Lecture 12 Flashcards
Social amplification of risk
Context of risk influences perception - creator -> intermediary -> media -> social groups -> receiver. Each step can amplify or attenuate risk via source, vividness, etc.
Individual differences in risk attitudes
Men take more risks, women perceive risks as higher. Teens more risk-seeking than older adults, experts tend to have different interpretations of risk. Each person’s personal risk perception is average across many realms
DoSpeRT scale
Domain-Specific Risk Taking scale - factor analysis divides risks into financial, health/safety, social, ethical, recreational
Risk perception vs. risk taking
Risk taking involves probability you will actually do a risky activity, whereas perception is just how risky the activity seems
Temporal discounting
We discount future gains and losses - myopic tradeoffs between immediate and future costs and benefits
Temporal gains vs. losses
We tend to want gains now and losses later
Future v. present self
Future self seems like a different person. People who feel closer to future self discount less. People who are going to have a life changing event discount more b/c distance. Can manipulate this closeness to change results
Can discounting be explained by rational reasons such as wanting to invest or needing the money?
If you add up all the rational reasons why money is less valuable when it’s delayed, we still discount more than you (or an economist) would expect.
Indifference point
The value of the later option that would make
$ now and $ later equally attractive to you. Higher indifference point -> more discounting
Discount rate
‘conversion rate’ between $ now and $ later
– higher discount rates -> more discounting
Discount factor
Inverse of discount rate. Lower factors -> more discounting
Exponential discounting
Discounting more during first stages - if we have to wait anyways, we are willing to wait a little longer - more patient when there is no immediate option
Temporal myopia
Overweight presence: difference between now and later is bigger than the difference between later and even later
Exponential vs. hyperbolic discounting
Two mathematical models of discounting. Hyperbolic is a steeper downwards curve
Framing and discounting
is the present the default, or the future the default?