Biostats Flashcards
What is epidemiology?
The study of factors that determine the occurrence and distribution of a disease in a population
What is incidence?
- Frequency of occurrence of disease
- Number of new cases over course of study
What is prevalence?
- The number of people who have the disease over a given period of time or at a given point in time
What is the mathematical relationship between incidence and prevalence?
Prevalence = Incidence * Avg. Duration
What are 2 factors that would cause the prevalence to decrease?
A person in the study dies
A person in the study is cured
How do you determine point prevalence?
Count the # of cases on a given date and divide by the total # of people in the population. Account for any who have died by subtracting from the total population.
Ex: A community started out with 20 people on October 1st 2004. Six people in the community are sick with HIV on April 1st 2005 and 2 people died between October 1st 2004 and April 1st 2005. The point prevalence is 6 / (20-2) = 6/18 = 33%
How do you calculate the period prevalence?
Incidence / Initial population size
What factors result in a high prevalence?
High incidence
High survival rates
High detection rate
Rapid fatality
What factors contribute to low prevalence?
Low incidence
High cure rate
Short disease course
What are risk events?
Events that put people at risk for the disease of interest over the course of a study
What is attributable risk?
- The additional incidence, above baseline, that is caused by the risk factor.
- The incidence of the disease in people that were exposed to a specific risk factor - incidence in people that were not exposed to that risk factor
What is absolute risk?
The absolute risk of getting a disease is equivalent to the incidence of the disease
What is relative risk?
The ratio of the proportion of events that occur in one group compared to the number that occur in another group
Relative risk can only be measured in what kind of study?
- A prospective study - finds naturally occurring cohorts in the present and follows them into the future
- To measure relative risk we prospectively study cohorts that are differently exposed to the risk factor.
What is relative risk reduction?
RRR = 1 - RR
What is absolute risk reduction?
- The difference between the absolute risk rate of the placebo and the drug groups
What is the number needed to treat and what does it tell you about a treatment?
- NNT = 100/ARR
- Tells you the effectiveness of different treatments; tells you the number of people who would need to receive the treatment in order for 1 life to be saved
What is the absolute risk increase?
Risk (treatment) - Risk (control)
What is the number needed to harm?
NNH = 100/ARI
Reflects the number of people that would need to receive the drug before 1 person would experience negative side effects
What is the odds ratio?
The odds that a person with the disease (case) was exposed to the risk factor / the odds that a person without the disease (control) was exposed to the risk factor
When is an odds ratio used?
In a retrospective study only (case-control study)
What does an odds ratio of 1 mean?
That the odds of prior exposure were the same in both groups of people
What is the hazard rate?
The rate at which an event occurs –> the likelihood that a person will be exposed to a hazardous event over a gien period of time
What is a Kaplan - Meier curve used to represent?
Survival data
What are the 3 major categories of study design?
Experimental design
Quasi-experimental design
Observational Design