Managerial Finance 2 Flashcards
Interest Rates
- return on short-term risk-free security (usually a treasury security)
- also can be yields (internal rates of return) on longer-term treasury securities
- also complex rates of return on all treasury securities
Determinants of Interest Rates
- productivity of real assets (capital goods) in the economy
- degree of uncertainty about the productivity of a capital good
- time preferences of investors
- risk aversion
- expected inflation
Real Rate vs. Nominal Rate
nominal = Real + inflation
EAR vs. APR
annual percentage rate = simple rate without interest compounding
effective annual rate = takes interest into account
T-Bill vs. Treasury Bond vs. Treasury Note
T-bill = short term
Treasury note = medium term
Treasury Bonds = longer term
Treasure Bill/Bond/Note Terminology
- all pay out once (at maturity when the face value is paid) and nothing at any other time
- coupon rate = given rate
- yield-to-maturity = average rate of return for the buyer if they hold to maturity
- yield curve = shows yields-to-maturity (y-axis) of treasure bonds of different maturities (x-axis)…provides discount rates and to extract market estimates (shape of the curve correlates to state of the economy)
Bonds
borrowing arrangement where the borrower issues an IOU to the investor
- issuer is getting the $ upfront
- face value is paid at the end to the investor (coupon payments in-between)
- normally bonds pay semi-annual coupons (twice per year)
Bond Prices in Relation to Yields
- as the yield drops, the bond price rises (and vice versa)
- the greater the maturity of a bond, the greater the price sensitivity of changes in the underlying yield
- long-term bonds, however, change less than short term so they are more volatile but less than in proportion to their maturities
Holding Period (Bonds)
computed for the actual time the bond is held
Bond that Sells for More/Less/Same than FV
- more = premium bond
- less = discount bond
- same = par bond
Types of Bond Issuers
- treasury bonds/notes
- corporate bonds
- other issuers such as state and local govts and/or govt agencies
Credit Risk
- corporate bonds are subject to default
- must offer a default premium (difference between promised yield and expected yield to maturity)
Types of Investment Decisions (4)
- NPV (accept if NPV > 0)
- Payback Period (accept if period is less than some preset limit)
- Average Accounting Return - AAR (accept if the AAR is greater than the present rate)
- Internal Rate of Return - IRR (accept if IRR is greater than the required rate of return)
Investment Decisions - NPV
- NPV is the difference between the market value of the project and its cost
1. estimate expected future cash flows
2. estimate the required return for projects of this risk level
3. find the PV of the cash flows and subtract the initial investment
4. accept if NPV > 0 - advantages - satisfies all Decision Criteria
Decision Criteria
- does the decision adjust for the time value of money?
- does the decision rule adjust for risk?
- does the decision rule provide information on whether we care creating value for the firm?
Investment Decisions - Payback Period
- how long does it take to get the initial cost back in a nominal sense?
1. estimate cash flows
2. subtract the future cash flows from the initial cost until the initial investment has been recovered
3. accept if period is less than some preset limit - advantages - easy and adjusts for uncertainty of later cash flows
- disadvantages - ignores time value of money, ignores cash flow beyond cut off point, biased against long-term projects
Investment Decisions - Average Accounting Return
- average net income of all years/average book value
- accept if the AAR is greater than the present rate (need to have a cutoff target rate)
- note that the book value depends on how the asset is depreciated
- advantages - easy, needed info usually available
- disadvantages - time value of money is ignored, based on accounting numbers not market rates and cash flows
Investment Decisions - IRR
- IRR is the discount rate that makes NPV = 0
1. trial and error to find
2. accept if IRR is greater than the required rate of return - advantages - simple way to communicate the value of a project, if the IRR is high enough don’t need to calculate RRR, based entirely on estimated cash flows
- if cash flows change more than once, there are two IRRs (if lending, choose the one that’s on the downward sloping part of the curve. if borrowing, choose the one on the upward sloping part)
NPV vs. IRR (re: Investment decisions)
- IRR and NPV generally give us the same decision (unless there are unconventional cash flows or mutually exclusive projects)
- if conflict, always go with NPV
Mutually Exclusive Projects (re: IRR)
- if you choose one, you can’t choose the other
- choose one and then decide if you should switch…if switch, choose the other, if not - stay with the first
Profitability Index
- measures benefit per unit cost, based on the time value of money
= NPV/Initial Investment - if the amount of money is limited, this is a good tool because it shows the biggest bang for the buck
- advantages - closely related to NPV, easy to understand and communicate
- disadvantages - may lead to incorrect decisions in comparison of mutually exclusive events
Capital Budgeting
- capital budget = the projects/investments that a company plans to undertake during the coming year.
- capital budgeting = firms analyze alternative projects and decide which ones to accept
- process begins with forecasts of the project’s future consequences some will affect the firm’s revenues; others will affect its costs
- ultimate goal = determine the effect of the decision on the firm’s cash flows, and evaluate the NPV of these cash flows to assess the consequences of the decision for the firm’s value
Incremental Cash Flows
- NPV is the sum of all the “prices” of future marketable flows so we should focus on cash flows (not earnings necessarily)
- we need to look at the extent to which the project adds value to the firm i.e. incremental cash flows (derived from incremental earnings)
Opportunity Cost
- the value it could have provided in its best alternative use
Project Externalities and Cannibalization
- Project Externalities = indirect effects of the project that may increase or decrease the profits of other business activities of the firm
- Cannibalization = when sales of a new
product displace sales of an existing product
Sunk Cost
- any unrecoverable cost for which the firm is already liable
- should not be included in evaluating a project