CIA - Discounting Flashcards
Fundamental elements of discounting policy liabilities.
The selection of the Discount Rate, Payment Pattern, and the Mfad.
Formula relating the Net, Gross, and Ceded values.
Net = Gross - Ceded
Doesn’t matter if losses are on an undiscounted, PV or APV basis
Considerations for which two quantities to calculate directly when calculating policy liabilities. (4)
- Data (availability/credibility)
- Cash flow (volatility)
- Reinsurance
- Discount rate
Considerations for Data.
- Credibility
Eg: ceded data may be thin so calculate net & gross directly
Considerations for CF (Cash Flow).
- volatility
- duration of cash flows
note: may take a different choice for different LOBs
Considerations for Reinsurance.
- type of program
- consistency
Eg: if net retention level has changed, then do NOT calculate net losses directly (CALCULATE net = gross - ceded)
Considerations for Discount Rate.
If the rate used for NPV & CPV are different, then calculate GPV = NPV + CPV
Definition of Claims Liability.
The portion of insurance contract liabilities in respect of claims incurred on or before the balance sheet date.
Definition of Premium Liability.
The portion of insurance contract liabilities that are not claim liabilities.
What are the considerations when selecting a discount rate (or expected investment return rate)? (hint: MARY-(IE)-CapG)
- METHODS for asset valuation & reporting investment income
- ALLOCATIONS of assets & investment income by LOB
- RETURN on assets @ balance sheet date
- YIELD on assets acquired after B/S date
- INVESTMENT EXPENSES & losses from default
- CAPITAL Gains/losses on assets sold after the balance sheet date
Considerations for Payment Patterns of Claim Liabilities. (3)
CREATE HOMOGENEOUS GROUPS:
1) use payment patterns of groups used for valuation of undiscounted liabilities
2) length of payout pattern
3) any predetermined schedule of payments
Types of cash flows related to Premium Liabilities. (3)
- Future claims & LAE
- Future reinsurance costs
- Maintenance expenses
Considerations for Payment Patterns or Premium Liabilities (future claims & LAE).
Same as for Claims Liabilities + (AAD & APD for future claims costs)
Considerations for Payment Patterns for Premium Liabilities (reinsurance, maintenance).
Discounting is insignificant for reinsurance and maintenance costs associated with premium liabilities.
Criteria for assets used for calculating the discount rate. (2)
- Asset must SUPPORT net policy liabilities
- Asset cash flow should be CONSISTENT with liability cash flow