Lectures 9 & 10 - Labour Markets and Unemployment Flashcards
Define the ‘adult, civilian population’
everyone not in the military, aged 16+
Define labour force
everyone in the adult, civilian population, either employed or actively seeking employment at the time of measurement and available to start work within a fortnight
What is the equation for the unemployment rate?
UR = (number unemployed / labour force) x 100
What is the equation for the participation rate?
PR = (labour force / adult population) x 100
Are discouraged workers part of the labour force?
no
Define the natural rate of unemployment
the unemployment rate that would prevail if the economy were in neither a boom nor a bust
Define cyclical unemployment. What is it associated with?
- the difference between the actual rate and the natural rate
- associated with short-run fluctuations in output
In the Pool model, how many endogenous variables are there? What are these endogenous variables?
- 2 endogenous variables
- employment E and unemployment U
In the Pool model, what do L, E, U and U/L represent?
- L = number of workers in labour force
- E = number of employed workers
- U = number of unemployed workers
- U/L = unemployment rate
What are the 2 assumptions of the Pool model?
- L is exogenously fixed
- during a given period:
- s = fraction of employed workers that become separated from their jobs
- f = fraction of unemployed workers that find jobs
(both exogenous)
What is the steady state situation for the Pool model?
- s x E = f x U
- number of employed people that lose or leave their jobs = number of unemployed people who find jobs
Derive an equation for the natural rate of unemployment given the Pool model
- f x U = s x E
- f x U = s x (L - U)
- f x U = sL - sU
- U(f + s) = sL
- unemployment rate: U/L = s/(s + f)
Give 2 drawbacks of the Pool model
- does not explain why and how there is unemployment in the first place
- assumes job finding is not instantaneous, BUT it does not explain why
What would have to happen to s or f in order for a policy to reduce the natural rate of unemployment?
the policy must lower s or increase f
What would happen if job finding were instantaneous (f = 1)?
all spells of unemployment would be brief and the natural rate would be near zero