Cohort Studies and RR Flashcards
Confidence Interval
- CI
- CI is a range of values that are likely to cover the true parameter
- Built around the point estimate
- Point estimate +/- margin of error
How Confident?
- Arbitrary decision
- Levels: 90%, 95%, 99%
- Since alpha is usually 5%, CI is usually 95%
Interpretation of 95%
- Addresses the precision of the point estimate: indicates the range in which the true value lies with 95% confidence
- Tells us whether the observed differences are statistically significant
- Cane be used for hypothesis testing
- CI can indicate whether the results are statistically significant or not
Difference in Means
- Difference b/w means = 0 means no association (Ho is true)
- If 0 is not included in the 95% range of values, means that we can say they are statistically significant
Difference in Proportions
- If RR or OR = 1, no difference between the proportions and the Ho is true
- If 1 is not included with 95% confidence we can conclude that proportions in two different groups are different (statistically significant)
Width of CI
- Indicates its precision (wider = less precise)
- Affected by level of confidence (higher confidence, wider CI) and sample size (bigger size, smaller CI)
Need larger sample size for rarer outcome
Cohort Studies
- Cohort: group of persons with similar characteristics
- Cohort study is analysis of a group of persons with similar characteristics studied over time
Two Types of Cohort Studies
- Prospective Cohort
2. Retrospective Cohort
Prospective Cohort
Cohort is assembled at the present time and followed up toward the future.
Retrospective Cohort
Cohort is identified and assembled in the past on the basis of existing records and is “followed” to present time.
Cohort V.S. RCT
- Cohort selects subjects in the study groups
- RCT randomizes the subjects in study groups
General Steps in Cohort Study
- Formulate a research hypothesis
- Define a cohort based off study population
- Ascertain the exposure
- Select exposed and unexposed groups
- Determine the follow-up period
- Determine the outcome
- Measure the association between exposure and outcome
Risk Factors + Cohort Types
- Common risk factors enroll a single large cohort: General population/subset of general population
- Rare/unusual risk factors use a special exposure cohort
Selecting Unexposed Subjects
- Free of exposure
- Should be similar in all other factors to avoid confounding
- Collection of information should be similar in exposed and unexposed group
Sources of Exposure Data
- Records collected independently of the study
- Information supplied by the subjects
- Medical examination
- Direct measurement
- Potential problems: incomplete information, changes in exposure levels over time