Globalization Flashcards
Two Most Important Variables for Growth (O’Neill)
- Productivity - the more a group of workers can produce with a given set of inputs, the faster the economy will grow.
- Demography - more people means more workers to produce
Factors of Growth in China and India
They have the most people
- the leadership of India is now pro-business, more opportunity to expand
- India has IT, China has manufacturing
- More education causes both variables to increase. US’s schools are declining. China and India (and Africa) have growth in education.
Globalization and Jobs
Most Americans and Europeans are against globalization because of jobs
Most Asians, Latin Americans and Africans are for globalization because of jobs
Second World Reading (by Khanna) - main points
- The G-3 (China, USA, Europe) are all competing for dominance - they are “frenemies”
- friends = they trade, they have treaties, “run the world”
- enemies = the battlefield on which they compete? 2nd world countries (middle east countries, parts of Africa, Latin America) “swing states”
- the key is Brazil (China is winning)
- USA is losing ground in the 2nd world competition because, according to the author, USA puts up barriers, pushes American idealology but there is resistance to Americanization - people want to be more like European (as they have more empathy and more of an understanding about the rest of the world)
- Why isn’t India in the G-3(4)? It will be - Modi is going to implement Transformation
Changing Culture of Multi-National Corporations
multi-national enterprise (MNE) - any company that has productive activities in two or more countries
- from 1960 - 2010, US and UK went down in terms of the largest MNEs, Japan, France and Germany went up
- Another trend in the rise of mini-multinationals - small and medium sized MNEs are becoming increasingly involved with international trade (rise of the internet is lowering the barriers)
Main Points McKinsey Africa Article
- Africa is growing and developing
- 1980-2000 at 2%, 2000-2008 at 5% (becoming more important), 2014-2024 projected to be 7-8% (while the US at 2%) - will become very important
- 1/3 of the growth is from natural resources - oil prices have gone up,, gold, metal, etc. is abundant
- 2/3 from the usual
- productivity - e.g. cell phones
- demography - e.g. urbanization - more workers available vs. India still lots of farms, China is aging - less workers in the next 10 years. e.g. education - increasing in Africa
- reasons - government got their act together, implemented policies to stimulate the market, ended arms conflicts, reduced inflation and debt
- result - growth prospects for Africa are positive companies within should expand now, outsiders should consider investing
Changing Demographics of World Output
1960 - US dominated at 38%, China wasn’t even a player, China wasn’t even a player
2011 - US 21% - still the biggest player (and actually grew) but down relatively in size, China at 10.5% (2nd largest) and other newly-industrialized asian countries Japan, South Korea, etc. also increased
- Rise of BRICS in the future, a further decline in US output is expected
Critical Year When Globalization Takes Off
1989 - Berlin Wall comes down…Market Reforms
1990 - of 400K employees at IBM, 300K are in US, 100K elsewhere
2010 - US 100K, India 150K, rest of the world 150K
- globalization of products fueled by outsourcing
- globalization of markets
- rise of technology
WTO
World Trade Organization
- responsible for policing the world trading system
- 98% of international trade goes through WTO giving it enormous scope and influence
- promoted the lowering of barriers to cross-border trade and investment
What is the Most Global of Business?
- Consumer goods tend to still be country to country
- Industrial goods tend to be more global - can get parts cheaper in other countries and offer a competitive advantage
Drivers of Globalization
- Declining Trade and Investment Barriers
2. The role of technological change (microprocessors, internet, transportation technology)
The Globalization Debate
- Jobs and Income
critics - loss of manufacturing jobs in economically developed countries because the jobs go where the labor is cheaper
supporters - lower costs = more money for people to spend in their own country. Increase in standard of living off-sets loss of jobs. - Labor Policies and the Environment
critics - manufacturing moves to places with less regulation in terms of labor policies and the environment causing and increase in exploitation and pollution
supporters - by creating wealth and incentive, allows more regulations. Economic development will lead to lower pollution and exploitation. - National Sovereignty
critics - more reliance on global organizations (e.g. WTO) = nations not having control over their own destiny (they didn’t elect the WTO)
supporters - organizations such as WTO have to work hand-in-hand with individual states or they will quickly collapse - The World’s Poor
critics - the gap between rich and poor has gotten bigger
supporters - countries with poor are plagued by debt, free-trade will allow countries to boot-strap out of it
Three Things to Look at When Evaluating a Country
- Politics
- Economics
- Legal System
Rule of Law
legal principal that law should govern a nation versus the arbitrary decisions of individuals (e.g. kings, queens, etc.)
Two Categories of Cultural Differences
- Collectiveism (socialism, communists) - entire community is more important than the individuals (mostassoicated with Japan. Also in China and Southeast Asia)…Confucious values. Also, Tawain (perhaps more Chinese than China?)
- Individualism - most strongly in US and UK. Adam Smith. pg 40 - first tenant is importance of guaranteeing individual self-expression and freedom. Letting people go for their own economic interest. Invisible Hand.Second tenant is welfare of society is best served by letting people pursue their own economic self-interest
Democracy vs. Totalitarianism
Democracy - political system in which govt is by the people
Totalitarianism - one person or political party exercises absolute control (opposing parties are prohibited)
Foreign Corrupt Practices Act of 1977
- if you are an american citizen/company or a foreign company operation in the US, you must obey this act
- not allowed to bribe a government official to get business
- are allowed to facilitate payments - allowed to pay money to get the government to get what it should do without the bribe - if all facilitating payments are recorded and reported to the SCC
Market Economy
all productive activities are privately owned (versus owned by the state) and production/price is driven by supply and demand
Command Economy
- the government plans the goods and services that a country produces plus their quantity and prices “for the good of the society”
- all businesses are state owned
- since the demise of communism, command economies have been on the decline
Mixed Economy
- between market and mixed economies
- certain sectors left to private ownership, while others have state ownership and govt planning (often take owndership of troubled firms whose continued operation is thought to be vital to national interests)
- until the 1980’s, UK, France, Sweden were mixed - less so now
Common Law vs. Civil Law vs. Theoretic Law
Common - (US) based on tradition, precedent and custom (degree of flexibility)
Civil - (Germany, France, Russia) based on a detailed set of laws organized into codes (less flexible)
Theoretic - (Islam) based on religious teachings
- in terms of Contracts, under common law, they tend to be very detailed while under civil, they are shorter and less specific because everything is already laid out in codes
Free Trade
- government does not attempt to influence through quotas or duties what a citizen buys from another country or what they produce and sell to another country
- Adam Smith’s theory of absolute advantage - the invisible hand of market mechanism (versus government policy) should determine what a country imports/exports
- Ricardo and Heckscher-Ohlin theories are similar
Benefits of Trade
- common sense (people in Iceland want Oranges but can’t grow them)
- efficiency (countries can specialize in certain goods and produce them more cheaply)
Patterns of International Trade and New Trade Theory
- climate and natural resources
- New Trade Theory = in some cases, countries specialize in certain goods because they did it first and it’s hard to enter the market once the good is established (the market can support only a limited number of firms)