Association And Causation Flashcards

1
Q

What 3 things should be considered before making a causal link?

A

Bias
Confounding
Chance

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2
Q

How can chance be measured in an investigation?

A

Work out p value. If less than 0.05 not due to chance

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3
Q

What is a 95% confidence interval?

A

The range in which 95% of the time, the true value would lie in

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4
Q

What is bias?

A

A systematic error leading to incorrect estimate due to problem in design or execution

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5
Q

What are the 2 types of bias?

A
Selection = reason why some people were chosen and others weren’t 
Measurement = recall bias, inaccuracy in measuring results
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6
Q

What is confounding?

A

A factor that is linked to the outcome and the variable being studied

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7
Q

Which factors are considered when establishing a causal link ?

A

BRADFORD HILL 1965

  • STRENGTH of association, stronger correlation = more likely to be causal
  • CONSISTENCY = similar results in different populations
  • SPECIFICITY = exposure increases risk of one disease and not others
  • TEMPORAL = THIS IS NECESSARY!! Risk factor must come before disease
  • DOSE RESPONSE = increasing amount of exposure increases risk of disease
  • PLAUSIBILITY = consistent with other knowledge
  • EXPERIMENTAL EVIDENCE
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8
Q

Which 2 factors are not necessary for a causal link to be established?

A
  • COHERENCE = does not conflict what is already known

- ANALOGY

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