Decision Making Flashcards
normative approaches
attempt to establish ideal ways of deciding that will give the best decision possible
Decision
the cognitive process of choosing between alternative possible actions
descriptive approaches
aim to describe how decisions are actually taken as against how they should be made
single attribute
decisions problems that involve alternatives that vary in only one dimension
multi attributional decision problem
a decision task in which the alternatives vary in many dimensions or aspects
expected value
the long-term average value of a repeated decision that is determined by the probability and size of the outcome.. a normative approach
Expected value theory by Atkinson
postulates that motivation for a given behaviour or action is determined by two factors:
1. expectancy: how probable it is that a wanted (instrumental) outcome is achieved through the behaviour or action
2. value: how much the individual values the desired outcome. Individual’s ability beliefs, expectancies for success and subjective task values are crucial in determining individual’s choices, effort, persistence, and performance
risk aversion
avoiding risky choices even when they have a higher expected value than riskless alternatives
risk seeking
a preference for risky choices even when riskless alternatives of higher value are available
utility
the subjective value of an option
subjective probability
how likely a person believes an outcome to be irrespective of the objective probability
Utility and Prospect Theory by Tversky & Kahneman
A decision theory stressing relative gains and losses. It describes how people evaluate their losses and acquire insight in an asymmetric fashion. Unlike the expected utility theory, which models the decision-making of perfectly rational agents, the prospect theory aims to describe the actual conduct of individuals.
loss aversion
a key idea of prospect theory that there is a greater dislike of losing utility than liking for gaining the same degree of utility.
e.g.: A gain of a sum of money has less positive impact than the loss of the same amount of money has negative impact
endowment effect
tendency to over value a possessed object and to require more money to sell it than to buy it in the first place
status quo bias
a tendency to prefer the current state of affairs