Ch 5- Brooke *done* Flashcards
HR Forecasting
The heart of the HR planning process; can be defined as ascertaining the net requirement for personnel by determining the demand for and supply of human resources now and in the future
Transaction-based forecasting
Forecasting that focuses on tracking internal change instituted by the organization’s managers
Event-based forecasting
Forecasting concerned with changes in the external environment
Process-based forecasting
Forecasting not focused on a specific internal organizational event but on the flow or sequencing of several work activities
Strategic Importance of HR Forecasting
Reduces HR Costs
Increases Organizational Flexibility
Ensures a Close Linkage to the Macro Business Forecasting Process
Ensures That Organizational Requirements Take Precedence over Issues of Resource Constraint and Scarcity
Key Personnel Analyses Conducted by HR Forecasters
Specialist/Technical/Professional Personnel, Employment Equity-Designated Group Membership, Managerial and Executive Personnel, Recruits
Human resources demand
The organization’s requirement for human resources
Human resources supply
The source of workers to meet demand requirements, obtained either internally (current members of the organization’s workforce) or from external agencies
Designated groups
People of Aboriginal descent, women, persons with disabilities, members of visible minorities
Five stages of the forecasting process
- Identify organizational goals, objectives, and plans
- Determine overall demand requirements for personnel
- Assess in-house skills and other internal supply characteristics
- Determine the net demand requirements that must be met from external, environmental supply sources
- Develop HR plans and programs to ensure that the right people are in the right place
What are the differences between current forecast, short run forecast, medium run forecast, and long run forecast
In order: immediate, next one or two years, next two to five years, five or more years
Prediction
A single numerical estimate of HR requirements associated with a specific time horizon and set of assumptions
Projection
Several HR estimates based on a variety of assumptions
Envelope
Corners of an envelope containing the upper and lower limits or bounds of the various HR projections extending into the future
Scenarios
A proposed sequence of events with its own set of assumptions and associated program details