Economics II Flashcards
Debt
Lending from banks or bond buyers
Equity
Selling shares/stake
Publicly / Privately
Retained Profit
Previous years profit not distributed to share holders as dividends
Trade Credit
Pay suppliers later than they get paid
Invoice Discounting
Selling trade debt for a fee
Free Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditure
Cash gener from revenues - acquir/maintain fixed assets
Operating Expenditure
Ongoing cost to running a business
Simulation
Estimation of probabilities of different possible outcomes
Break-Even Analysis
Analysis of level of sales at which the project breaks even
Exogenous
Endogenous
Internal Cause
External Cause
Option Pricing
A contract giving purchaser right to buy asset in future at specified strike price.
Protect material price changes
Option seller must have asset to hand
Intrinsic Value
Difference between strike price and underlying asset
Iron Triangle of PM
Time, Cost, Scope and Quality
Sensitivity Analysis
Analysis of effect of changes in one variable
Scenario Analysis
Project Analysis given particular combination of assumptions
CAPM Model
Cost of Equity Ke = Rf + B(Rm - Rf) Rf - Risk Free B - Risk Estimate Rm - Risk Market CAPM > 1 - Firms move more than marker more risk
ROSF
(Net Profit after interest payment) / (Shareholder Funds)
Single Year rate of return on each unit of share capital
Narrow assessment of profitability
Capital Employed
Total Assets - Current Liabilities (Debt + Equity)
ROTA
2 Part Du Pont
PBIT / TA = (PBIT / T) x (T / TA)
Relationship of OP margin + its asset turnover ratio
ROCE
3 Part Du Pont
PBIT / TA = (PBIT / T) x (T / TA) x (TA / K)
Efficiency of which its capital is employed
Higher % the better
ROE
5 Part Du Pont
PAIT / E =
(PBIT / T) x (T / TA) x (TA / K) x (PAIT / PBIT) x (K / E)
Capital Worth
Total Assets - Total Liabilties
Developers into 2 types
Speculative - Develop and Sell/Rent
Owner-user - Develop and use as part of the business
Net Present Value
Comparing cost of project with future value of revenue discount rate applied so it can be compared with alternative investments
Developer J-Curve
Initial High Risk -ve cost costs (trough high risk period)
Trade Credit / off plan sales reduce risk and cash inflow
Cash revenues increase as costs get smaller
End of a project
Divestment in Fixed Costs - Plant/equipment moved/sold
Divestment in Working Capital - inventory sold accounts receivable collected
3 Components of Cash Flow
-ve cashflow from investment in fixed assets
-ve cashflow from investment in working capital
+ve cashflow from operations (revenue)
Payback Definition
Time taken to recover initial investment
Packback period < specified cut off period
Delay Causes in PFI Projects
42% - PM issue / subcontractor under finance/resourcing
15% Jarvis PLc (railway) financial difficulties
6% - Planning permission issue / dispute between parties
Uncertainty vs Risk
Uncertainty cannot be quantified, unknown risk
Risk is measurable and can be quantified
Actuaries collect data
Exchange Rate Risk Mitigation
Forward Contracts - Lock agreed exchange rate Option
Price Variance Clauses - Client agrees to take some exposure, as full hedge is expensive
Hedging - Buy asset that will do opposite if euro crashes
Asymmetric Information
Where one party has more info than another
Securitisation / NINJA
Allowed mortgage obligations to be pooled together to create financial products that could be resold via capital markets
No Income No Jobs or Assets
Dutch Books
A set of odds and bets which guarantees a profit regardless of the outcome of the gamble
Moral Hazard
One party gets involved in a risky event knowing that it is protected against the risk and the other party will incur the costs
PFI
Type of Public Private Partnership
Private firms paid more to complete gov contracts FIXED
Integrated Public Procurement
700 projects signed 2013 Mar 9.6bn ann gov liabiliti 13/14
PF2
Increased equity 15% from 10%
No soft facilities management
Only really used for schools and road project investments
Profit Margin
PBIT / Turnover
Interest Tax Burden
PAIT / PBIT
ROCE
PBIT / Capital Employed
Gearing
Total Assets / Capital Employed
Ratio of companies debt to value of ordinary shares
Asset Turnover
Turnover / Total Assets