earth system modeling

Question 1

how do we build a forecasting tool?

Answer 1

1. determine all the factors that influence what one is trying to forecast
2. need to quantify how the interactions occur
3. estimate the initial conditions of the relevant factors
4. solve these mathematical equations

Question 2

what are the factors that influence climate change?

Answer 2

• changes in greenhouse gases
• fluctuations in solar energy
• eruptions (aerosols that scatter solar radiation)
• natural aerosols (sea salt, smoke)