Evidence Based Dentistry Flashcards
What does ‘risk’ mean?
- What are the chances of something happening
- Good or bad
What does ‘outcome’ mean?
- ‘something’ that might happen (what you are actually mea suring)
- Could be something good or bad
What are statistics?
- Numbers that summarize information
- The chances that an outcome will happen
What are statistics based on?
- Observations of a large number of people
What are statistics useful for?
- Predicting what is likely to happen in the future
- Risk statistics
What way are statistics usually formatted?
- As fractions
For binary events, what do statistics express the chance o f?
- Express the chance of being in one of 2 states
What is risk equal to in fraction form?
Number of events of interest/total number of observations
What are ‘odds’ equal to in fraction form?
Number of events of interest/number without the event
What questions should you ask when interpreting risk? (4 points)
- Risk of what?
- How big is the risk?
- Does the risk information reasonably apply to me or my patient ?
- How does this risk compare with other risks?
When thinking about the question ‘risk of what?’ when interpreting risk, what should you be thinking about?
What is the outcome?
- Getting a disease
- Dying from a disease
- Developing a symptom
- Surviving a disease
When thinking about the question ‘how big is the risk?’ when interpreting risk, what should you be thinking about? (3 points)
- What are the chances of experiencing the outcome?
- Out of how many?
- What is the timeframe? next year? next 10 years? lifetime?
When thinking about the question ‘Does the risk information reasonably apply to me or my patient?’ when interpreting risk, what should you be thinking about? (3 points)
- Age
- Sex
- Lifestyle
When thinking about the question ‘How does the risk compare with other risks?’ when interpreting risk, what should you be thinking about?
- Perspective - which risk should I do something about?
- (very personal decision)
What questions should you as when you see messages about risk reduction? (5 points)
- Reduced risk of what?
- How big is the risk reduction?
- Does the risk reduction information reasonably apply to me?
- Any downsides?
- Is the benefit (risk reduction) worth the downsides?
When thinking about the question ‘Reduced risk of what?’ when you see messages about risk reduction, what should you be thinking about? (2 points)
- What outcome?
- How much do you care about it?
When thinking about the question ‘ How big is the risk reduction ?’ when you see messages about risk reduction, what should you be thinking about? (2 points)
- What are my chances if I don’t get the treatment?
- Starting and modified risks
When thinking about the question ‘ Does the risk reduction information reasonably apply to me? ‘ when you see messages about risk reduction, what should you be thinking about?
- Is the study based on people like you or your patient?
When thinking about the question ‘ Any downsides? ‘ when you see messages about risk reduction, what should you be thinking about? (4 points)
- Life threatening disease
- Time
- Cost
- Hassle
In drug studies, what are the STARTING and MODIFIED risks?
- The chances of the outcome in the UNTREATED and TREATED groups (those who did not take the drug and those who did)
What is a pilot study?
- Not a main study (Happens prior to the main study and probably uses fewer people in it than what is needed for a proper study)
What is a contingency table?
- A table showing the distribution of one variable in rows and another in columns, used to study the correlation between 2 variables
What is relative risk?
- Used to compare the risk in two different groups of people
What is absolute risk?
- Your risk of developing the disease over a time period