9: problem solving Flashcards
What are the two types of models in decision making?
descriptive models
normative models
What are the examples of compensatory models?
Additive
Additive-difference
What are the examples of noncompensatory models?
Elimination by aspects
Conjunctive model
What is the additive model?
sums the values of attributes for each alternative to arrive at an overall score
What is the additive-difference model?
calculates the difference in each attribute, sum up the difference in scores
What is the conjunctive model?
each alternative is examined one at a time. Selected if it satisfies the minimum criteria
What is the elimination by aspects model?
examine all attributes for each alternative, eliminate alternative if there is one attribute that fails the minimum criteria
What are heuristics? What kind of heuristics are present in decision making?
Mental shortcuts/general strategy that is often helpful, but does not guarantee correctness
- Availability heuristic
- Representative heuristic
- Anchoring and adjustment heuristic
What is a decision frame?
framing effect: how a problem is being presented, framed can influence decision
What are some ignored information?
- Sample size
- Base rates and prior probabilities
- Conjunction fallacy
How does ignoring sample size affect decision making?
deciding that a larger sample deviates more from probabilities
bigger samples tend to deviate less from a calculated probability
How does ignoring base rates and prior probabilities affect decision making?
making a decision based on prior probabilities
given probability and probability based on representative heuristic
What is conjunction fallacy in decision making?
overestimating the probability of an overlap (2 conditions satisfied) based on the given information, due to representative heuristic
What is expected value?
value of event * probability of occurrence
What is expected utility?
replaces actual value with subjective value of outcome