfare and healthcare costs escalating as the elderly are more likely to need support Pensions will cost increasingly more in the future (pension time bomb) - Costs will have to be borne by a smaller economically active proportion, Workers may have to pay higher taxes Smaller proportion of population are economically active- Affect economic growth, Affect overall standard of living, May be skills shortages
39
what is the impacts natural change on population structure
Shape of population pyramids evolves based on changes in fertility and mortality Demographic transition model gives a predicted sequence of change in birth and death rates over time Two concepts can be linked and a definitive shape of population pyramid can be outlined for each stage of the model Model determines what stage of demographic development a country is at - suggest appropriate population structure for countries at each stage of development Different population structures has different implications for the use of resources and services and for the economic potential of a countries at different stages of development
40
what is the balance between population and resources
Dependency ratio for most developed countries between 50 and 70 Dependency ratio LIC usually more than 100 Composition of dependency will be different - rich, greater proportion of elderly, less developed, youthful population Growth rate and size of population has impacts for the balance between population and resources Larger population - more demands on the resources base of an area and put at risk development or increase standards of living for people Depend on factors e.g. consumption patterns of that population, the levels of technology available
41
what is a demographic divdend
benefit a country gets when its working population outgrows its dependents boost in economic productivity results from growing numbers in the workforce relative to the number of dependents one time opportunity
42
what creates a demographic dividend
Lag between falling death rate and subsequent reduced birth rate may last for one or two generations before parents adjust to falling infant mortality by having fewer children Lag period on of rapid population growth - produces a generation bulge that rises up the population pyramid eventually into the economically active sector Few elderly dependents due to previously low life expectancy, few young dependents due to increasingly low fertility - dependency ratio falls
43
why will a large group of younger people give rise to a period of higher productivity and a boom in economic growth and social development
A large, young, educated workforce attracts investments Workers with fewer children invest more of their income leading to financial stability and growth Fewer children - women join workforce promoting more gender equality Salaried workers provide a growing market for consumption of goods and services
44
what does countries have to do to take advantage of a demographic dividend
investment in education and employment, political scope for change
45
What are Asian tiger economes
countries that have taken advantage of the demographic dividend e.g. Singapore, Hong Kong, South Korea large amounts of foreign investments export policies grew between late 1980s to mid 1990s growth rate of 7.5% per year for three decades - gaining status of developed countries average resident of a non-Asian country in 1990 was 72 percent richer than his parents were in 1960, the corresponding figure for the average Korean is no less than 638 percent.
46
how can countries further maxamise the demographic dividend
if there is a rich natural resource base to support growing demand e.g. Brazil, China
47
how may the demographic dividend be wasted
poor educational attainment lack of transparency and democracy in government Political instability - deter investment and lack of employment opportunities will lead to the emigration of young people thus jeopardising the dividend Mayanmar - not benefited due to political instability
48
How can the demographic dividend be problematic
Boost in productivity - create extra demand in the economy which may cause environmental degradation and put additional pressure on the use of natural resources unless they are managed sustainably
49
how can the demographic dividend be sustained
managing fertility rates at replacement level
50
after the demographic dividend what will occur
Improved life expectancy - in the long term the bulge will move up the pyramid creating and ageing population , put pressure on specific services e.g. healthcare
51
why do people mirgate
jobs better quality of life family wars and conflicts - Gaza/Israle, Ukraine, Sudan Natural disasters - climate refugees Weather Education e.g. Universities Improved healthcare
52
what stops people from migrating internationally
cost/money family language barriers health visas - UK passport=150 countries,Afghanistan=5 countries
53
what is a push factor
the reasons people want to leave a place
54
what are push factors for international migration
war, conflict, political instability ethnic and religious persecution natural and man made disasters such as earthquakes, tsunamis, drought, famine unemployment, low wages or poor working conditions shortage of food
55
what is a pull factor
the reasons people want to enter a place
56
what are pull factors for international migration
better quality of life, standard of living caried employment opportunities, higher wages better healthcare and access to education services political stability, more freedom better life prospects specific type of environment with a range of services to cater their needs
57
How would you talk about a push or pull factor in an exam question
‘’Lee’s Push-Pull Model of Migration highlights there might be factors attracting or forcing away to/from a place. A push factor in this example might include…"
58
what are the main types of migrants
economic migrants
59
what is a refugee
a person who had fled their country and cannot return for fear of harm due to race, religion, nationality or membership of a particular social group
60
what is an asylum seeker
applied to be a refugee and is waiting to hear if they have been successful
61
what is an economic migrant
person who chooses to moves to another country in order to improver their future prospects
62
what was the global number of international migrants estimated to be in July 2020
281 million 3.5% of population (2.8 in 2000, 2.3 1980)
63
by end of 2022 how many refugees were their estimated to be
25.3 million 5.9 million Palestine 5.4 million asylum seekers
64
what are the demographic implications of migration for the origin country
decreasing population change in dependency ratio- wealthy countries older people move away for retirement, in poorer countries, younger people often w/ children, move away for economic opportunities more economically active people move away (e.g. origin is poorer), birth rate decreases less working age, bad for economy - ageing population
65
what are the demographic implications of migration for the host country
increasing population change in dependency ratio In wealthy countries, aging population due to retirement e.g Spain - puts more strain on the economy, other countries young working people move for better employment opportunities, so there's a large youthful population - birth rate increases in these countries. increase in “bulge” of working age people, enables demographic dividend
66
what are the social implications of migration for the origin country
Positives: less unemployment easier access to food and water because of reduced population size less pressure on education/healthcare services Negatives: loss of working age population increased dependency ratio, more pressure on younger people to care for elderly in ageing population fewer people to pay tax + fund public services ‘brain drain’ - skilled migrants leave affecting economic development and creating gaps in sectors particularly teachers/doctors/nurses loss of traditional culture/break up of communities
67
what are the social implications of migration for the host country
Positives: increase cultural diversity, allows new markets and products e.g. London increase in experience of different job fields new cultures Negatives: increase demand for goods and services potential conflict due to different cultures/ beliefs etc. Segregation of migrants into certain areas increase in crime language barriers more strain on healthcare (especially maternal and infant healthcare) and education services (especially primary schools
68
what are the economic implications of migration for the origin country
Positives: fewer financial burdens(less people to fund and provide resources to). Reduced pressure on food/water/energy etc. Unemployment will reduce and there will be less competition for jobs Remittances - money sent back home improve families lives if migrants return back they can bring back new skills and knowledge Negatives: decrease in the working population lower GDP decreased tax revenue, so less gvt. budget for public spending
69
what are the economic implications of migration for the host country
Positives: more vast abilities for jobs more people to pay tax overcome labour and skill shortages may provide cheaper labour reduces dependency - demographic dividend working migrants spend money Negatives: potentially not enough housing more unemployment (too many people, not enough jobs)
70
what are the political implications of migration for the origin country
Positives May introduce pro-natal policies to encourage young to stay (but this can be expensive for the country) Negatives have to reinvest in and improve areas to encourage people to stay
71
what are the political implications of migration for the host country
Positives: Migration policies e.g. Australian government flying migrants to Pacific islands e.g. Rishi Sunak sending asylum seekers to Rwanda Negatives: Pressures to control immigration - new migration policies can cause conflict e.g. Rwanda UK policy Growth of right wing racist organisations
72
what are the environmental implications of migration for the origin country
Positives: less pollution from vehicles, as less commuting workforce land may become rewilded, hedgerows and farmland change to meadows less intensive farming as not as high demand food Negatives: people left behind have to manage more farmland Farmland/buildings and sometimes whole villages can be abandoned less environment
73
what are the environmental implications of migration for the origin country
Negatives: pressure on land for development - roads, housing, other infrastructure increased energy demand Increasing population will lead to increase deforestation for housing demand, destruction of land/habitats. Higher demand for food, more arable and pastoral farming, extensive and commercial farming can be bad for the land Increasing population leads to higher amounts of air and noise pollution
74
what are the health implications of migration for the origin country
Positives: decrease demand for healthcare less people, less pollution, lower risk of respiratory diseases less overcrowding so diseases don’t spread as quickly Due to decrease in population, government may change health policies to become more appealing to encourage the population to stay there
75
what are the health implications of migration for the host country
Positives: more skilled health workers - stronger healthcare system Negatives: bigger demand for healthcare risk of bringing diseases over e.g covid more economic activity + pollution can cause more respiratory disease pressure on healthcare if migrants are not skilled
76
What is an example of socio-economic factors that affect natural population change
China - one child policy
77
What happened during China's one child policy
Introduced in 1970, relaxed in 2013 Replacement with two child policy 2016 Successful particularly in urban areas Low birth, death, natural increase rates Maternal and infant mortality rates reduced Average life expectancy increased Lower unemployment rate Production output not been affected - the economy has grown Quality of life improved Demand on social infrastructure and resources e.g. healthcare, education, food, energy being less than it would have been if birth rate been allowed to grow Policy might have reduced the severity of atmospheric pollution Culture and tradition - large family, male offspring important Selective terminations based on sex of fetus Female infanticide, infant abandonment, child trading Population balanced changed Population structure in younger age groups is male weighted 1982 sex ratio at birth 108, 2012 increased to 118 49.9 ‘missing woman’ in 2003 Threatened a marriage squeeze - insufficient brides Increase in sex trafficking in China Only children may have received excessive amount of attention from parents and grandparents Only child may have to provide for their two parents and four grandparents
78
what is an example of a cultural control that affect natural population change
Balgladesh
79
What happened to the population in Bangladesh due to cultural expectations
One of most densely populated countries in the world 80% of bangladesh is low-lying, fertile floodplain and delta - good for intensive rice cultivation but prone to flooding ¾ of population live in hazardous rural areas Heavier monsoons and sea levels rise associated with climate change and longer-term threats Laws raised the minimum age of marriage to 18 for women and 21 for men Reduced fertility rate in Bangladesh Improving access to contraception, maternal and child health care will reduce fertility rate more Trails in 1970s where trained female health workers came to mothers to pick a method of contraception best suited to them, to treat side effects and also provide basic maternal and child healthcare Children became healthier, fewer women died of pregnancy related courses and child mortality fell Fewer children to support so families became wealthier Parents got more farmland, built more valuable homes and gained access to running water Children stayed in school longer, women enjoyed higher incomes Since trials in 1970s government training tens of thousands primary healthcare workers Average birth rates fallen from 6 to 2 Child mortality rates reduced by two thirds Population expected to reach 200 million in 2050 then stabilise Gender imbalance - 2.7 million ‘missing women’ Rate of infant mortality amongst girls fallen faster than the rate of male infant mortality - rate among females was previously higher - observed in areas more with more easily accessible primary healthcare services Closer to situation where boys and girls under five have equal chance of survival
80
Why are boys and girls treaded differently when they are infants
because of their sex Neglect of female children worse in rural areas and more severe in later born children (all ready have a lot of children)
81
how are boys and girls treated differently when they are infants
Girls miss out on inheritance rights Selective terminations Children offered different amounts of food according to gender Varying levels of care during times of ill health - Low male to female mortality ratio amongst children aged under 5
82
what is the number of missing women
excess female mortality worldwide Comparing actual sex ratio of countries to expected sex ratios Number of missing women larger than the combined death toll of both world wars Over 100 million missing women worldwide