global population futures Flashcards
how much is global population expected to rise over the 21st century?
expected to only rise by 40% compared with 400% in previous years
when was peak population growth rate reached?
the 1960’s
what is causing world population growth?
fertility rates
life expectancy
fertility rates…
global average fertility in 1960 was 5 children per mother this has now halved - downward trend is predicted to continue
life expectancy
living standards rise and healthcare improves more people are surviving and average life expectancy is increasing
in 2012 who made prospects for 2030 and 2050 population?
the UN
Applied systems analysis - 3 reasons why population will stabalise by 2100
- they disagree that chinas fertility will increase
- they predict nigerias pop will only triple because of better education
certanties in population projections
- world pop growth rate will continue to slow
- most rapid pop growth = sub-saharan
- countries with declining pop will face ageing pop
- life expectancy will continue to rise
- global fertility rates continue to fall
what are the 4 things we need to manage?
youthful populations
ageining populations
internal migration
international migration
how can u manage youthful populations?
reducing fertility and increasing use of contraception
support on family planning
relaxing laws on abortion
how can u manage ageing populations?
care for the elderly
pro-natal policies
some countries may increase retirement age
how can u manage internal migration?
governments can implement policies to raise or maintain lower rates of of rural to urban migration
how can u manage international migration?
govs may help migrants back to own countries
implement policies which give easier access to migrants with certain skills or attributes
challenges with growing ecological footprints and carbon budgets
to continue to supply the resources needed for survival food water and energy
to do this using sustainable methods
what are environmental issues facing global population rise?
climate change destruction of habitats loss of biodiversity unsafe water supplies soil erosion fossil fuels