Chapter 6: Managerial Decision Making Flashcards
a choice made from available alternatives.
decision
the process of identifying problems and opportunities and then resolving them.
decision making
T or F: Decision making involves effort both before and after the actual choice
True
Management decisions typically fall into one of two categories:
- Programmed decisions
- Non-programmed decisions
What type of decisions involve situations that have occurred often enough to enable decision rules to be developed and applied in the future; they are made in response to recurring organizational problems?
Programmed decisions
What type of decisions are made in response to situations that are unique, are poorly defined and largely unstructured, and have important consequences for the organization?
non-programmed decisions
T or F: Managers in every industry face nonprogrammed decisions every day.
True
Larry’s company has decided to no longer lease office space and instead have all employees work from home. Larry needs to make a (programmed/non-programmed) decision as he figures out how the newly dispersed workforce can cost-effectively order office supplies.
non-programmed
T or F: Whereas programmed decisions can be made in situations involving certainty, many situations that managers deal with every day involve at least some degree of uncertainty and require nonprogrammed decision making.
True
What are the 4 conditions that affect the possibility of failure? Rank them going from a low possibility of failure to a high possibility of failure.
- Certainty
- Risk
- Uncertainty
- Ambiguous
If the possibility of failure is (low/high), you are most likely going to make a programmed decision. If the possibility of failure is (low/high), you are most likely going to make a non-programmed decision.
low; high
means that all the information the decision maker needs is fully available.
certainty
means that a decision has clear-cut goals and good information is available, but future outcomes associated with each alternative are subject to some chance of loss or failure.
risk
means that managers know which goals they wish to achieve, but information about alternatives and future events is incomplete.
uncertainty
means that the goals to be achieved or the problem to be solved is unclear, alternatives are difficult to define, and information about outcomes is unavailable; by far the most difficult decision situation
ambiguity
A highly ambiguous situation can create what is sometimes called a _______ ________ problem. These decisions are associated with conflicts over goals and decision alternatives, rapidly changing circumstances, fuzzy information, unclear links among decision elements, and the inability to evaluate whether a proposed solution will work.
wicked decision
T or F: For wicked problems, there often is no “right” answer. Managers have a difficult time coming to grips with the issues and must conjure up reasonable scenarios in the absence of clear information.
True
What are the 3 types of decision making models (the approach managers use to make decisions usually falls into one of three types)?
- Classical model
- Administrative model
- Political model
The decision making model that managers decide to use depends on what 3 things?
- the manager’s personal preference
- whether the decision is programmed or nonprogrammed
- the degree of uncertainty associated with the decision.
What model of decision making is based on rational economic assumptions and managers’ beliefs about what ideal decision making should be.
classical model
The classical model of decision making is considered to be _______, which means that it defines how a decision maker SHOULD make decisions.
normative
T or F: The ideal, rational approach of the classical model is often unattainable by real people in real organizations, but the model has value because it helps decision makers be more rational and not rely entirely on personal preference in making decisions.
True
The classical model is most useful when applied to _________ decisions and to decisions characterized by ______ or ______ because relevant information is available and probabilities can be calculated.
programmed; certainty; risk
Which of the following conditions most favors use of the classical model of decision making? →
a. A large amount of data stored in a computer system that can be used to support quantitative decision techniques.
b. A high degree of complexity concerning the resources available, possible options, and desired outcomes.
c. Differences of opinion among managers about which course of action to take.
d. A limited amount of time in which to collect information or analyze it.
a. A large amount of data stored in a computer system that can be used to support quantitative decision techniques.
What model of decision making considered to be descriptive, meaning that it describes how managers ACTUALLY make decisions in complex situations.
administrative model
The administrative model would be best used for making decisions if the decisions are _________, and the decisions are characterized by _______ or _________.
non-programmed; uncertainty; ambiguity
means that people have limits, or boundaries, on how rational they can be.
bounded rationality
means that decision makers choose the first solution alternative that satisfies minimal decision criteria.
satisficing
represents a quick apprehension of a decision situation based on past experience but without conscious thought.
intuition
T or F: Intuitive decision making is arbitrary and irrational.
False; it is NOT arbitrary or irrational (because it is based on years of practice and hands-on experience)