L2 Flashcards

Making Causal Claims Measuring Relationships Detecting Signals

1
Q

When can we make causal claims?

A

When we use an experimental design (manipulate the IV and measure DV)

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2
Q

What is a correlation design?

A

Relationships among variables that are observed and measured

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3
Q

What is operationalisation?

A

Strictly defining variables so they can be measured

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4
Q

Why do we need to be careful when thinking about correlation vs causation?

A

Sometimes there are other variables which are related to both correlated variables that we are unaware of that is causing the difference

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5
Q

What is the third variable problem?

A

A confound in correlational studies: where another ‘lurking’ or unobserved variable can explain the relationship between the observed variable.

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6
Q

Wine being correlated with weight loss is an example of?

A

The third variable problem

  • E.g. wine is usually drank while socialising and being social is more likely to make you want to lose weight (the third variable)*
  • Knowing there is a relationship between two variables does not mean there is causation*
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7
Q

What do you need to do with your study to infer causation?

A

Have a randomised controlled experiment

  • Where experimenters control the independent variables, randomly assign participants and materials and help manage other sources of variation.*
  • Allows us to say X increases Y, X decreases Y, X results in Y etc.*
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8
Q

What are the two methods we can use to compute correlations/measure relationships?

A

Pearsons correlation coefficient (r)

Spearmans rank correlation coefficient (rs)

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9
Q

Describe the features of Pearsons correlation coefficient

A
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10
Q

Describe the features of Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient

A
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11
Q

What does a monotonic relationship mean?

A

as x goes up, y goes up

does not go up and down

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12
Q

Which correlation analysis is best when the data is assumed to be linear?

A

Pearson’s

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13
Q

How can we measure if X predicts Y? (rather than a causation or correlation)

A

Simple Linear Regression

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14
Q

Describe the features of a simple linear regression (R2)

A
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15
Q

When should we use multiple regression?

A

When there is more than one X variable

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16
Q

Describe the features of a multiple regression (R2)

A
17
Q

Does a significant relationship between variables imply causation?

A

No

18
Q

What two factors creates variations in our data?

A
  1. Systematic factors (genuine data)
  2. The variations look systematic but it is only chance (chance explanations)
    * E.g. sampling error, when data looks legitimate but it is flawed in some way*
19
Q

Detecting Signals

What is Signal Detection Theory (hypothesis testing)?

A
20
Q

How many ways of being right and how many ways of being wrong are there in signal detection theory?

A

2 x 2

21
Q

How is signal detection theory similar to null hypothesis testing?

A

There are two ways of being right and two ways of being wrong

22
Q

A false alarm in signal detection theory is equivalent to what in null hypothesis significance testing?

A

Type 1 Error

23
Q

If you reject the null hypothesis but the effect was absent, what type of error is this?

A

Type 1 error (false positive)

24
Q

If p<.05 can the effect still be due to chance?

A

Yes, 1 in 20 cases will be due to chance as there is still a 5% probability of being due to chance

25
Q

Describe where the decisions are made on a graph using signal detection theory

A
26
Q

Getting better evidence and reducing chance factors reduces the degree of ___ in signal detection theory

A

Overlap (chance 1 and 2 errors)

27
Q

Is psychology good at operationalising and having low type 2 and type 1 error rates?

A

No, our experiments are typically ‘fuzzy’ in terms of clarity

28
Q

If variables aren’t controlled properly this can lead to…

A

Type 1 and type 2 errors

29
Q

What are the two types of response bias in decision making in null hypothesis significance testing?

A

Liberal and Conservative

30
Q

What is a liberal response bias?

A

When experimenters tend to err in favour of saying a relationship exists as opposed to saying a relationship doesn’t exist (i.e. higher type 1 error rate, lower type 2 error rate)

31
Q

What is a conservative response bias?

A

Where you lean towards accepting the null hypothesis instead of rejecting the null

32
Q

What is the trade-off of having a conservative response bias?

A

You reduce the number of type 1 errors however you increase the number of type 2 errors

33
Q

What are the positive aspects of a conservative response bias?

A

Increased number of correct rejections

34
Q

What is the scientific communities standard for response bias?

A

p < .05 (5%)

35
Q

What else can we vary in signal detection?

A

The base rate (size of the distributions)

However in most experiments we normalise each condition

36
Q

Baggage screeners at an airport are an example of

A

Signal Detection Theory with a liberal response bias

They have a large ‘noise’ as they correctly reject a lot of bags but they have adjusted the decision making criteria

37
Q

What does having a noise curve that is highly variable mean (high variance of the curves)?

A

How variable our curves are (how different the things are that make up the curve)

38
Q

Response criteria (response bias) can be…

A

Liberal or conservative