Chapter 24-Risk governance Flashcards
- What approach do the steps of the risk management process follow?
It will be seen that these steps follow the approach of the actuarial control cycle.
- Describe the risk identification stage of the process.
Risk identification is the recognition of the risks that can threaten the income and assets of an organisation and therefore make it unable to meet objectives. This is the hardest aspect of risk management.
Having identified each risk, it is necessary to determine whether it is systematic or diversifiable.
For each risk it is necessary to have a preliminary identification of possible risk control processes that could be put in place which will reduce either the likelihood of the risk event occurring or the impact of the risk event should it occur.
It is also important to identify opportunities to exploit risks and gain a competitive advantage over other providers. Taking on risk is a potential source of profit and is the reason for insurance and reinsurance companies.
- Explain the purpose of the risk classification stage of the process.
The company should then classify the identified risks into groups in order to ensure full coverage and aid analysis, including assessing diversification opportunities.
The organisation should ensure that it has considered all sources of risk, both financial and non-financial, eg market risk, credit risk, liquidity risk, business risk, operational risk, external risk.
A risk ‘owner’ should be allocated to each risk, having responsibility for the control processes for that risk.
- Describe the risk measurement stage of the process.
Risk measurement is the estimation of the probability of a risk event occurring and its likely severity. This would normally be carried out before and after application of any risk controls, and the cost of the risk controls would be included in the assessment.
A common approach to risk assessment is a simple scoring scale, under which the scores for each of probability and severity are multiplied in order to rank risk events.
Risks could then be quantified more accurately by using appropriate risk measures, for example tracking errors, Value at Risk (VaR), conditional expected shortfall , an analysis of actual vs expected experience etc.
Existing control measures should be allowed for in the measurement.
An overall risk assessment should be performed at a whole company level.
When modelling risks in aggregate, allowance needs to be made for diversification or inter-relationships between risks, eg by using correlation matrices, stochastic modelling, copulas.
- Explain what risk control involves.
Risk control involves deciding whether to reject, fully accept or partially accept each identified risk. This stage also involves identifying different possible mitigation options for each risk that requires mitigation.
The extent to which an organisation controls its risk will depend on:
* its risk tolerance level/ risk appetite
* the cost/ benefit ratio of any control measures.
Types of risk controls include:
* insurance and/or reinsurance
* alternative risk transfer tools
* underwriting
* claims controls
* management control systems, eg contingency planning
* diversification.
Particular care should be taken to control those risks with a significant financial impact but which have a low probability of occurrence.
- Outline the three ways in which risk control measures can mitigate risks or their consequences, including an example of each.
Risk control measures are systems that aim to mitigate the risks or the consequences of risk events by:
* reducing the probability of a risk event occurring - for example, by introducing good safety procedures within a company to reduce the risk of a fire starting
* limiting the severity of the effects of a risk that does occur - for example, by having sprinkler systems and adequate fire extinguishers, so that a fire that does occur can quickly be put out
* reducing the consequences of a risk that does occur- for example, by having adequate insurance in place to meet the costs of a fire that does occur.
- What type of risk must be a priority candidate for the application of risk control?
A risk that gives rise to serious exposures to the organisation must be a priority candidate for the application of control techniques.
- Explain the relevance of ‘trigger points’ to risk mitigation.
Not all risks occur at a single point event. For example, in a stock market ‘crash’, prices do not normally fall in a single day, but the full effect of the crash is observed over a number of weeks or months.
Frequently risk mitigation techniques involve management actions to be taken when certain trigger points are reached (for example to protect a portfolio value, or to reduce the amount of risk being accepted). It is vital that the actions really are taken when the trigger is reached and not delayed ‘because it might get better tomorrow’, however unpalatable the actions might be.
- What is it necessary to do if more than one option exists for mitigating a particular risk?
Where more than one option exists for mitigating a particular risk, it will be necessary to compare each option, identify which option is optimal and then implement the appropriate options.
- What is a key component in the decision on the approach to take to control a risk?
The organisation’s risk appetite is another key feature in the decision on the approach to take to control individual risks. Risk appetite is likely to have both quantitative and qualitative components. The qualitative aspect of risk appetite includes risk preferences of the organisation.
- Explain what risk financing involves.
Risk financing involves determining the likely cost of each risk (including the cost of any mitigations and the expected losses and cost of capital arising from retained risk) and ensuring the organisation has sufficient financial resources available to continue its objectives after a loss event occurs.
The organisation should hold enough capital to cover the residual risks which remain after implementing its risk controls.
Tools that may be used to manage the organisation’s capital include banking products, subordinated debt, retaining earnings.
- Describe the monitoring stage of the risk management process.
Having decided that all or part of a risk should be retained, with or without controls, the risks should be monitored. Risk monitoring is the regular review and re-assessment of all the risks previously identified, coupled with an overall business review to identify new or previously omitted risks. It is important to establish a clear management responsibility for each risk in order that monitoring and control procedures can be effective.
- List seven things that a provider aims to achieve through an effective risk management process.
Through an effective risk management process a provider of financial benefits will be able to:
* avoid surprises
* improve the stability and quality of their business
* improve their growth and returns by exploiting risk opportunities
* improve their growth and returns through better management and allocation of capital
* identify opportunities arising from natural synergies
* identify opportunities arising from risk arbitrage
* give stakeholders in their business confidence that the business is well managed
- List five things that the risk management process should involve in order to achieve these aims.
Ideally, in the management of risk, providers need to look to find the optimal set of strategies that balance the needs for return, growth and consistency. The risk management process should:
* incorporate all risks, both financial and non-financial
* evaluate all relevant strategies for managing risk, both financial and non-financial
* consider all relevant constraints, including political, social, regulatory and competitive
* exploit the hedges and portfolio effects among the risks
* exploit the financial and operational efficiencies within the strategies
- Give examples to illustrate the difference between risk and uncertainty.
A risk can be associated with an event that is certain in time - will it rain on my wedding day? Alternatively, the event can be certain and the issue is when it will occur - how long will I live to draw my pension? Thirdly, both the occurrence and the timing can be uncertain - will my house suffer from storm damage?
A risk event having occurred, there can then be uncertainty about the consequences of the event - is the loss amount fixed or variable, and what is the shape of the loss distribution?
Finally, even certain strategies to avoid loss may not be risk-free on detailed investigation.