FORECASTING Flashcards
The process of predicting future events or conditions using past and current
data
FORECASTING
Forecasting plays a crucial role in operations management by helping
businesses plan, allocate resources, and improve efficiency.
Importance of forecasting in OM
Qualitative
Delphi Method (Expert Opinion)
Market Research
Salesforce Composite
Quantitative
Time Series Analysis
Causal Models (Cause and Effect)
Assumes the forecast for the next period is simply the actual value of the most recent period
Naive Approach
Time Series Analysis
Naive Approach
Moving Average
Weighted Moving Average
Exponential Smoothing
Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA)
Causal Models
Regression Analysis
Econometric Models
Measuring Forecast Accuracy
Mean Absolute Percentage Error
Mean Absolute Deviation
Root Mean Squared Error
Forecast Bias