Chapter 3: Risk Assessment and Pooling Flashcards
After risk is identified, what is required?
Estimate of the financial impact of risk, firms can budget appropriately and implement risk handling techniques
Random Variable and used to ?
Variable/element where future value is not known with certainty
forecast / predict outcomes
Probability Distribution
graph that shows the pattern, specific distribution, and probabilities at a certain value for a random variable
Expected Value
Long run average or value of specific event or random variable
Variance
measures degree to which actual losses square deviate from expected value
Standard deviation
square root of variance, dispersement of data set relevant to it’s mean
risk handling measurements (2)
variance and standard deviation
Average Loss
Average Loss Severity x Average Loss Frequency
Severity
average size of loss measured across specific items or group
Frequency
average loss occurrence rate
Exposure Unit
person or object exposed to risk
Risk Pooling and what law is important? What do you reduce
method to reduce each exposure units risk by making more accurate predictions, law of large numbers
Means loss pool
Loss exposure of each individual/ number of people in the pool
more in the risk pool….then what about standard deviation
lower the standard deviation of results of total pool
Risk Faced
unpooled standard deviation/ square root of number of pool members