decision making techniques Flashcards
time series analysis is
quantitative sales forecasting
allows a business to predict future sales from past figures
want to identify trends
3 limitations of time series analysis
unreliable
assume same trends will occur
ignores qualitative data
investment appraisal is
process used to determine whether funds given to the business for investment are likely to be profitable
3 investment appraisals
payback
average rate of return
discounted cash flow
payback formula
sum invested / net cash per time period
payback is
amount of time it takes for business to recover the initial amount invested
best are those that show short pay back time
average rate of return formula
average annual profit / initial outlay x 100
average rate of return is
comparison with other projects
takes into account the level of risk
discounted cash flow is
process of calculating present value of an investment future cash flow
to arrive at a current value of investments
net present value is
the difference between the present value of future cash flow and amount invested in a project
all three investment appraisal techniques are based on
cash flow forecast which may be innaccurate
critical path analysis is
used to find cheapest and fastest way to complete a task
total float is
LFT - duration - EST
free float is
EST (node after) - EST (node before) - duration
the critical path is
the tasks that take the longest time and determine the length of the project