Module 2 – Strategies for Assessing and Increasing Demand Flashcards

1
Q

A pair of products has a cross-price elasticity of demand of -0.8 and each of the products has an advertising elasticity of demand of about 0.4. Which of the following pairs of products do these metrics most likely describe?

  • Peanut butter and jelly
  • Wine and wine openers
  • Sneakers and sandals
  • Water bottles and canteens
A

Peanut butter and jelly

These products greatly complement each other and would have a negative cross-price elasticity of demand. Both of these products are also typically advertised, but less so than alcohols like wine.

Wine and wine openers

These products complement each other and would have a negative cross-price elasticity of demand. However, because wine is heavily advertised, it would have a much lower AED than 0.4.

Sneakers and sandals

These products are substitutes and would have a positive cross-price elasticity of demand.

Water bottles and canteens

These products are substitutes and would have a positive cross-price elasticity of demand.

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2
Q

Which of the following groups would be most likely to launch an advertising campaign badmouthing its competitors?

  • A software company that is certain businesses will prefer its new product to its competitors’ products, once the businesses know that the new product exists
  • A single manufacturer that sells the only 3-D printer available in a country
  • A coffee chain located near many other coffeehouses and hoping to bring in a greater percentage of the growing number of working professionals in a metropolitan area
  • A smartphone operating system developer with a single major competitor
A

A software company that is certain businesses will prefer its new product to its competitors’ products, once the businesses know that the new product exists

This company would want to run an informational ad campaign to promote its own brand name, rather than badmouth established competitors.

A single manufacturer that sells the only 3-D printer available in a country

A firm that dominates an industry would not need to badmouth competitors, but instead could benefit from advertising the 3-D printer industry as a whole.

A coffee chain located near many other coffeehouses and hoping to bring in a greater percentage of the growing number of working professionals in a metropolitan area

This business will want to focus on differentiating itself positively from its competitors, establishing why new potential customers should choose its product.

A smartphone operating system developer with a single major competitor

This firm would want to advertise to draw attention to the negative aspects of its competitor’s platform and how its own platform differs.

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3
Q

Food2Door is a food delivery service that connects hungry college students to restaurants and fast food establishments (that don’t deliver) via a smartphone application. The company offers its app to students for free and makes money by charging restaurants a reasonable fee for mobile ordering and access to its fleet of delivery drivers. The platform has experienced exponential growth in only a few years.

Which of the following features of the service is most likely responsible for its fast growth?

  • Free download for students and relatively low costs of membership for restaurants
  • User ratings and reviews of restaurants and items on their menus
  • Restaurant recommendations based on previous orders
  • A sleek user interface
A

Free download for students and relatively low costs of membership for restaurants

Both of these policies encourage students and restaurants to use the service. As more and more students download and use the app to order food, more restaurants will want to use the service to deliver orders. In turn, with more restaurants available more and more students will also use the app, creating a virtuous cycle.

User ratings and reviews of restaurants and items on their menus

While this feature is likely to be useful for users, the main value of the application lies in the number and variety of restaurants available to deliver food.

Restaurant recommendations based on previous orders

While this is likely to be useful for users, it’s probably not the main driver of growth.

A sleek user interface

While this is likely to be useful for users, it’s probably not the main driver of growth.

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4
Q

Refer again to the conjoint analysis performed by the sporting goods store below:

Remember that 20% of customers are in Segment A, 20% are in Segment B, 50% are in Segment C and 10% are in Segment D. These customers, 100 in total, will be deciding between the store’s two brands of backpack (either the “gym offering” or the “hiking offering”) and a competing store’s “school offering” bag.

If the sporting goods store were able to bring to market both of its offerings, what modifications to its offerings could the store make to definitely earn more revenues? Select all that apply.

  • Add a food pouch to its gym offering
  • Decrease the size of its hiking offering from large to medium
  • Increase the price of its gym offering
  • Add additional pockets to its gym offering.
  • Increase the size of its gym offering from small to medium.
A

Add a food pouch to its gym offering

Adding a food pouch would further satisfy Segment C, allowing the store to drive customers away from its competitor and capture more revenue. However, the addition of the pouch will also steal customers from segment B away from the store’s own higher-priced hiking offering, yielding lower revenues overall.

Decrease the size of its hiking offering from large to medium

This modification would change the level of satisfaction of some segments, but not increase revenue for the store.

Increase the price of its gym offering

While this modification would increase the revenue the store receives on each unit sold, it would also presumably decrease the level of satisfaction each customer received from the product. This would cause Segment C to defect to the store’s competitor, likely decreasing revenues overall.

Add additional pockets to its gym offering.

Adding more pockets would further satisfy Segment C, allowing the store to drive customers away from its competitor and capture more revenue.

Increase the size of its gym offering from small to medium.

While this modification would further satisfy Segments B and D, it would decrease the satisfaction of Segments A and C, causing revenue to fall as customers in Segment C defected to the store’s competitor.

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5
Q

Which of the following statements regarding complements is true? Select all that apply.

  • A consumer is willing to pay more to purchase two complementary goods together.
  • A decrease in the price of a complementary good will shift the demand curve for a good to the left.
  • The cross-price elasticity of demand for two goods that are complements will be negative.
  • A firm that wants to increase the demand for its product should make complementary goods as expensive as possible.
  • A consumer is less likely to purchase a good if a complement for that good is not available.
A

A consumer is willing to pay more to purchase two complementary goods together.

By definition, the WTP for two goods that complement each other is higher than the sum of the WTP for each good individually.

A decrease in the price of a complementary good will shift the demand curve for a good to the left.

A decrease in the price of a complementary good will shift the demand curve for a good to the right.

The cross-price elasticity of demand for two goods that are complements will be negative.

A negative cross-price elasticity between two goods implies they are complements.

A firm that wants to increase the demand for its product should make complementary goods as expensive as possible.

The firm should make complements as cheap and widely available as possible.

A consumer is less likely to purchase a good if a complement for that good is not available.

A consumer will be less likely to buy peanut butter if the store does not have jam in stock. Similarly, a consumer is unlikely to purchase a single glove or a single sneaker.

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6
Q

A sporting goods store is trying to decide what type of backpack to introduce into its product line. After performing a conjoint analysis, the store finds that customers generally fall into one of four well-defined customer segments, with average part-worths as shown in the tables below. 20% of customers are in Segment A, 20% are in Segment B, 50% are in Segment C and 10% are in Segment D. These customers, 100 in total, will be deciding between the store’s two brands of backpack (either the “gym offering” or the “hiking offering”) and a competing store’s “school offering” bag.

Which backpack should the store introduce in order to maximize revenues?

  • The gym offering
  • The hiking offering
  • Introducing either offering will yield the same revenues
  • Neither product will earn revenue because the competitor’s offering is preferred by all.
A

The gym offering

If the store introduces the gym offering, it will capture Segment A, but customers in Segment C will be indifferent between its offering and the competitor’s school offering. Assuming the store captures half of Segment C (25% of all consumers), it would capture 45% of all consumers (45 out of 100) paying roughly $30 each, for revenues of about $1,350.00. Even if all of Segment C happened to choose the gym offering, it would still earn slightly more revenue by offering the hiking backpack.

The hiking offering

If the store introduces the hiking offering, it will capture Segments B and D, 30% of all consumers (30 out of 100) paying roughly $70 each, for revenues of about $2,100.00. This would yield the most revenue for the store.

Introducing either offering will yield the same revenues

If the competitor’s product was not on the market, the store would earn approximately the same amount of revenue by offering either of its backpacks. However, because the average consumer in Segment C receives the same utility from purchasing the competitor’s school offering as they do the gym offering, it’s safe to assume that the competitor will attract about half of Segment C. Thus, the store would earn greater revenues by offering its hiking backpack.

Neither product will earn revenue because the competitor’s offering is preferred by all.

The competitor’s product is fully preferred by none of the four segments.

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7
Q

Which of the following is NOT true regarding network effects?

  • A business that exhibits network effects may experience exponential growth.
  • As a business that exhibits network effects gains market share, buyers should be willing to pay more for their product.
  • Network effects exist only for services, and not physical products.
  • A market that exhibits network effects is often winner-take-all.
A

A business that exhibits network effects may experience exponential growth.

As more and more individuals join the network, the business will tend to grow exponentially.

As a business that exhibits network effects gains market share, buyers should be willing to pay more for their product.

The majority of the value of a networked product comes from the fact that others are also using the product. As more and more people join the network, the value of the overall network increases, which causes the market demand curve to shift outwards.

Network effects exist only for services, and not physical products.

False. As the case of Pokémon trading cards shows, physical products can exhibit network effects if the product becomes more valuable as more people have it.

A market that exhibits network effects is often winner-take-all.

In a market with network effects, the firm with the highest market share will tend to become bigger over time, pushing smaller firms out of the market.

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8
Q

You are the Head of Strategy for Sunglass World and your company is considering releasing a new brand of highly protective UV sunglasses. You decide to conduct a conjoint analysis to determine which aspects of sunglasses that consumers value most. The consumers in your analysis are presented with sunglasses with combinations of the following options:

Colors: Black, Brown, Gold, Silver

Shape: Round, Square, Half-Moon

UV Protection: High, Medium, Low

If you ran a survey asking respondents to rank all possible combinations of sunglasses, how many different pairs would the respondents have to rank?

  • 10
  • 12
  • 27
  • 36
A

10

See correct answer for explanation.

12

See correct answer for explanation.

27

See correct answer for explanation.

36

Respondents would have to rank 4*3*3=36 different combinations.

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9
Q

You are the Head of Strategy for Sunglass World and your company is considering releasing a new brand of highly protective UV sunglasses. You decide to conduct a conjoint analysis to determine which aspects of sunglasses that consumers value most. The consumers in your analysis are presented with sunglasses with combinations of the following options:

Colors: Black, Brown, Gold, Silver

Shape: Round, Square, Half-Moon

UV Protection: High, Medium, Low

Bob, one of the survey respondents, prefers each feature of sunglasses in the following order:

Colors: Black>Brown>Gold>Silver

Shape: Round>Half-Moon>Square

UV Protection: Medium>High>Low

Based on these rankings, it’s revealed that Bob’s preferences are consistent with the following part-worths:

Colors: Black:20, Gold:15, Silver:10

Shape: Round:30, Square:15

UV Protection: Medium:10, Low:2

Given these part-worth values, what level of satisfaction could Bob receive from a brown pair of high-UV half-moon sunglasses? Assume that part-worths must be in whole numbers.

  • 30
  • 32
  • 45
  • 60
A
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10
Q

You are the Head of Strategy for Sunglass World and your company is considering releasing a new brand of highly protective UV sunglasses. You decide to conduct a conjoint analysis to determine which aspects of sunglasses that consumers value most. The consumers in your analysis are presented with sunglasses with combinations of the following options:

Colors: Black, Brown, Gold, Silver

Shape: Round, Square, Half-Moon

UV Protection: High, Medium, Low

Bob, one of the survey respondents, prefers each feature of sunglasses in the following order:

Colors: Black>Brown>Gold>Silver

Shape: Round>Half-Moon>Square

UV Protection: Medium>High>Low

Based on these rankings, it’s revealed that Bob’s preferences are consistent with the following part-worths:

Colors: Black:20, Gold:15, Silver:10

Shape: Round:30, Square:15

UV Protection: Medium:10, Low:2

Given these part-worth values, what level of satisfaction could Bob receive from a brown pair of high-UV half-moon sunglasses? Assume that part-worths must be in whole numbers.

  • 30
  • 32
  • 45
  • 60
A

30

Bob gains 32 part-worths for a gold pair of low-UV square sunglasses. Since he prefers brown to gold, half-moon to square, and high-UV to low-UV protection, he would gain at least 35 part-worths for the pair of glasses described.

32

Bob gains 32 part-worths for a gold pair of low-UV square sunglasses. Since he prefers brown to gold, half-moon to square, and high-UV to low-UV protection, he would gain at least 35 part-worths for the pair of glasses described.

45

Bob could gain this level of satisfaction. Based on the rankings above and the part-worth information given, Bob could gain between 35 and 57 part-worths for the pair of glasses described. As more and more features are added to the sunglasses and asked about in the conjoint analysis, the level of satisfaction from any single combination becomes more restricted and a computer program would eventually be needed to determine consistent values.

60

Bob gains 60 part-worths for a black pair of medium-UV round sunglasses. Since he prefers black to brown, round to half-moon, and medium-UV to high-UV protection, he would gain at most 57 part-worths for the pair of glasses described.

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11
Q

The Economics for Managers course content team at HBS Online is trying to determine if there is a relationship between students’ economics backgrounds and their success in the course. The team decides to test this hypothesis by separating its latest cohort into two groups: one group consisting of students that have taken at least one economics course in the past, and the second group consisting of individuals with no prior training in economics. The team sees that students with some previous economics knowledge tend to do 5% better, on average, on Module Quizzes than those without prior exposure.

What conclusion can the E4M content team draw from this knowledge?

Note: The performance data in this question is completely fictional.

  • Individuals with prior economics experience are better HBS Online students.
  • The more economics courses taken, the better a student will do on an E4M Module Quiz.
  • Students with prior experience in Financial Accounting do better on Module Quizzes than those students without experience in FA.
  • None of the above.
A

Individuals with prior economics experience are better HBS Online students.

Despite the correlation between Module Quiz scores and prior exposure to some economics, we cannot draw such a broad-brush conclusion!

The more economics courses taken, the better a student will do on an E4M Module Quiz.

This conclusion answers a different question than the team’s original hypothesis regarding exposure to economics. Namely, it attempts to answer the question, “is there a relationship between the number of economics courses taken by HBS Online students and performance on E4M Module Quizzes?” Since the team only divided students into two groups (some exposure vs. none), it cannot conclude anything about how the number of courses taken impacts quiz scores. Moreover, we don’t know if other missing/hidden variables unrelated to economics exposure could be responsible for the difference between quiz scores between the two groups of students.

Students with prior experience in Financial Accounting do better on Module Quizzes than those students without experience in FA.

While the relationship between experience and quiz scores was observed for economics, we cannot infer causality. Even if we could, there’s no evidence that such a relationship would hold for a completely different subject.

None of the above.

We cannot conclude any of the above. We don’t know if other missing/hidden variables could be responsible for the difference between quiz scores between the two groups of students. For example, students with more prior experience in economics may differ from those with none in other systematic ways (income, gender, type of university attended, etc.).

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12
Q

Your toy company is looking into launching a new line of dolls and action figures but is unsure if kids these days still actually play with them. As part of your market research, you send out a survey to 1000 households that have purchased toys in the last five years. You also decide to run two focus groups: one group of children ages 4-16 and one group of parents.

Which of the following questions asked in a survey or focus group would be unbiased and allow you to gain reliable information? Select all that apply.

  • A survey question asking households, “How much money per month do you typically spend on your children’s happiness?”
  • A focus group question asking children, “How often per week do you play with dolls or action figures?”
  • A survey question asking households, “What fraction/percentage of income do you estimate that your family spends on entertainment in a given month?”
  • A focus group question asking parents, “With which types of toys do your children typically play?”
  • An anonymous survey question asking children, “what’s your favorite toy and why do you like to play with it?
A

A survey question asking households, “How much money per month do you typically spend on your children’s happiness?”

This question is too broad and could be biased. For example, some parents will likely overstate the amount they spend on their children to seem like better parents.

A focus group question asking children, “How often per week do you play with dolls or action figures?”

This question could be biased. Younger children are unlikely to be able to estimate the amount of time they spend playing with toys. It might also be the case that children lie about which toys they use and how often.

A survey question asking households, “What fraction/percentage of income do you estimate that your family spends on entertainment in a given month?”

This question seems reasonable and could be useful to estimate potential market size.

A focus group question asking parents, “With which types of toys do your children typically play?”

This question could be biased. Parents that work during the day might not know what kinds of toys that their kids like to play with. It might also be that parents would want their children to play with more educational toys than they actually do.

An anonymous survey question asking children, “what’s your favorite toy and why do you like to play with it?

This question is likely to evoke a truthful response and allow your company see some common features of toys that kids would value.

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13
Q

In what way does randomization help an experimenter to overcome the “missing variables” problem? Select all that apply.

  • Randomization helps to account for systematic differences across groups of interest.
  • Randomization helps to ensure that the impact measured in a treatment vs. control group is due solely to the variable that is manipulated in the experiment.
  • Randomization helps to ensure that the impact on two groups is more or less the same because individuals in either group have an equal chance of receiving the treatment effect.
  • Randomization helps to eliminate the adverse effects of sample selection/selection bias.
  • Randomization does not help overcome the problem of missing variables, but instead helps deal with confirmation bias.
A

Randomization helps to account for systematic differences across groups of interest.

Randomization helps control for unobserved variables not being measured in the experiment.

Randomization helps to ensure that the impact measured in a treatment vs. control group is due solely to the variable that is manipulated in the experiment.

Randomization makes it so that the effect of other individual-specific variables, should, on average, cancel out across the treatment and control groups.

Randomization helps to ensure that the impact on two groups is more or less the same because individuals in either group have an equal chance of receiving the treatment effect.

Randomization has nothing to do with the eventual effect of a treatment on those in the group.

Randomization helps to eliminate the adverse effects of sample selection/selection bias.

By randomly creating groups, experimenters can avoid biased samples that may result, for example, when individuals select into groups based on observable differences.

Randomization does not help overcome the problem of missing variables, but instead helps deal with confirmation bias.

This is not true. Confirmation bias involves finding something in an experiment that one expects to find.

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14
Q

An office product manufacturer is thinking of producing some of the office chair options:

(1) a “premium offering” that includes wheels, 360-degree rotation, a lower-back pad, and arm-rests for a high price
(2) a “mobile offering” that includes wheels and 360-degree rotation for a medium price
(3) a “comfort offering” that includes the lower-back pad and armrests for the same medium price
(4) a “basic offering” that includes none of the premium features but has the lowest price.

The manufacturer only has enough resources to produce 3 out of the 4 offerings. How might the office chair manufacturer go about determining which of the chairs to produce?

The features and price points of the four offerings can be seen in the table below:

  • Definitely produce the “basic” and “premium” offerings to cater to low-income and high-income customer segments and flip a coin to decide between producing either the “comfort” and “mobile” offerings since they are the same price.
  • Definitely produce the “basic” and “premium” offerings to cater to low-income and high-income customer segments and perform a conjoint analysis to decide between producing either the “comfort” and “mobile” offerings.
  • Definitely produce the “basic” offering to cater to consumers that want just want a basic office chair and perform a conjoint analysis to decide which two of the other three offerings to produce.
  • Perform a conjoint analysis asking about all offerings to decide which types of chairs consumers would prefer the most and would be most profitable to produce.
A

Definitely produce the “basic” and “premium” offerings to cater to low-income and high-income customer segments and flip a coin to decide between producing either the “comfort” and “mobile” offerings since they are the same price.

There’s no guarantee that consumers will definitely purchase the basic or premium offerings. The company should perform a conjoint analysis including all 4 offerings to see how much consumers value each of the 5 features.

Definitely produce the “basic” and “premium” offerings to cater to low-income and high-income customer segments and perform a conjoint analysis to decide between producing either the “comfort” and “mobile” offerings.

There’s no guarantee that consumers will definitely purchase the basic or premium offerings. The company should perform a conjoint analysis including all 4 offerings to see how much consumers value each of the 5 features.

Definitely produce the “basic” offering to cater to consumers that want just want a basic office chair and perform a conjoint analysis to decide which two of the other three offerings to produce.

There’s no guarantee that consumers will definitely purchase the basic offering. The company should perform a conjoint analysis including all 4 offerings to see how much consumers value each of the 5 features.

Perform a conjoint analysis asking about all offerings to decide which types of chairs consumers would prefer the most and would be most profitable to produce.

The company should perform a conjoint analysis including all 4 offerings to see how much consumers value each of the 5 features. Based on the results, the company can decide which chairs to produce. If it’s the case that price is the most important factor, it might not even make sense to devote resources to producing two more types of chairs.

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15
Q

A supermarket would like to test whether a new brand of soda pop sells significantly more/fewer units than the brand currently on the shelves. Which of the following experiments would best help the store test this hypothesis?

  • Place the new brand of soda next to the brand the store currently sells, at the same price, and see if there is a significantly different amount of sales between the two products over a 3-month timeframe.
  • Place the new brand of soda next to the checkout counter, at the same price as the current brand, and see how many customers swap the current brand for the new one on the way out.
  • Place the new brand of soda in the same shelf location as the current brand, at the same price, remove the original brand, and see if there is a significantly different amount of sales from the 3-month average sales of the original soda.
  • Place the new brand of soda next to the brand the store currently sells, at a lower price, and see if there is a significantly different amount of sales between the two.
A

Place the new brand of soda next to the brand the store currently sells, at the same price, and see if there is a significantly different amount of sales between the two products over a 3-month timeframe.

This setup would likely result in customers buying one soda or the other and would not allow the store to determine whether sales from the new soda would be significantly different than average sales of the original soda over 3 months by itself.

Place the new brand of soda next to the checkout counter, at the same price as the current brand, and see how many customers swap the current brand for the new one on the way out.

The positioning of the new brand at the checkout counter makes it more likely for shoppers to buy this soda, making sales comparisons with the original brand difficult.

Place the new brand of soda in the same shelf location as the current brand, at the same price, remove the original brand, and see if there is a significantly different amount of sales from the 3-month average sales of the original soda.

This is the best setup to test the hypothesis. To compare sales figures between the two brands, the supermarket should change only the type of soda being sold, leaving as many variables as possible (e.g. price, shelf location, amount of other brands sold, length of sales period, etc.) the same.

Place the new brand of soda next to the brand the store currently sells, at a lower price, and see if there is a significantly different amount of sales between the two.

In order to unbiasedly compare sales between the two sodas, the supermarket should ideally charge the same price for both brands.

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16
Q

In which of the following situations would the use of a focus group be preferable to a survey?

  • An ice cream shop wants to find out how many people prefer chocolate over vanilla.
  • A national movie theater chain wants to see if there is a correlation between income and frequency of going to the movies.
  • A coffeehouse is interested in seeing why customers do not like its new French roast.
  • A shoe manufacturer would like to investigate which features of tennis shoes that customers value most.
A

An ice cream shop wants to find out how many people prefer chocolate over vanilla.

A survey would be better to determine the quantity of people that prefer chocolate.

A national movie theater chain wants to see if there is a correlation between income and frequency of going to the movies.

A large sample of individuals would be needed to determine a quantitative correlation between two variables.

A coffeehouse is interested in seeing why customers do not like its new French roast.

This analysis would benefit from more in-depth qualitative information.

A shoe manufacturer would like to investigate which features of tennis shoes that customers value most.

The most beloved features of its product would best be discovered through a conjoint analysis, which is a type of survey design.

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17
Q

As previously mentioned by Professor Elon Kohlberg, studies from Angrist et al. and others have found a negative correlation between class size and student performance in reading and math, at least in some specific contexts. Consider running a similar experiment to determine the impact of class size on performance in science and history classes in the United States.

Which of the following variables would be necessary to account for in the experiment to draw a reasonable conclusion? Select all that apply.

  • Income
  • Age
  • Grade Level
  • Belt Size
  • Native language
  • Presence of a learning disability
  • Gender
  • Race
  • Hair Color
A

Income

This variable may be correlated with student performance.

Age

This variable may be correlated with student performance.

Grade Level

This variable may be correlated with student performance.

Belt Size

There is no reason to assume that this variable would affect either class size or performance in science or history.

Native language

This variable would most definitely be correlated with student performance in a U.S. classroom.

Presence of a learning disability

This variable is most definitely correlated with student performance.

Gender

This variable may be correlated with student performance.

Race

This variable may be correlated with student performance.

Hair Color

There is no reason to assume that this variable would affect either class size or performance in science or history.

18
Q

Which of the following situations does NOT display confirmation bias? Select all that apply.

  • A political campaign aims to gauge voter interest in its candidate by calling registered voters of the same party and asking about their views on the candidate.
  • A hotel asks its patrons to fill out a comment card about the aspects of their stay that they enjoyed the most.
  • An investor scans a company’s financial statements looking for evidence that the company’s stock is undervalued.
  • A CEO hires an independent third party to develop an anonymous survey assessing her employees’ job satisfaction.
  • A biologist runs an experiment to attempt to invalidate a widely accepted hypothesis about the nuclei of bacteria cells in order to promote an explanation of his own.
A

A political campaign aims to gauge voter interest in its candidate by calling registered voters of the same party and asking about their views on the candidate.

By calling only voters from their own party, the campaigners are likely to receive mostly positive feedback about their candidate, falsely reassuring them of his or her chances of winning.

A hotel asks its patrons to fill out a comment card about the aspects of their stay that they enjoyed the most.

By asking hotel guests only about the positive aspects of their stay, the hotel is failing to extract information on what its customers did not like about their experience. The hotel could better serve its guests, and possibly attract more patrons, by making changes based on the negative feedback it receives.

An investor scans a company’s financial statements looking for evidence that the company’s stock is undervalued.

By only looking for evidence that the company’s share price is below its fair value, the investor is failing to seek out information that could justify the company’s valuation and cause him to lose money if the share price sinks lower.

A CEO hires an independent third party to develop an anonymous survey assessing her employees’ job satisfaction.

This scenario does not hint at any bias. By asking a third party to conduct the survey and making it anonymous, the CEO will likely be able to obtain truthful information about her workers’ satisfaction with the company.

A biologist runs an experiment to attempt to invalidate a widely accepted hypothesis about the nuclei of bacteria cells in order to promote an explanation of his own.

By running the experiment explicitly to disprove the hypothesis, the scientist has the incentive to search only for information that goes against it.

19
Q

In which of the following situations is an auction especially effective? Select all that apply.

  • The buyer is time-sensitive
  • The seller is time-sensitive
  • Buyers’ valuations are independent
  • The seller does not know the WTP of its potential customers.
  • Buyers’ valuation of the auction item is within a narrow range.
A

The buyer is time-sensitive

Auctions are better for items that a buyer does not need right away, such as rare items or antiques. Selling necessities or items with an expiration date, such as concert tickets, via an auction would not be particularly effective.

The seller is time-sensitive

Auctions are effective when a seller needs to sell an item by a certain date. A seller could use a fixed price when he or she is not under time pressure.

Buyers’ valuations are independent

Auctions are more effective when bidders’ valuations are interdependent—in other words, buyers’ willingness to pay can be forced upwards based on the bids of those they are competing with for access to the item.

The seller does not know the WTP of its potential customers.

Auctions are good for items for which there is not an easily available market price. The auction format helps the seller to reveal the top buyer willingness to pay.

Buyers’ valuation of the auction item is within a narrow range.

An auction will be especially effective if buyers’ valuations of the item are close together. This ensures that the sale price will be close to the WTP of the second highest bidder (based on the Revenue Equivalence Result).

20
Q

A used car salesman is one automobile away from hitting his annual sales quota. Three buyers are interested in purchasing an old sedan—their WTP for the car can be seen in the table below:

Based on the willingness to pay of the potential customers, which sales method will generate the most revenue for the seller?

  • An English auction with a bidding increment of $100
  • A sealed-bid first-price auction
  • A fixed price of $12,000
  • All of the above will generate roughly the same revenue.
A

An English auction with a bidding increment of $100

This method would result in $12,000 or $12,100 in revenue, depending on who submits the final bid. The other two methods would likely result in more revenue.

A sealed-bid first-price auction

It’s unclear how much revenue this type of auction will generate because we cannot be sure how far under their WTP that customers will bid. However, it’s safe to assume that it will yield revenue as high as or higher than the second highest WTP.

A fixed price of $12,000

See correct explanation.

All of the above will generate roughly the same revenue.

With so few bidders, the sealed-bid first-price auction could generate more or less revenue than the other two methods. As a rule of thumb, however, each of the above methods will generate approximately the same revenues for the seller.

21
Q

In which of the following scenarios is the winner of the auction LEAST likely to suffer from the winner’s curse?

  • A son winning his mother’s favorite painting to give her for her birthday.
  • A diamond dealer placing the winning bid for a set of stones on the diamond exchange.
  • A construction company bidding on a contract to build a new apartment complex.
  • A restaurant bidding on a prime NYC location.
A

A son winning his mother’s favorite painting to give her for her birthday.

In this auction, the buyer’s valuation of the product does not depend on others’ valuations and/or information.

A diamond dealer placing the winning bid for a set of stones on the diamond exchange.

This auction is very susceptible to the winner’s curse: upon winning the diamonds, the dealer realizes that other dealers would not pay as much as he did, meaning that it might be difficult to resell the stones.

A construction company bidding on a contract to build a new apartment complex.

Upon winning the contract, the construction company realizes that every other bidder probably estimates the construction costs to be higher.

A restaurant bidding on a prime NYC location.

The value of the location depends on the expected traffic. Each restaurant presumably did its own research to determine the value. But upon winning, the buyer finds out that others’ research indicated lower value than its own; and their investigation might have been more accurate.

22
Q

Whereas most websites and online web services must continually update and improve user design, Craigslist, a classified advertisements website, has remained largely the same since 1996. What phenomenon might explain this?

  • Craigslist’s founder did not have website design expertise.
    • A network effect that makes switching to competitor sites difficult.
  • A network effect that makes switching to competitor sites easy.
  • Limited demand for online classified advertisements.
A

Craigslist’s founder did not have website design expertise.

If this were true, the founder could have hired someone with website design expertise.

A network effect that makes switching to competitor sites difficult.

Once Craigslist became popular, it had more sellers and buyers than other sites, making it the most attractive site to use regardless of whether it had been updated and improved.

A network effect that makes switching to competitor sites easy.

Ease of switching would force Craigslist to update and improve itself in order to capture more of the consumers.

Limited demand for online classified advertisements.

There is at least enough demand for Craigslist to have remained in business since 1996.

23
Q

A home electronics store is trying to decide what TV to introduce into its product line. After performing a conjoint analysis, the store finds that customers generally fall into one of three well-defined customer segments, with average part-worths as shown in the tables below. 25% of customers are in Segment A, 40% are in Segment B, and 35% are in Segment C. These customers will be deciding between the store’s TV (either the “quality offering” or the “size offering”) and a competing store’s product. Which TV should the store introduce in order to maximize revenues?

  • The quality offering.
  • The size offering.
  • Revenues will be the same no matter which TV is introduced.
A

The quality offering.

Segment C will purchase the TV no matter what. Segment B, which will purchase from the competitor unless the quality offering is introduced, contains more customers than segment A, which will purchase from the competitor unless the size offering is introduced.

The size offering.

Although segments A and C both prefer the size offering, customers in segment C prefer either offering to the competing TV, and should be left out of the analysis.

Revenues will be the same no matter which TV is introduced.

Customers in segment C will purchase whichever TV is offered, but purchases by customers in segments A and B are dependent on which TV is offered. Notice that the three segments do not contain equal numbers of customers.

24
Q

The home electronic store conducts a similar conjoint analysis in another country, where customer preferences are different. In this country, customers fall into one of two well-defined and equal-sized segments, with average part-worths as shown below in the table. Again, customers will be deciding between the store’s TV (either the “quality offering” or the “size offering”) and a competing store’s product. Which TV should the store introduce in order to maximize revenues?

  • The quality offering.
  • The size offering.
  • Revenues will be the same no matter which TV is introduced.
A

The quality offering.

Neither customer segment prefers the quality offering, and neither segment will change its behavior based on which TV is offered anyway.

The size offering.

Although both customer segments prefer the size offering, neither will change their decision based on which TV is offered.

Revenues will be the same no matter which TV is introduced.

Customers in segment A will purchase the TV no matter which one is introduced. Customers in segment B will always choose the competing TV. Since the TVs are offered for the same price, either TV will bring in the same revenue.

25
Q

In a focus group discussing a newly opened fitness club, the following scene plays out:

One lady points out that it would be useful to add more cardiovascular machines

One gentleman voices disagreement, saying that the space should be allocated towards more weight training

A second lady speaks up in agreement with the gentleman, saying that she would appreciate a greater variety in the weight training machines.

Which of the following should we conclude from this discussion?

  • There is a lot of disagreement in the population regarding whether more space should be allocated towards weight training or cardiovascular training.
  • Most men prefer weight machines, whereas women’s preferences are more split.
  • There is more demand in the population for the weight training machines than the cardiovascular machines.
  • None of the above.
    *
A

There is a lot of disagreement in the population regarding whether more space should be allocated towards weight training or cardiovascular training.

Three people disagreeing in a focus group (the size of which was not even stated) does not mean that the disagreement is widespread.

Most men prefer weight machines, whereas women’s preferences are more split.

The opinions of one man and two women do not tell us much about aggregate preferences across either gender.

There is more demand in the population for the weight training machines than the cardiovascular machines.

Two people preferring weight training machines is not necessarily representative of the population at large.

None of the above.

The sample size is too small to draw any of the above conclusions.

26
Q

In which of the following cases would a seller be least likely to use an auction to determine the price of an item?

  • The item is unique and the seller is not certain what it is worth.
  • Buyers’ valuations of the item are interdependent.
  • The seller is aware of each buyer’s valuation of the item.
  • The seller overpaid for the item initially and is trying to recover some of his losses.
A

The item is unique and the seller is not certain what it is worth.

This would make the seller more likely to use an auction to determine the item’s worth.

Buyers’ valuations of the item are interdependent.

This would put buyers at risk of suffering the winner’s curse, but would not make the seller less likely to use an auction.

The seller is aware of each buyer’s valuation of the item.

If the seller knows buyers’ WTP, it would be easier to set a fixed price for the item.

The seller overpaid for the item initially and is trying to recover some of his losses.

The cost at which the seller obtained the item is not relevant to the decision of how to sell it.

27
Q

An art collector is bidding on a statue that would complete a collection he is trying to assemble. The statue is being sold in a Vickrey (sealed second-price) auction. The collector should place a bid:

  • less than his willingness to pay for the statue.
  • equal to his willingness to pay for the statue.
  • greater than his willingness to pay for the statue.
  • slightly above his estimate of what the highest bid from another participant will be.
A

less than his willingness to pay for the statue.

Since the winning bidder only pays the second-highest bid, the collector can do no worse by increasing his bid to reflect his true WTP. His probability of winning the auction increases, while the price he pays if he wins doesn’t change.

equal to his willingness to pay for the statue.

This maximizes the chances of the collector winning the auction without creating any risk that he will overpay.

greater than his willingness to pay for the statue.

This could result in the collector paying more than his is willing to for the statue.

slightly above his estimate of what the highest bid from another participant will be.

If the highest bid from another participant is higher than the collector’s WTP, the collector would rather lose the auction than win.

28
Q

A company believes that its product will exhibit network effects if enough consumers begin to use it. How might this company decide to price its product?

  • Offer the product for free early on, and increase the price later.
  • Offer the product at a high price initially to attract high-WTP customers and then gradually decrease the price to make it affordable to lower-WTP customers.
  • Offer the product at a price equal to the price charged by the nearest competitor.
  • Set the price based on the cost of manufacturing the product.
A

Offer the product for free early on, and increase the price later.

Offering the product for free will pull in more consumers, which will in turn increase other consumers’ WTP.

Offer the product at a high price initially to attract high-WTP customers and then gradually decrease the price to make it affordable to lower-WTP customers.

The goal is to pull in more consumers from the beginning.

Offer the product at a price equal to the price charged by the nearest competitor.

The company should probably price below its competitor, in order to bring more customers to its product and take advantage of its network effects.

Set the price based on the cost of manufacturing the product.

Pricing in this case should be designed to bring in many customers at first, in order to take advantage of the network effects.

29
Q

A women’s apparel retailer has run a survey of their existing customers eliciting preferences on skirt styles. If the retailer follows the respondents’ suggestions, which of the following is most likely to occur?

  • Existing customers will purchase more from the retailer.
  • The retailer’s client base will expand.
  • The retailer will sell a larger variety of skirt styles.
  • The retailer will be able to attract some of its competitors’ clients.
A

Existing customers will purchase more from the retailer.

Since the survey’s responses came from the existing client base, they represent those customers’ preferences, but not necessarily anyone else’s preferences. Following these suggestions would cater to the tastes of the existing customers, and would likely increase the intensity with which they purchase items from the retailer.

The retailer’s client base will expand.

See correct answer for explanation.

The retailer will sell a larger variety of skirt styles.

See correct answer for explanation.

The retailer will be able to attract some of its competitors’ clients.

See correct answer for explanation.

30
Q

After running an advertising campaign intended to increase sales of its line of dishwashers, an appliance store notices that consumer WTP for its dishwashers seems to have increased. However, the store has not captured any market share from its competitors. Which of the following might explain this outcome?

  • The advertising campaign focused on negative features of competitors’ dishwashers rather than the positive features of the store’s own product.
  • The advertising campaign focused on the advantages of owning a dishwasher, but did not mention the store’s specific brand of dishwasher.
  • The advertising campaign alerted consumers that the store was having a major sale on dishwashers, without emphasizing the desirable features of the dishwashers.
  • Dishwashers exhibit network effects, and the store is therefore operating in a “winner-take-all” industry.
A

The advertising campaign focused on negative features of competitors’ dishwashers rather than the positive features of the store’s own product.

If the campaign had badmouthed a competitor, the store probably would have seen increased market share as consumers left the other store.

The advertising campaign focused on the advantages of owning a dishwasher, but did not mention the store’s specific brand of dishwasher.

The campaign increased WTP for dishwashers in general, but without specifically promoting the store. Other dishwasher sellers have probably profited from the campaign in the same way.

The advertising campaign alerted consumers that the store was having a major sale on dishwashers, without emphasizing the desirable features of the dishwashers.

Advertising the sale might not change consumer WTP for dishwashers, but should bring more customers to the store rather than to its competitors.

Dishwashers exhibit network effects, and the store is therefore operating in a “winner-take-all” industry.

Dishwashers do not exhibit notable network effects.

31
Q

Jim Holzman at Ace Ticket has a few premium seats in the front row. He would like to find out how much extra he can charge for those tickets, relative to identical seats right behind in the second row. To do so, he decided to run a survey. Which of the following questions is LEAST likely to elicit an honest answer?

  • What is the most you would be willing to pay for front row seats?
  • Would you purchase front row seats at a 10% premium over second row seats?
  • Would you rather sit in the first row, or sit in the second row and get a t-shirt with the team’s name?
  • Which would you rather have: an upgrade from the second row to the first, or free soda and ice cream at the game?
A

What is the most you would be willing to pay for front row seats?

Survey respondents have a strong incentive to lie if asked directly what their WTP is.

Would you purchase front row seats at a 10% premium over second row seats?

Giving respondents a tradeoff leads to more honest and accurate responses.

Would you rather sit in the first row, or sit in the second row and get a t-shirt with the team’s name?

Giving respondents a tradeoff leads to more honest and accurate responses. If Ace knows the value of the t-shirts, it can use this to learn more about WTP for the first row.

Which would you rather have: an upgrade from the second row to the first, or free soda and ice cream at the game?

Giving respondents a tradeoff leads to more honest and accurate responses. If Ace knows the value of soda and ice cream, it can use this to learn more about WTP for the first row.

32
Q

In order to test a new customer loyalty program, a supermarket sends an email to its current customers in one of its regions of operation, inviting them to opt into the new program. After several months, management observes that participants in the new program are much more frequent shoppers than the average customer. Which of the following can management conclude from this experiment?

  • Introducing the new loyalty program in all of its regions of operation will boost sales in the future.
  • The new loyalty program has boosted sales among its test participants.
  • Sales to customers that did not opt into the loyalty program have decreased.
  • None of the above.
A

Introducing the new loyalty program in all of its regions of operation will boost sales in the future.

Other regions may not respond to the loyalty program in the same way that the test region did, and in fact management cannot even be sure that the new loyalty program has boosted sales where it was implemented.

The new loyalty program has boosted sales among its test participants.

The shoppers who opted into the program may have been more frequent shoppers to begin with. The program itself may not have changed their behavior at all, but just reflects that the frequent shoppers were more likely to opt in.

Sales to customers that did not opt into the loyalty program have decreased.

There is no evidence that this has occurred.

None of the above.

See explanations above.

33
Q

A traveler’s willingness to pay for a room in a hotel in a remote location is $70. The traveler’s willingness to pay for a hot breakfast is $10. The traveler views hotel rooms and hot breakfast as complementary products. What is most likely the traveler’s willingness to pay for a room in a hotel that includes complimentary hot breakfast?

  • Less than $70
  • $70
  • $80
  • More than $80
A

Less than $70

See correct answer for explanation.

$70

See correct answer for explanation.

$80

See correct answer for explanation.

More than $80

Since the two goods are complementary, the traveler’s WTP for a bundle of the two should be higher than the sum of WTP for the two individual products.

34
Q

Which of the following pairs of products would have a cross-price elasticity of demand that is negative? (Select all that apply.)

  • High-speed internet access and an online streaming service for TV shows
  • Jelly and jam
  • Dishwashers and houseplants
  • Pens and pads of paper
  • A Porsche 911 and a BMW i8 (both are luxury sports cars)
A

High-speed internet access and an online streaming service for TV shows

Two items with a negative cross-price elasticity are considered to be complements. An increase in the price of one good reduces the quantity demanded of the other. High-speed internet is a natural complement to online streaming services.

Jelly and jam

These items are substitutes and would have a positive cross-price elasticity.

Dishwashers and houseplants

These items are unrelated in use and would have a cross-price elasticity close to 0.

Pens and pads of paper

Two items with a negative cross-price elasticity are considered to be complements. An increase in the price of one product reduces the quantity demanded of the other. A pad of paper is not very valuable without a pen to write in it, so they are complements.

A Porsche 911 and a BMW i8 (both are luxury sports cars)

These items are substitutes and would have a positive cross-price elasticity.

35
Q

A large beer company previously had a yearly budget of $50 million per year for advertising but increased the budget to $60 million in order to run a commercial during the Super Bowl. That year revenues increased by 1%. Should the beer company continue with the increased advertising budget?

  • No, the 1% increase in revenue is smaller than the 20% increase in expenditures.
  • No, because the company had an AED of .05 which is too low for advertising to be a strong investment.
  • Yes, since the AED of .05 was positive, it makes sense to continue with the increased budget.
  • Yes, but only if the increase in revenues was greater than the increase in expenditures.
A

No, the 1% increase in revenue is smaller than the 20% increase in expenditures.

Expenditures as a whole did not increase 20%, just advertising costs. Thus the absolute increase in total revenue may have been greater than the absolute increase in total expenditures.

No, because the company had an AED of .05 which is too low for advertising to be a strong investment.

AED just tells us about percent increases in advertising costs and revenues. The absolute increase in total revenue may have been greater than the absolute increase in total expenditures.

Yes, since the AED of .05 was positive, it makes sense to continue with the increased budget.

A positive AED just tells us that more advertising was related to more revenue. This is generally true, but that does not mean that companies will always want to advertise more. Eventually the costs to advertising will outweigh the additional revenue gained.

Yes, but only if the increase in revenues was greater than the increase in expenditures.

If the original total revenue was $1 billion, then the increase in revenue would have been 1% of that, so $10 million. This is equal to the increase in advertising expenditures. Thus if original revenues were greater than $1 billion, it makes sense to keep the increased budget.

36
Q

A product manager is trying to determine customers’ preferences for phone features. The manager has identified 4 relevant product features, and a range of possible settings for these features, as shown in the table below. If the product manager ran a survey asking respondents to rank all possible combinations of features, how many different alternatives would the respondents have to rank?

Number:

A

144

There are 4*4*3*3 possible combinations of features. For example, if you look only at phones with 4MP cameras, 16GB of storage, and a price of $100, there are four possible phones—one with each screensize.

37
Q

In which of the following situations does a focus group have an advantage over a traditional survey? Select all that apply.

  • When gathering granular, personalized information on a few customers
  • When gathering anonymous consumer feedback
  • When gathering a large dataset for quantitative analysis
  • When the question or topic is likely to be misunderstood by respondents
  • When it is important for each consumer’s feedback to be independent of other consumers’ feedback
A

When gathering granular, personalized information on a few customers

It is difficult to tailor a survey to individual participants. In a focus group, the discussion can be tailored so it focusses on the few individuals involved.

When gathering anonymous consumer feedback

Sometimes anonymity is important when eliciting consumer preferences. In this case, a survey is more suitable since a focus group usually involves live interactions.

When gathering a large dataset for quantitative analysis

A focus group is much more expensive to run and collect hard data from. Thus, surveys are more suited for creating large datasets for quantitative analysis.

When the question or topic is likely to be misunderstood by respondents

Focus groups allow the coordinator of the group to intervene when there is a misunderstanding. A survey does not have this flexibility and is not able to identify when a participant misread or misunderstood the question.

When it is important for each consumer’s feedback to be independent of other consumers’ feedback

In a focus group, participants interact with each other and thus influence the feedback of the other participants.

38
Q

A restaurant sells salsa and guacamole, each of which can be eaten with the tacos that the restaurant sells. The manager of the restaurant is not sure whether salsa and guacamole are substitutes or complements. However, after increasing the price of guacamole from $2.00 to $2.50, the manager notices that daily salsa sales rise by 5%. What is the cross price elasticity of salsa and guacamole, and what can the manager conclude about their relationship?

  • -1/5. Salsa and guacamole are substitutes.
  • 1/5. Salsa and guacamole are substitutes.
  • -5. Salsa and guacamole are complements.
    1. Salsa and guacamole are complements.
A

-1/5. Salsa and guacamole are substitutes.

See correct answer for explanation.

1/5. Salsa and guacamole are substitutes.

Cross price elasticity is the percent change in quantity demanded of one good (+5%) divided by the percent change in price of the other good (+25%). A positive cross price elasticity indicates that the goods are substitutes.

-5. Salsa and guacamole are complements.

See correct answer for explanation.

  1. Salsa and guacamole are complements.

See correct answer for explanation.

39
Q

A landlord is renting out an apartment and has three prospective tenants. The first tenant is willing to pay $1200/month, the second tenant is willing to pay $3000/month, and the third tenant is willing to pay $2000/month. Each potential tenant knows the valuations of the other tenants. Of the following methods of renting the apartment, which would generate the greatest revenue?

  • A sealed first-price auction
  • A sealed second-price (Vickrey) auction
  • A fixed price of $1900/month
  • A fixed price of $2200/month
A

A sealed first-price auction

In a sealed first-price auction, the highest-WTP customer will bid just slightly above the 2nd highest-WTP customer’s WTP, and the apartment will be rented at slightly more than $2000/month.

A sealed second-price (Vickrey) auction

In a Vickrey auction, customers will bid their WTP, and the apartment will be rented to the highest-WTP customer at a price of $2000/month, the second highest bid.

A fixed price of $1900/month

At this price, the apartment will be rented for $1900/month.

A fixed price of $2200/month

At this price, the apartment will be rented for $2200/month. This is the only option in which the apartment is rented for significantly more than $2000/month.

40
Q

A clothing store is selling a new style of bathing suits in preparation for the summer season. The store’s manager thinks that consumers’ willingness to pay for a bathing suit is $65 each, but she is not confident in her estimate. She wants to sell the bathing suits within the next 6 months, before summer ends, because after that she needs to make room in the store for the next year’s styles. What price should the manager set for the bathing suit?

  • $55
  • $64
  • $65
  • $75
A

$55

The manager has several months to sell the bathing suits, and should wait and see if she can sell them at a higher price.

$64

The manager has several months to sell the bathing suits, and should wait and see if she can sell them at a higher price.

$65

The manager has several months to sell the bathing suits, and should wait and see if she can sell them at a higher price.

$75

The manager can price the bathing suits at $75 each to see if they will sell. If they do not, there is plenty of time to decrease the price.

41
Q
A