Designs and Causality Flashcards
Simpsons Paradox
Simpsons Paradox is an extreme from of the fact that observed association can be misleading when there are lurking variables
–> conclusions that seem obvious when we look at aggregated data can become quite different when the data are examined in more detail
Causation
when you manipulate X —> Y changes
–> all other factors are held fixed and only X causes the change
Common response
When an observed association between X and Y is explained by a lurking variable Z
–> both X and Y change in resonse to Z
Causal relationship
- -> experimental research
- one variable directely influences another
1. unidirectional
2. bidirectional
Correlational research
–> correlation research
Changes in one variable accompany changes in the other variable, but there haven´t been enough tests to establish that either variable actually causes changes in the other
Conditions for inferring causal relationships
- Covariation
- Precedence - the hypothesized causal variable must reliably precede the effect variable
- Logical Mechanism - Plausability
Mediator variable
X does not directly influence Y ,but only indirectely via Z
–> Z is the mediator variable
Moderator variable
The relationship between X and Y differs according to the values of Z
–> Z acts as the moderator variable - likke a gate
Cross-sectional Design
Type of a correlational design
–> measurements are mad at the same point of time
Longitudinal Design
Type of a correlational design
–> measurements are madde at two or more different time points
Third variable/lurking variable problem
confounding
Correlation between variables could be due to a third variable that is not discovered yet
Directionality Problem
With only a correlational study it is impossible to determine unambiguously whether variable A causes variable B or vice versa
Independent Variable
The variable that is manipulated by the experimenter
Dependent Variable
The variable you observe and that gets influenced by the independent variable
Extraneous variable
Variable that may affect behaviour, but that is not of interest