International Development Policy and Foreign Aid Perspectives - Archibong, Coulibaly and Okonjo-Iweala (2021), Silva (2022) Flashcards
legacy of economic reforms in the 1980s and 1990s
liberalising reforms which weakened agricultural marketing boards, tax reforms, trade reforms, etc.
policy changes were controversial and implemented in part through world bank/IMF supported structural adjustment programs (SAPs)
- did these pro-market/neoliberal reforms further impoverish African economics and undermine national sovereignty?
growth since the 1980s
in the 80s and mid-90s, 0 and negative growth
- starting in the mid-90s, gets above 0
- couple decades of steady positive growth
looking at inflation levels also shows that economic growth is higher and there’s more stability in terms of price levels
3 major dimensions of economic policy reform across SSA in the 1980s and 1990s
fiscal policy
- more fiscal discipline, less accumulation of debt
domestic markets
- privatisation, deregulation, dismantling agricultural marketing boards
openness to international trade and investment
- fewer tariff and investment barriers
main finding
countries that reform more have faster per capita growth from 2000-2019
OVB and endogeneity are big issues here
comparing reformers and non-reformers
non-reformers growing faster in 1980-1999 while others were doing poorly
between 2000-2019, growth looks similar across the two groups
DD looks positive since non-reformers started worse-off
- non-reformers get +1.4, reformers get +2.1 so difference is +0.7
argument about debt relief
debt relief as a major part of the story of improving African economic performance
- average debt as % of GDP fell from 110% in 2001 to 36% in 2012 through the heavily indebted poor countries (HIPC) program
less convinced about high commodity prices
role of representative political institutions
role that they play in promoting pro-poor public policies (in education and health) and infrastructure investments in the 2000-2019 period
sharp change in Nigerian policy priorities after the end of military dictatorship in 1999
- caveat that one of the authors was finance minister there