lecture 7 Flashcards
why do seasons occur
- Tilt of earth’s axis drives changes in seasons in N and S hemispheres
At the tropics, seasonal variation in temp and day length are slight
describe seasons in northern latitudes
○ Red dots = temp = avg changes seasonally - there is a pattern ○ Blue dots = precip= more even across the year ○ Great similarity in this biome across the globe - convergence of vegetative forms
describe seasons in equatorial tropical rain forests
- Temp nvr blw 0, mean temp over years is 26
- Precip is high = more extreme dry and wet seasons
what is vegetation like in the mediterranean and why?
- In Mediterranean= relatively similar vegetation - water helps maintain a stable temp
○ Patchiness = continental effect
○ Vegetation looks similar but diff spp. = convergence due to similar environmental conditions
what is the IPCC
- Intergovernmental panel on climate change (IPCC)
- Leading international body for climate change assessment
- Est. by UN environment program and world meterological organization in 1988
what mandate does the IPCC work on? what does it do?
- Mandate - provide the world with a clear scientific view on the current state of knowledge in climate change and its potential environmental and socio-economic impacts
- Reviews and assess recent scientific, technical, and socioeconomic info produced world wide relevant to the understanding of climate change
what does the IPCC not do?
- Does NOT conduct any research nor does it monitor climate related data or parameters
- Issues that are global = hard to reach a consensus
- Synthesize + process data
- Dynamic process, lots goes on behind the scenes
what are the major patterns of climate change?
- Co2 increasing over time, collected via direct sampling of the air
○ Compared to years ago- nothing has historically
○ Annual zigzag pattern - earth “breathing” - periods of high photosynthesis
○ Heatmap shows measurements made across the globe
observed changes in annual precip?
- 100 mm per year is very substantial
- Used climactic weather stations to measure it
what pattern is seen with sea ice?
- Sea ice melting - shows the impact of small changes in degrees
- Geopolitical issues - trying to establish sovern. For ocean - changes in conservation tactics and issues - more tankers + ships - changes dynamics for organisms
- Water holds lots of energy without changing temp too much - serves as a buffer
Heat in water is going up = more hurricanes bc more energy
ipcc predictions?
○ Even in the most optimistic - temps go up
○ Measure temp regularly w a satalite and model how air flows, then add and make different assumptions for the model
○ Basis of the model is real world measurements = how much you put in is what you get out
○ Rcp values =different scenarios regarding greenhouse gases
○ Rcp 2.6 (green) = ideal situation, reduction of carbon emission in co3 over decades ○ Rcp 8.5 = projection if we change nothing *
what issue arises with sea ice melting?
○ Sea ice extent - high reflectivity loss bc loss of ice/snow = more heating observed
how is climate change distributed?
○ Avg change in temp (3 degrees) is not distributed evenly = disproportionate in the north
○ Precip up 40% in the worst case, up 20% in best
○ Splices of biomes having different changes un habitat
how accurate are climate models
- Models are tested by going retrospectively and running the model from the past until now - see if its accurate in its prediction
- Less certain the further into the future you go
- ○ Pattern consistent in the past century
○ Partially depends on infrastructure = more ghg