Examples for US elections! Flashcards

1
Q

Example for raising war chest during invisible primary

A

2023 trump used legal cases against him to fundraise for his war chest
days after his mugshot was released he sold merch with the picture on
raised $7.1million

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2
Q

front runner at the end of of invisible primary not always winner

A

Trump
Mitt Romney
Obama
John McCain
all behind this stage but ended up winning nomination

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3
Q

Example of too many candidates during debates - reducing to soundbites and lack of debate

A

30 candidates in the democrat debates split over 2 nights in 2020

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4
Q

Conservative democrat candidates and
Progressives in 2020

A

Biden
Buttigieg
Bloomberg

Harris
Klobuchar
Sanders
Warren

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5
Q

Republican candidates in 2016/24
Social/Fiscal conservatives and moderate

A

Cruz
Rubio
Trump
Kasich

Christie

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6
Q

War Chests in run up to 2024 Biden and Trump

A

Biden raised $31million
Trump $35million

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7
Q

Scrutiny of the media example 2011 New Hampshire primary

A

2011 Rick perry couldnt remember the name of the 3 gov departments he would get rid of if elected
he then won less than 1% of the NH primary

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8
Q

geographically large but thinly populated states that use caucuses

A

Iowa FIRST
north Dakota
nevada

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9
Q

Turnout examples in caucuses in Iowa and nevada 2020 and 2016

A

IOWA - 2020 sanders 26%, Warren 18%, Biden 15%

IOWA - 2020 sanders 46%

Nevada 2016 Cruz 27%

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10
Q

Example of past primaries with prominence

A

2024 15 states held their primaries on the same day
SUPER TUESDAY!

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11
Q

Early caucus/ primary victories vital in securing nomination?

A

Not recently
none of last 3 presidents won NH primary
Clinton lost NH primary to Sanders in 2016

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12
Q

Bidens opposition in primaries 2024

A

Dean Phillips he believed biden was too old

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13
Q

Examples of incumbent presidents fighting for re nomination

A

Bush, Jimmy Carter, Gerald Ford
Although all 3 were eventually nominated they did lose the general election in the end
Proving party infighting is damaging as opponents can exploit each other

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14
Q

what type of primary is likely to see higher turnout

A

Open primary because either registered voter can vote in either primary
including Demo and repub
TACTICAL!

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15
Q

what event proved that the populist method of primaries was better

A

when Humphrey was defeated by Nixon after not entering any of the primaries

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16
Q

1986 and 2008 % of registered voters voting

A

11%
30%

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17
Q

2024 New Hampshire primary largest turnout

A

300k voters voted in republican primary

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18
Q

how many candidates were there in 1968

A

5

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19
Q

Iowa 2020 Caucus turnout

A

9%

20
Q

how is the primary process unrepresentative

A

voters are usually
older better educated wealthier and more ideological
in earliest primaries especially
Iowa mainly white

21
Q

Party bosses replaced by what in the media + 3 examples

A

King makers
2016 there was 40 televised debates most before candidates were chosen, and before iowa caucus
2020 11 democrat debates
2024 5 republican debates trump not attending any

22
Q

how can primaries develop a impression of disunity examples

A

democrat 2024 outsider Phillips challenging Biden was potentially start of the unraveling of the party

23
Q

how do primaries maintain federalism

A

States have right to choose when/whether to have primary or caucus

24
Q

2016 republican candidates

A

Trump and Mike Pence
Pence served 6 terms as a senator
Governor of indiana

25
Q

2016 democrat candidates

A

H Clinton and Tim Kaine
He was senator for Virginia which was a swing state
Speaks fluent spanish
Working class appeal

26
Q

2012 republican candiates

A

Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan
Romney more centrist to beat Obama

27
Q

2012 and 2008 Democrat candidates

A

Obama and Joe biden
Joe was senator for Delaware
Obama represented Illinois

28
Q

2008 Republican candidates

A

John Mccain and Sarah Palin
Young

29
Q

2016 republican lack of unity at NPC

A

High profile republicans chose to stay away from convention rather than endorse Trump (Romney, John Kasich)

Ted Cruz (main rival) gave 20 min speech failing to endorse + “vote with your conscience”

30
Q

Impact of 2024 DNC for Harris

A

75% voters more excited to vote after Harris joined
Harris 9 point lead women

31
Q

Why do speakers try to enthuse party faithful

A

Bounce in opinion polls

After 2024 conventions harris had 4% lead

32
Q

NPC identify future starts

A

Obama speech 2004 and returned as candidate 4 years later

33
Q

Advantage of conventions
Candidate try to set narrative

A

Kamala states Trump would bring abortion ban
Abortion rights one of her main topics

34
Q

Buckley Valeo 1976

A

SC ruled that limitations on what individuals or PACS could spend
infringed on 1st amendment rights

35
Q

Evidence that federal matching funds are ending

A

Obama did not use in 2008 - advantage
Opponent Mccain was capped on his spending as he DID use
Next election neither used
2016 2020 neither candidates used

36
Q

Citizens united v FEC reinforced

A

1st amendment right to freedom of expression and political free speech
as organisations should be allowed to spend unlimited amount

37
Q

Why has it been difficult to reform campaign finance

A

SCOTUS- uphold free speech
Congress- legislations benefit, unwilling to change
Bipartisanship- Unlikely to receive 2/3 majority to pass
Loopholes- previous legislation

38
Q

Obama v Romney tv debate 2012

A

Obama seen as lacklustre
72% found that Romney was the winner 20% obama
Largest margin in tv debate history

39
Q

How did the Tv coverage of the 2020 election affect voting

A

Republicans trusted/consumed 1/15 media outlets = Fox News
Democrats or indep Trusted all others EXCEPT for Fox News

40
Q

2016 2/3s of GE campaign events took place in which swing states

A

6
Michigan
Florida
Ohio
North Carolina
Pennsylvania
Virginia

41
Q

what percentage of events took place in 12 battleground states in 2016

A

94%

42
Q

In 2020 what percentage of states held the campaign events

A

12 states held 96%

22% of this being in just Pennsylvania

43
Q

Maine and Nebraska use what method in electoral college

A

District rather than winner takes all
ECV are given to each candidate who wins each separate district

44
Q

Small states are over represented by EXC example

A

2020 California had 55 meaning 1 for every 675K
Whereas Wyoming had 1 for every 185k

45
Q

Winner takes all SNUBS in GE %

A

1992 Clinton won 43% popular vote 70% ECV

2012 Obama 51% popular vote 62% ECV

2016 Trump 46% popular vote 57% ECV

2024 Trump won 51% popular vote 58% ECV
Harris 48% popular vote

46
Q

National third parties example 1992 and 1968

A

Ross Perot 19% vote but no ECV
George wallace gained some but only due to his support in the deep south