Epidemiology and biostats Flashcards
In what kind of study is Relative risk is used?
Cohort
In what kind of study is odds ratio is used?
Case-control
Interpretation of RR and OR?
> 1: positive association
= 1: no association
< 1: negative association (protective)
What is sensitivity
Given that I have the disease how likely is that I’ll have a positive test
True positive / Disease (+) = True positive / (True positive + False negative)
Sensible tests are used as screening tests
What is specificity
Given that I am disease-free how likely is that I’ll have a negative test
True negative / Disease (-) = True negative / (False positive + True negative)
Specific tests are used as a confirmatory test after a positive screening
What is positive predictive value
Given that I have a positive test how likely is that I have the disease
True positive / Positive test = True positive / (True positive + False positive)
The higher the prevalence, the higher the PPV will be
What is negative predictive value
Given that I have a negative test how likely is that I don’t have the disease
True negative / Negative test = True negative / (True negative + False negative)
Accuracy vs precision
Precision measures the consistency of the results (if I repeat the test, how likely is that I will have the same results)
Accuracy measures that the test measure what it is intended to measure
Bias from participants and how to address them
- Hawthorne effect: People change their behaviour because they know they’re being observed
- Recall bias: sick patients remember more
Addressed by blinding
Bias from researcher and how to address them
Selection bias: at baseline, the groups are different in way they shouldn’t be
• Addressed by randomization and matching
Observer bias: The researcher knows who is in control and intervention groups
• Addressed by blinding
You find in a study that ice-cream consumption is associated with drowning.
What type of bias is this?
Confounding:
Relationship between exposure and outcome is distorted because a third factor is related to both exposure and outcome.
In this case the third factor is summer
OCP have a small association with DVT. However, when smoking, the association between OCP and DVT is highly enhanced.
Type of bias?
Effect modification:
The relationship between exposure and outcome is enhanced by a third factor, which only affects the outcome and not the exposure
Case-control study or cohort study. Which one is better for a rare disease?
Case-control study
What is the type I error?
Saying there’s a difference when in reality there is none
What is the type II error?
Saying there’s no difference when in reality there is
What is primary prevention?
o They don’t have yet the disease
o Goal: Keep the patient healthy
o Reduce exposure to risk factors
o Examples: weight loss, smoking cessation, reduce EtOH, healthy eating. vaccination
What is secondary prevention?
o They already have the disease
o Goal: delay progression by detecting the disease in an early stage (screening) and start early treatment if needed
What is tertiary prevention?
o Goal: prevent complications from an existing disease with acting therapy
Colon cancer screening guidelines
Start: 50 yrs or 10 yrs before the Dx of a primary relative
How: Flex sigmoidoscopy / 10 yrs Or Fecal occult blood test / 2 yrs
Stop: 75 yrs
Breast cancer screening guidelines
Start: 50 yrs
How: Mamography / 2 yrs
Stop: 75 yrs
Cervical cancer screening guidelines
Start: 21 yrs
How: Pap smear / 3 yrs
Stop: 70 yrs if 3 consecutive negative pap smears
Lungcancer screening guidelines
Start: 55–75 with history of > 30 pack-year who quit < 15 yrs ago
How: Low dose CT scan / yrs
Stop: 80 yrs or quit > 15 yrs ago
Cancers you don’t screen for
Prostate and ovarian