Chapter 4.3 - Sales Forecasting Flashcards
Correlation
Shows the degree to which two sets of numbers or variables are related, e.g. Sales revenue over a period of time. Marketers are interested in establishing a strong correlation between. Marketing expenditure and sales growth
Cyclical variations
Are recurrent fluctuations in sales linked to the economic cycle of booms and slumps. Unlike seasonal variations, cyclical variations can last longer than a year
Extrapolation
Is a forecasting technique used to identify the trend by using past data and extending this trend to predict future sales
Moving Averages
Are used to find underlying trends by smoothing out variations. It is common to use up to four-part moving averages, i.e. averaging sales figures for four consecutive time periods
Sales Forecasting
Is a quantitative management technique used to predict a firm’s level of sales over a given time period
Seasonal Variations
Are periodic fluctuations in sales revenues over a specified time period, such as certain mon this or quarters of the year
Random Variations
Are unpredictable fluctuations in sales revenues caused by erratic and irregular factors that cannot be practically anticipated
Time Series Analysis
Is a sales forecasting technique that attempts to predict sales levels by indie tidying the underlying trend from a sequence of actual sales figures