Illusion of Control and Causal Reasoning - Week 7 Flashcards
Contingency
- Reinforcing behaviour is related to whether it makes sense to respond
- P(O/R)>P(O/No Response) means that it makes sense for an animal to respond
If P(O/R) = 0.05 and P(O/No Response) = 0, what will the rat learn?
- Every time a rat in the skinner box presses the button, it is reinforced 5% of the time.
- This is enough for rats to respond
- If a rat does not respond, it will not be rewarded
If P(O/R) = 0.05 and P(O/No Response) = 0.05, what will the rat learn?
- It will learn that it does not need to respond
- It will be reinforced either way
Philosophical Underpinnings
- Contiguity: (A..B > A……B): -Stimuli closer together in proximity are more likely to be perceived as causally related
- Cause before effect (A-B > B-A): -Stimuli is prior to reinforced
- Consistency of effect (AB, AB, AB): -Consistent actions better for learning
What happened to causal ratings when contingency got higher in Human Resourcing Studies?
Causal ratings got higher
Illusion of Control
- Subjective outcome responses>Objective outcome responses
- Skill is perceived perceived in chance tasks
- Superstitious
- Is stronger when people have a need for the outcome (Food Deprivation, dept for gamblers)
Illusion of control explanations
- Ego/Motivational factors: Like to believe they are in control of the outcome
- Self-serving attributions: Must be skill rather than luck
- Perceptual/Neurophysical: Find it hard to see the world as random
- Effects of mental illness: Find it hard to make connections
Confusion of Chance and Skill
-Langer
Types of Illusion Control
Primary - Direct strategies (Skill and timing)
Secondary - Alignment with higher forces (God and superstitions)
Predictive/Interpretive Control
- Predictive: Superstitions, overdue for rewards
- Interpretive: Thinking they are in control
Matute
- Naturalistic: Chance
- Analytical: Control
Mood states and illusions of control
- Depressive people may have lower I of C
- Anxious people may have higher I of C
Sequence Effects
-Primed sequences or early wins more likely to yield a greater I of C
The Control Heuristic
-Bias relates to beliefs about control