Investment Planning Flashcards
Describe the following types of orders:
- Market Order
- Limit Order
- Stop Order
- Stop Limit/Stop-Loss Limit Order
- *Market Order**: An order to buy or sell at the current best available price.
- generally when speed of execution is preferred over price
- most appropriate for stocks that are NOT thinly traded
- *Limit Order**: An order to buy or sell at a specified price or better.
- there is no assurance of execution.
- most appropriate for stocks that are extremely volatile or ARE thinly traded
- *Stop Order**: An order to buy or sell at the market price after the stock has traded at or through a specified “stop” price. If the stock reaches that price, the order becomes a market order.
- the primary risk is that the investor may receive significantly less than anticipated (when selling) if the market is moving too quickly/stock gaps down.
- *Stop Limit/Stop-Loss Limit Order**: An order to buy or sell at the limit price (or better) after the stock has traded at or through a specified “stop” price. If the stock reaches that price, the order will only execute at the limit price or better.
- there is no assurance of execution. If an investor was trying to sell the stock and the price of the stock was declining fast, the investor may be left with the stock now at a significantly lower price due to their limit price.
- Appropriate for investors with a significant gain built into the stock (but may not want to sell the stock during significant volatility based on short-term news).
Initial Margin Requirement
Maintenance Margin
INITIAL MARGIN
The federal reserve established Regulation T, which set the initial margin at 50%
-The initial margin can be more restrictive based on volatility of stock. Assume 50% on the exam unless otherwise stated in the question.
Ex: To purchase 100 shares of Starbucks trading at $50 (on margin), the investor would need to place 100 x $50 x 0.75% = $3,750 in his account. He would then borrow on loan, (100 x $50 x 0.25% =$1,250).
- *MAINTENANCE MARGIN**
- The minimum amount of equity required before a margin call
Margin Position (how to find out how much equity the investor currently has)
Equity / Fair Market Value = Margin Position
Equity = Current stock price - Loan
What is the Margin Call Formula?
MEMORIZE - NOT ON EXAM FORMULA SHEET
Margin Call = Loan ÷ (1 - Maintenance Margin)
Loan = % of stock price borrowed on loan. If the maintenance margin was 60%, the loan amount would automatically be 40% of the stock price.
-When the price falls below the stock price at which an investor would receive a margin call, the investor must contribute equity to restore their position
Ex: Lisa Purchased 500 Shares of XYZ stock trading at $40/share, with an initial margin requirement of 60% and a maintenance margin of 30%. At what price would Lisa receive a margin call?
Her initial loan was:
$40 x 40% = $16 or $40 x (1 - 0.60)
$16 ÷ (1 - 0.30) or $16 ÷ 0.70
=22.86
Research Reports
Value Line and Morningstar
- *Which types of investments do they primarily rank?**
- *What are the rankings and when do they signal to buy or sell?**
- *Value Line**
- Ranks primarily stocks on a scale of 1 to 5 for timeliness and safety
- A ranking of 1 represents the highest rating (SIGNAL TO BUY)
- A ranking of 5 represents the lowest rating (SIGNAL TO SELL)
- *Morningstar**
- Ranks primarily mutual funds on a scale of 1 to 5 stars
- A ranking of 1 represents the LOWEST ranking, whereas 5 represents the HIGHEST ranking
What is the relationship (in number of days) between the “ex-dividend date” and “date of record”?
TIP: “During EX-DATES, you’re EXCLUDED from receiving dividends”
Remember T+2. If you needed to be on the list of shareholders eligible for a dividend by the Date of Record, you would have to buy the stock at least 2 days before so that the transaction would settle in time.
June 2nd: Must purchase the stock before this date or today to receive the dividend
June 3rd: Ex-Dividend Date
June 4th: Date of Record
- An investor must purchase the stock before the ex-dividend date or 2 business days prior to the date of record.
- The ex-dividend date is one business day prior to the date of record.
Characteristics of the Securities Act of 1933
Characteristics of the Securities Act of 1934
Securities Act of 1933:
- Regulates the issuance of new securities (Primary Market).
- Requires new issues are accompanied with a prospectus before being offered.
Securities Act of 1934:
- Regulates the secondary market and trading of securities.
- Created the SEC to enforce compliance with security regulations and laws.
Characteristics of the Investment Company Act of 1940
Characteristics of the Investment Advisers Act of 1940
Investment Company Act of 1940:
- Authorized the SEC to regulate investment companies.
- Three types of investment companies: Open, Closed and Unit Investment Trusts.
Investment Advisers Act of 1940:
- This act required investment advisors to register with the SEC or state.
- To register with the SEC, an advisor must file form ADV.
- Less than $100 million in assets, register with the state.
- Greater than $110 million, register with the SEC.
- Between 100M and 110M AUM has the choice to register with the state or SEC.
Characteristics of the Securities Investors Protection Act of 1970
Characteristics of the Insider Trading and Securities Fraud Enforcement Act of 1988
Securities Investors Protection Act of 1970:
- Established the SIPC to protect investors for losses resulting from brokerage firm failures.
- This act does not protect investors from incompetence or bad investment decisions.
Insider Trading and Securities Fraud Enforcement Act of 1988:
- Defines an insider as anyone with information that is not available to the public.
- Insiders cannot trade on that information.
Treasury Bills (Maturities and Denominations)
- Maturities of varying lengths, 52 weeks or less.
- Denominations of $100.
- Sold at a discount to par value.
Characteristics of Commercial Paper
- Short term loans between corporations.
- Maturities of 270 days or less.
- Not registered with the SEC.
- Commercial paper has denominations of $100,000 and are sold at a discount.
Characteristics of Bankers Acceptance
- Facilitates imports/exports.
- Maturities of 9 months or less.
- Can be held until maturity or traded.
Eurodollars
Deposits in foreign banks that are denominated in US dollars.
What are the 2 objectives and 5 constraints covered in an Investment Policy Statement?
TIP: The “Risk and Return TURTL” or ”RRTTLLU”
RRTTLLU: Objectives are risk and return. Constraints are time horizon, taxes, legal/regulations, liquidity, unique circumstances.
IPS establishes “RR TURTL” → Risk & Return objectives and Time horizon, Unique circumstances, Regulations/legal, Taxes and Liquidity are the constraints.
*The IPS does NOT include investment selection
Price-Weighted Average
- Characteristics
- Examples
Characteristic: Only takes stock price into consideration when calculating the average (vs. weighted which would take into account the percent allocation of the position within the portfolio).
Example: Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA
Value-Weighted Index
- Characteristics
- Examples
Characteristic: Takes market capitalization (shares outstanding x price) into account.
Examples: S&P 500, Russell 2000, Wilshire 5000 and EAFE
What is Overconfidence?
What does Overconfidence lead to?
- Overconfidence suggests that investors overestimate their ability to successfully predict future market events through both the data gathering and analysis processes.
- Overconfidence leads to:
- Increased risk taking
- Overtrading
What is Hindsight Bias?
What does Hindsight Bias lead to?
- Hindsight bias is a form of overconfidence related to an investor’s belief that they had predicted an event that, in fact, they did not predict.
- Hindsight bias leads to:
- Complicated clients wanting to know why their advisors did not anticipate events that the client “knew” would happen.
What is Cognitive Dissonance?
What does Cognitive Dissonance lead to?
- Cognitive dissonance is also a form of overconfidence because an investor’s memory of past performance is better than the actual results.
- Cognitive dissonance leads to:
- Minimizing or forgetting past losses
- Exaggerating past gains
Ex: “Your best friend Alex came to your house party for the football game. During the game he starts telling you about his amazing portfolio performance. He tells you about several positions that experienced double digit returns in a matter of days. He says that he lost on a few but not very much. Impressed you decide to invest some money with him. What behavioral finance bias does your friend Alex portray?” *Cognitive Dissonance
What is Anchoring?
What does Anchoring lead to?
- Anchoring represents the investor’s inability to objectively review and analyze new information. The investor is “anchored” to the first information they reviewed.
- Anchoring leads to:
- Returns or results that are different than the investor expected.
- Buying securities that have fallen in value because it “must” get back up to that recent high.
What is Belief Perseverance?
What does Belief Perseverance lead to?
- Belief perseverance is similar to anchoring in that people are unlikely to change their views given new information. It is a rejection of information that could disprove their belief.
- Barberis and Thaler (2002) said, “At least two effects appear to be at work. First, people are reluctant to search for evidence that contradicts their beliefs. Second, even if they find such evidence, they treat it with excessive skepticism.”
- Belief perseverance leads to:
- Avoiding changes to their belief in an investment, even though new information contradicts their original premise for investing.
- Sticking to a flawed approach.
What is Regret Avoidance (Disposition Effect)?
What does Regret Avoidance (Disposition Effect) lead to?
- Regret avoidance, also known as the disposition effect, causes investors to take action (or inaction) in hopes of minimizing any regret.
- Regret avoidance leads to:
- Selling winners too soon
- Holding onto losers for too long
What is Herd Mentality?
What does Herd Mentality lead to?
- Herd mentality is the process of buying what and when others are buying and selling.
- Herd mentality leads to:
- Buying high
- Selling low
What is Naïve Diversification?
- Naïve diversification, which is the process of investing in every option available to the investor.
- This is common with 401(k) or other employer sponsored retirement plans.
- A plan participant thinks they are adequately diversified if they invest an equal amount in all the funds.
- Also known as 1/n diversification.
What is Representativeness?
- Representativeness is thinking that a good company is a good investment without regard to an analysis of the investment.
What is Familiarity?
- Familiarity causes investment in companies that are familiar, such as an employer.
- Clearly this can cause devastating effects on a portfolio (e.g. Enron).
What is Availability Heuristic
- When a decision maker relies upon knowledge that is readily available in his or her memory, the cognitive heuristic known as “availability” is invoked
- May cause investors to overweight recent events or patterns while paying little attention to longer term trends.
What is Bounded Rationality?
- When individuals make decisions, their rationality is limited by the available information, the cognitive limitations of their minds, and the time available to make the decision.
- Investors may satisfice or seek a satisfactory solution rather than an optimal one.
- Having additional information does not lead to an improvement in decision making due to the inability of investors to consider significant amounts of information.
What is Confirmation Bias?
- When people tend to filter information and focus on information that supports their opinions.
- Similar to Belief Perseverance, however belief perseverance doesn’t involve using information to confirm a belief, but the rejection of information that could disprove it.
- Consequences include investors clinging to preconceived notions about their investments while discounting any information that contradicts these ideas.
What is Gambler’s Fallacy?
- Investors often have incorrect understanding of probabilities which can lead to faulty predictions.
- Investors may sell stock when it has been successful in consecutive trading sessions because they may not believe the stock is going to continue its upward trend.
What is the Illusion of Control Bias?
- The tendency for people to overestimate their ability to control events; it occurs when someone feels a sense of control over outcomes that they clearly do not influence.
What is Prospect Theory (Loss-Aversion Theory)?
- Prospect theory says that investors value gains and losses differently and will base their decisions on perceived gains rather than perceived losses.
- Investors will choose perceived gains because losses cause a greater emotional impact.
- Leads to investors having an unwillingness to sell a losing investment, in the hopes that it will turn around.
What is the Similarity Heuristic?
- Used when investors make decisions or judgements based on similarity between current situations and other situations (even though the situations may have very different outcomes).
What is Recency Bias?
- Occurs when priority and attention are given to current occurrences and events as opposed to consideration of long-term trends.
- Often times leads investors to believe that recent events will continue to repeat themselves, or if time has passed, one may believe that the events are unlikely to occur again.
Characteristics of Monte Carlo Simulation
- A spreadsheet simulation that gives a probabilistic distribution of events occurring.
- It then adjusts the assumptions and comes up with the probability of an event occurring depending upon the assumption.
- Allows for “what if” scenarios and sensitivity analysis if variables such as inflation or savings rate change.
Covariance Formula
- *COVAB = (σA)(σB)(ρAB)**
- *σ = Standard deviation**
- *ρ = Correlation coefficient**
It will be useful if you are provided the Correlation Coefficient and need to calculate the standard deviation of a two asset portfolio.
This formula is provided on the CFP Board formula sheet.
Covariance is a measure of RELATIVE risk.
Used in the standard deviation of a two asset portfolio:
σρ = √(WA)2(σA)2 + (WB)2(σB)2 + (2)(WA)(WB)(COVAB)
Characteristics of Correlation Coefficient and R2
- Correlation ranges from +1 to -1 and provides the investor with insight as to the strength and direction two assets move relative to each other.
- A correlation of +1 denotes that two assets are perfectly positively correlated.
- A correlation of 0 denotes that assets are completely uncorrelated.
- A correlation of -1 denotes a perfectly negative correlation.
-
Diversification benefits (when risk is reduced) begin anytime correlation is less than 1.
(More diversification benefits are received when correlation is equal to -1, but diversification BEGINS when correlation is less than 1). - *R2**
- Use the Correlation Coeffient (R) to solve the coefficient of determination or R2.
- R2 tells you the how much percentage of a security’s return is due to the market (and 100 - R2=how much percentage of a security’s return is due to unsystematic risk).
- When an R2 is 0.70 or greater, then Beta is an appropriate measure of total risk. If it is less than, Standard Deviation should be used.