global governance of finance Flashcards
what are the factors you need to consider when deciding between fixed or floating exchange rate?
the circumstances of the country
the changes in circumstances over time
subjective opinion
what are the advantages of a fixed exchange rate?
the first advantage is certainty as if people know the exchange rate will not change then greater international trade is facilitated. it removes risk and thus promote trade and this advantage is particularly important for close trading partners that share a lot of business
the second advantage is it imposes discipline on central banks and governments. assume a situation where the UK is losing out on trade so imports are greater than exports. this means the supply of pounds exceeds demand and therefore £ is expected to fall. the bank of england must sell of its gold reserves to buy £ to cover the difference. in the long run it is not sustainable to do this. this fauces the central authorities to address the root of the problem and prevent the country from living beyond their means. this will mean that central banks has to raise interest rates to make home currency more attractive to foreigners whilst making it harder for home people to borrow and spend. this is a defaltionary policy which reduces AD however increases unemployment
what are the advantages of a flexible exchange rate?
there are no need for large foreign currency reserves
exchange rates move to eliminate deficits/surpluses
more efficient and less socially constant to change just one price the exchange rate than change all prices of goods and services and factors of production
greater sovereignty in deciding monetary policy. there is no necessary conflict between desire to maintain high employment, low inflation and stable growth (internal balance) and the simultaneous need to keep balance of payments on international trade (External trade) if floating exchange rates automatically achieve this balance
what is the impossible triangle in having a fixed exchange rate , an independent monetary policy and a liberalised capital market?
Unfortunately, a country can only have two of these three
* If a country decides on the first two objectives - free capital and fixed rates – then funds will move into or out of the country as it sees fit. The supply of the money so determined in the country will thus determine the ruling interest rate; the nation’s central bank cannot. Independent monetary policy is lost.
* If a country decides on objectives 2 and 3 – fixed rates and their own monetary policy/interest rates – then they will have to impose restrictions on capital moving in and out of the country. You cannot fix the interest rate and the exchange rate without restricting the international movement of money and global integration.
* Lastly, if you allow international capital movements and determine your own interest rate, this means you will have to leave forex markets to decide what price your currency will fetch in a trade. Fixing your own money supply/the domestic interest rate means the price of your currency will have to float up and down according to how much money the markets want to put in or take out of your country at the prevailing interest rate.
what are the advantages of having a liberalised capital market?
Many countries wish to allow capital to flow freely internationally - in and out of countries in pursuit of market returns. Capital-scarce nations with high marginal productivity of capital will thus attract foreign direct and portfolio investment into productive employment from capital surplus nations (which have lower marginal returns).
what are the advantages of having an independent monetary policy?
Countries will always want to remain in control of their own monetary policy – increasing supplies and decreasing interest rates to stimulate growth; or decreasing supplies and pushing up interest rates if they wish to restrain spending and inflation.
why might a country wish to fix their exchange rates?
Countries may also wish to fix their exchange rates so that certainty in trade is thus assured and projected high returns for foreign investors are not destroyed by a speculative movement of exchange rates.
what are the qualities that gold has which makes it a good basis of monetary policies
- Instantly acceptable
- Scarce
- High value to weight (so easily portable)
- Divisible into smaller units
- Recognisable and – with the King’s head stamped upon it – it carried the authority of the state
what was the issue with gold as a basis of monetary systems and what did this lead to?
it was too scarce so that the rate of growth of gold could not keep paxce with the rate of growth of world outputs. this led to the rise of silver for world trade especially after the spansih conquistadores found supply in america
what did the gold standard imply?
the gold standard implied complete convertability of currencies to gold and no restrictions on the movement of capital. that is:
every paper currency could be exchanged for equivalent gold value
each monetary authority could issue no more currency than could be backed by gold
the money supply of each country and thus the international economy was directly linked to every countries gold stock
what is fractional reserve banking?
gold reserves are a fraction of the banknotes circulating. this fraction depends on how often customers present their banknotes and claim the gold that each note represents. for example, assume the custom in society is for one in ten people to go back to the bank to claim their gold deposits then 100m gold reserves can back 1000m of banknotes
what are the effects of a contraction in the domestic money supply?
cutbacks to paper currency supply
higher interest rates
less spending
deflating incomes
a lower price level
this would result in international capital flowing into that country to benefit from higher returns and lower prices increasing the exports and reducing the imports so countries will win more gold in trade
what are the effects of an expansion of the money supply?
increased paper currency
lower interest rates
more spending
a boom in incomes
a rise in price levels
this resulted in capital leaving the country to look for better returns else where and there would be more imports purchased and fewer exports so gold surplus will diminish
what were the advantages of the gold standard?
it utilised the worlds most acceptable currency
it provided for certainty and stability of exchange ratrse
it embodied an automatic balancing mechanism for surplus and deficit countries
what region of the impossibel triangle did the gold standard operate on?
it opted to accept fixed exchange rates and mobile international capital but it could not have an independent monetary policy