Key Points Flashcards
What does ‘Mutually Exclusive’ mean?
- That an event cannot occur at the same time as another event.
- E.g: It is impossible to roll both a 5 and a 6 on a single dice at the same time.
Can two Mutually Exclusive events affect the probability of one another?
- Yes, just because the events cannot occur at the same time, does not mean they have no effect on each other.
What is an independent event?
- When an event has no influence over another event and is not influenced by another event.
What is a dependent event?
- When the outcome of an event affects the outcome of another event, or when an event is affected by the outcome of another event.
When does the formula P(A∩B) = P(A) x P(B) hold?
- When the events are independent.
When does the formula P(A∪B) = P(A) + P(B) hold?
- When the events are mutually exclusive.
Give 3 ways of using graphical methods to solve probability questions:
- Venn Diagrams.
- Probability Trees.
- Sample Space Diagram.
What type of graph is more suitable than a bar chart when dealing with discrete data?
- Line graph (skinny bar chart) is suitable for discrete data.
- Because a bar chart contains a range of values normally, making it suitable for continuous data.
What type of data is the binomial distribution suitable for?
- Discrete Data.
What do the 3 variables involved with Binomial Calculations represent?
- N = number of trials.
- P = probability of a trial being successful.
- X = number of success’ (Probability you want to calculate.)
What is important about the sample size/number of trials when using a binomial distribution?
- It is fixed. (n is a constant for each example)
Explain the initial setup for a Binomial Hypothesis test:
- Define variables. (What is X)
- Define Null Hypothesis: H0: p = x
- Define Alternate Hypothesis: H1: P < x
What three variations can the alternate hypothesis take in a binomial hypothesis test?
- H1: P < x (Less than)
- H1: P > x (Greater than)
- H1 : P ≠ x (Not equal to)
When dealing with an alternate hypothesis of > or <, what number of tails does the test have?
- Single tailed test.
When dealing with an alternate hypothesis of ≠, how many tails does the test have?
- Two tails. (Half significance level.)
What happens during the second half of a Binomial hypothesis test?
- Calculate the probability in question.
- Compare the probability to the significance level.
- If P < sig level, reject H0.
- If p > sig level, accept H0
Why is the method for working out the critical region for Binomial stupid?
- You need to use trial and error. (Hence the stupidity.)
- Use trial and error to find an X value which yields a probability less than the significance level.
When dealing with A2, what needs to be considered when working out probabilities?
- Whether the two events in question are independent or dependant.
- When events are dependent, you need to use the A2 formulae opposed to the AS formulae which assumes the events are independent.