payoff table Flashcards
what decision rule will be used if an individual is a risk seeker
maximax which means the best outcome off the best contribution
how to calc ev
cash flow x probability
what decision rule will be used of an individual is risk averse
maximin which means the best outcome of the worst contribution
what decision rule will be used if an individual is risk neutral
the highest total expected value will be selected
what is the use of selecting mini max
the minimax regret strategy minimizes the maximum regret. useful for a rick averse decision maker who is a ‘sore loser’ and does not want to make the wrong decision
regret is defined as opportunity cost of making the wring decision
what are the problems with using expected value
- highly dependent on the accuracy of the data gathered for forecasts.
- using historical data for percentages are sometimes way off e.g covid