CIA - Discounting Flashcards

1
Q

Fundamental elements of discounting policy liabilities.

A

The selection of the Discount Rate, Payment Pattern, and the Mfad.

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2
Q

Formula relating the Net, Gross, and Ceded values.

A

Net = Gross - Ceded

Doesn’t matter if losses are on an undiscounted, PV or APV basis

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3
Q

Considerations for which two quantities to calculate directly when calculating policy liabilities. (4)

A
  • Data (availability/credibility)
  • Cash flow (volatility)
  • Reinsurance
  • Discount rate
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4
Q

Considerations for Data.

A
  • Credibility

Eg: ceded data may be thin so calculate net & gross directly

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5
Q

Considerations for CF (Cash Flow).

A
  • volatility
  • duration of cash flows
    note: may take a different choice for different LOBs
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6
Q

Considerations for Reinsurance.

A
  • type of program
  • consistency
    Eg: if net retention level has changed, then do NOT calculate net losses directly (CALCULATE net = gross - ceded)
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7
Q

Considerations for Discount Rate.

A

If the rate used for NPV & CPV are different, then calculate GPV = NPV + CPV

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8
Q

Definition of Claims Liability.

A

The portion of insurance contract liabilities in respect of claims incurred on or before the balance sheet date.

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9
Q

Definition of Premium Liability.

A

The portion of insurance contract liabilities that are not claim liabilities.

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10
Q

What are the considerations when selecting a discount rate (or expected investment return rate)? (hint: MARY-(IE)-CapG)

A
  • METHODS for asset valuation & reporting investment income
  • ALLOCATIONS of assets & investment income by LOB
  • RETURN on assets @ balance sheet date
  • YIELD on assets acquired after B/S date
  • INVESTMENT EXPENSES & losses from default
  • CAPITAL Gains/losses on assets sold after the balance sheet date
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11
Q

Considerations for Payment Patterns of Claim Liabilities. (3)

A

CREATE HOMOGENEOUS GROUPS:

1) use payment patterns of groups used for valuation of undiscounted liabilities
2) length of payout pattern
3) any predetermined schedule of payments

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12
Q

Types of cash flows related to Premium Liabilities. (3)

A
  • Future claims & LAE
  • Future reinsurance costs
  • Maintenance expenses
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13
Q

Considerations for Payment Patterns or Premium Liabilities (future claims & LAE).

A

Same as for Claims Liabilities + (AAD & APD for future claims costs)

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14
Q

Considerations for Payment Patterns for Premium Liabilities (reinsurance, maintenance).

A

Discounting is insignificant for reinsurance and maintenance costs associated with premium liabilities.

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15
Q

Criteria for assets used for calculating the discount rate. (2)

A
  • Asset must SUPPORT net policy liabilities

- Asset cash flow should be CONSISTENT with liability cash flow

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16
Q

Define Portfolio Yield Return (PYR).

A

PYR = IRR (Internal Rate of Return) at which the PV of all future cash flows are equal to the current book value of the portfolio.

17
Q

For NPV, can you use the PYR? (assuming no cash flow mismatch between assets & liabilities)

A

Yes and the same rate used for both the claims liabilities and premium liabilities.

18
Q

Risks associated with timing of asset cash flows vs liability cash flows. (2)

A
  • Reinvestment Risk: if the assets come due BEFORE the liabilities ie: positive cash flow
  • Liquidation Risk: if the assets come due after the liabilities ie: negative cash flow
19
Q

Selection considerations when reinvesting positive cash flows. (2)

A
  • expected return on reinvestment dollars

- insurer’s investment strategy (growth vs buy & hold)

20
Q

Selection considerations when reinvesting negative cash flows. (2)

A
  • maturity dates & liquidity of assets AGAINST liabilities
  • Expected cash flow from future business to cover shortfalls
21
Q

Considerations for NPV, given reinvestment/liquidation due to cash flow mismatch between assets and liabilities. (3)

A

Blended rate based on:

  • current PYR
  • future reinvestment rates
  • capital gain/loss from premature liquidation
22
Q

For CPV - identify possible choices for ceded discount rate (3)

A
  • discount rate used by assuming company
  • risk-free rate
  • PYR (ie: same rate as for NPV), if insurer’s assets are sufficient to cover gross PV of liabilities
23
Q

For GPV - identify possible choices for gross discount rate (2)

A
  • if NPV & CPV use the same discount rate THEN use that for GPV also
  • IF NPV & CPV do not use the same discount rate THEN calculate GPV as NPV + CPV
24
Q

Formula for GAPV (gross APV).

A

GAPV = GPV + PfAD(gross claims) + PfAD(gross discount rate)

25
Q

Formula for CAPC (ceded APV).

A

CAPV = CPV + PfAD(ceded claims) + PfAD(ceded discount rate) - PfAD(reinsurance)
Note: reinsurance is not described as net or ceded and it’s component is subtracted