Lecture 11 - Project Flashcards
Define Risk and Risk Management
Risk
➢The possibility of loss or injury;
➢Situation, problem, enhancement or opportunity having a measured impact (positive or negative) on an outcome;
➢Exposure of an activity to an uncertain outcome;
Risk management
➢The iterative process of: Identifying, assessing, analyzing, managing & monitoring and evaluating & reviewing risk.
What are the two potential sources of risk with examples?
Internal (controllable)
Some examples:
➢Ambiguous project charter
➢Communication bottlenecks
➢Lack of reporting
➢Limited resources
➢Limited capability
External (uncontrollable)
Some examples:
➢Economic cycles
➢Changing technology
➢Legislative constraints
➢Environmental factors
➢Social changes
What is SWOT?
S-trenghts
W-eaknesses
O-pportunities
T-hreats
What is PESTELG
Political
Economic
Social
Technological
Environmental
Legal
Global
What are some tools used for identifying risks?
➢ Risk registers
➢ Project completion reports
➢ SWOT analysis
➢ PESTELG
➢ Brainstorming
➢Project charter
➢Feasibility studies
What is the 5 by 5 priority grid.
Used to assess the risk
Probability Impact
1 Remote 1 Insignificant
2 Unlikely 2 Minor
3 Likely 3 Moderate
4 Very likely 4 Major
5 Certain 5 Catastrophic
➢Values 1-6= Dealt with by existing procedures;
➢Values 8-12= Project manager intervention;
➢ Values 15-25= Senior management intervention;
How can you analysis the risk?
➢Program Evaluation & Review Technique (PERT analysis ) considers the critical path and other networks;
➢SWOT and PESTELG analysis – consider issues impacting the situation;
➢Expert judgement – considers opinions, perspectives & viewpoints;
➢Stakeholder forums – considers expectations, objectives & deliverables;
➢Decision trees – considers possible paths & expected values returned;
What is managing the risk in terms of possible risk responses?
1.Reject -modify plan to eliminate risk;
2.Accept -addressed as they arise;
3.Mitigate-proactive action to minimize the impact;
4.Share-partnership with 3rd party;
5.Transfer -outsourced to 3rd party;
6.Enhance - actively increase the probability and/or positive impacts of an opportunity;
7.Exploit: ensure that the identified opportunity is realised by eliminating the uncertainty around it altogether so that the opportunity definitely happens.
How can you document the risk?
Using a risk register
➢ The more detailed the risk event, the more targeted the response;
➢ Managed risk requires the ‘right’ owner;
➢ Risk is always communicated and owned by all stakeholders;
➢ Risk is either rejected, accepted or managed;
➢ Risk can impact the project schedule and other variables;
➢ Ongoing risk control is essential;
➢ Risk register should be updated at every phase of the project lifecycle
Why should you see project management as a strategy?
Project management as a strategy (not simply as planning & execution)
➢Recognize & manage proactively project complexity;
➢Decision making based on strategic approaches;
➢Project lifecycle thinking;
➢Include variables in line with TBL.
What are ways to aligning the risk profile
➢Risk averse
Low tolerance & ability to accept & manage risk
Conservative approach, proven techniques, distanced from change
Caution is the principal focus
➢Risk neutral
Dispassionate tolerance & ability to accept & manage risk
No defined philosophies, reaction oriented, measured indifference
Balance is the principal focus
➢Risk taking
High tolerance & ability to accept and manage risk
Challenges current thinking, innovative approach
Experimentation is the principal focus